Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 UMass17-15 (0.531) | Atlantic 10
All-Play Percentage: 0.623 (132nd)
Schedule Strength: 0.654 (66th)
Record Quality: 0.152 (89th)
Avg. Season Rank: 130.95 (131st)
Pace: 68.04 (47th)
Momentum: -4.74 (340th)
Off. Momentum: 0.29 (203rd)
Def. Momentum: -5.03 (344th)
Consistency