Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 UMass 13-20 (0.394) | Atlantic 10

All-Play Percentage: 0.491 (179^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.524 (135^th)	Record Quality: -0.075 (206^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 153.33 (153^rd)
Pace: 68.69 (256^th)	Momentum: -2.11 (271^st)	Off. Momentum: 0.01 (190^th)	Def. Momentum: -2.12 (261^st)
Consistency: -10.37 (311^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.94 (260^th)	Away From Home: -2.08 (311^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.19 (79^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.65

20.45

76.40

84.58

44.53

32.55

39.06

19.89

34.48

32.14

56.28

9.20

14.27

7.65

38.48

23.52

38.00

2.00

RANK:

137^th

340^th

39^th

57^th

154^th

113^th

31^st

255^th

287^th

51^st

278^th

263^rd

193^rd

99^th

137^th

279^th

73^rd

133^rd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

107.45

26.70

83.29

46.07

27.42

36.56

22.52

35.84

33.35

60.79

11.81

16.08

8.46

32.93

27.04

40.03

1.93

RANK:

266^th

200^th

235^th

240^th

48^th

248^th

176^th

111^th

323^rd

197^th

258^th

274^th

308^th

36^th

157^th

314^th

324^th

ANALYSIS:
If you see UMass on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. They have a record of 13-20 and are ranked 179th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 14 schools in the A-10 (average ranking 152.0), they're currently ranked as our #10 team in the conference.

UMass will likely rely on their offense more than anything else to win games. The team is ranked 137th in offensive efficiency and scores more than 103 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UMass is one of the more accurate teams in the college game when it comes to shooting the three. They're ranked 31st nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 39.1% of their attempts from there vs. AO. UMass also does a really good job converting from the free throw line. Making 76.4% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 39th nationally in free throw percentage. Though they typically convert their shots from the line, the downside is that they hardly ever manage to get there. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of 20.45 vs. AO (12th-worst in the nation).

The defense for UMass, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the offense is. The team is ranked 266th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 107 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. UMass gives up too many chances to easily score off of offensive rebounds. The team allows AO to convert 8.5% of all second-chance opportunities (308th nationally).

UMass has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 311th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most. When playing on the road, UMass performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 311th in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2017	vs UMass Lowell₂₉₆	W 83.40 - 71.96	W 74-69	1-0	113.82	97.73	▼ 16.09	103.02	95.51	▲ 7.51	▼ 8.58
Sun 11/12/2017	@ Harvard₁₄₃	L 63.66 - 69.25	L 67-70 (OT)	1-1	97.89	82.83	▼ 15.06	101.41	78.29	▲ 23.12	▲ 8.06
Sun 11/19/2017	vs Niagara₂₁₇	W 83.39 - 77.44	W 101-76	2-1	111.40	132.73	▲ 21.33	107.66	97.10	▲ 10.56	▲ 31.89
Tue 11/21/2017	vs W. Carolina₃₀₆	W 77.08 - 65.34	W 85-76	3-1	108.83	121.61	▲ 12.78	96.41	112.88	▼ 16.47	▼ 3.69
Fri 11/24/2017	vs Minnesota₁₀₃ *	L 70.83 - 77.01	L 51-69	3-2	101.18	60.61	▼ 40.57	109.52	95.59	▲ 13.93	▼ 26.64
Sat 11/25/2017	vs BYU₈₆ *	L 66.91 - 74.53	L 66-68	3-3	98.59	97.06	▼ 1.53	109.82	101.49	▲ 8.33	▲ 6.80
Wed 11/29/2017	@ Quinnipiac₂₆₉	W 72.89 - 70.10	L 66-68	3-4	111.25	99.33	▼ 11.92	102.37	97.73	▲ 4.64	▼ 7.28
Sat 12/2/2017	@ South Carolina₇₉	L 64.25 - 75.80	L 70-76	3-5	95.54	95.74	▲ 0.20	107.50	100.04	▲ 7.46	▲ 7.66
Wed 12/6/2017	vs Holy Cross₂₈₈	W 71.05 - 61.38	W 64-50	4-5	108.80	104.40	▼ 4.40	97.68	85.60	▲ 12.08	▲ 7.68
Sat 12/9/2017	vs Providence₅₉	L 66.33 - 73.46	W 72-63	5-5	96.27	102.84	▲ 6.57	110.63	93.49	▲ 17.14	▲ 23.71
Sat 12/16/2017	vs Georgia₅₈	L 62.77 - 69.85	W 72-62	6-5	93.87	114.40	▲ 20.53	109.21	97.27	▲ 11.94	▲ 32.47
Wed 12/20/2017	vs Georgia State₉₂	L 68.12 - 71.66	L 63-71	6-6	99.45	99.34	▼ 0.11	109.31	120.60	▼ 11.29	▼ 11.40
Fri 12/22/2017	vs Maine₃₃₅	W 79.29 - 62.55	W 74-63	7-6	109.21	129.65	▲ 20.44	90.56	63.14	▲ 27.42	▲ 47.86
Sat 12/30/2017	@ St. Bonaventure₇₇	L 66.98 - 78.56	L 78-98	7-7	98.68	105.21	▲ 6.53	111.03	130.08	▼ 19.05	▼ 12.52
Wed 1/3/2018	vs George Mason₂₂₇	W 75.76 - 69.24	L 72-80 (OT)	7-8	106.74	93.38	▼ 13.36	102.31	96.56	▲ 5.75	▼ 7.61
Sat 1/6/2018	@ Dayton₁₆₄	L 69.39 - 73.54	W 62-60	8-8	105.64	105.60	▼ 0.04	107.52	99.43	▲ 8.09	▲ 8.05
Wed 1/10/2018	vs La Salle₁₃₆	W 72.20 - 71.85	W 86-79 (OT)	9-8	102.17	108.18	▲ 6.01	106.36	112.72	▼ 6.36	▼ 0.35
Sun 1/14/2018	vs Saint Joe's₁₂₃	L 72.49 - 73.44	W 72-69	10-8	100.88	100.59	▼ 0.29	106.67	99.45	▲ 7.22	▲ 6.93
Wed 1/17/2018	@ URI₅₅	L 64.77 - 78.99	L 51-73	10-9	96.11	75.29	▼ 20.82	111.54	105.67	▲ 5.87	▼ 14.95
Sat 1/20/2018	vs Saint Louis₁₄₉	W 66.41 - 65.23	L 47-66	10-10	99.59	80.34	▼ 19.25	101.58	131.44	▼ 29.86	▼ 49.11
Wed 1/24/2018	@ La Salle₁₃₆	L 69.05 - 75.06	L 72-87	10-11	102.17	102.27	▲ 0.10	106.36	136.06	▼ 29.70	▼ 29.60
Sat 1/27/2018	@ Fordham₂₇₅	W 69.28 - 66.13	L 69-82	10-12	105.62	106.81	▲ 1.19	96.59	120.12	▼ 23.53	▼ 22.34
Tue 1/30/2018	vs URI₅₅	L 67.91 - 75.96	L 83-85	10-13	96.11	133.80	▲ 37.69	111.54	139.37	▼ 27.83	▲ 9.86
Sat 2/3/2018	vs Dayton₁₆₄	W 72.45 - 70.55	W 86-82 (2OT)	11-13	105.64	105.54	▼ 0.10	107.52	110.08	▼ 2.56	▼ 2.66
Sat 2/10/2018	@ Saint Joe's₁₂₃	L 69.29 - 76.48	L 73-85	11-14	100.88	106.56	▲ 5.68	106.67	117.45	▼ 10.78	▼ 5.10
Wed 2/14/2018	vs G. Washington₁₈₈	W 70.71 - 67.41	L 72-83	11-15	105.33	93.44	▼ 11.89	104.56	121.39	▼ 16.83	▼ 28.72
Sat 2/17/2018	@ Davidson₄₉	L 63.82 - 78.04	L 78-83	11-16	101.31	115.31	▲ 14.00	118.08	118.02	▲ 0.06	▲ 14.06
Wed 2/21/2018	vs VCU₁₃₉	W 75.20 - 74.86	L 78-82	11-17	103.73	101.73	▼ 2.00	107.49	111.60	▼ 4.11	▼ 6.11
Sat 2/24/2018	@ George Mason₂₂₇	W 72.59 - 72.33	L 76-78 (OT)	11-18	106.74	100.73	▼ 6.01	102.31	94.70	▲ 7.61	▲ 1.60
Wed 2/28/2018	@ Richmond₁₇₀	L 70.48 - 74.30	L 65-90	11-19	105.75	91.56	▼ 14.19	106.54	133.44	▼ 26.90	▼ 41.09
Sat 3/3/2018	vs Duquesne₁₉₇	W 72.69 - 68.32	W 85-75	12-19	106.91	122.35	▲ 15.44	105.32	109.96	▼ 4.64	▲ 10.80
Wed 3/7/2018	vs La Salle₁₃₆ *	L 70.62 - 73.45	W 69-67	13-19	102.17	101.47	▼ 0.70	106.36	97.10	▲ 9.26	▲ 8.56
Thu 3/8/2018	vs George Mason₂₂₇ *	W 74.17 - 70.78	L 75-80	13-20	106.74	108.70	▲ 1.96	102.31	115.94	▼ 13.63	▼ 11.67
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that prefer the outside shot, UMass often performs better than normal. UMass is more efficient than usual 61% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.03. In their other contests, UMass performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
	UMass does worse vs. clubs that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. When playing squads that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 11.70, UMass performs above average 20% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 61% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox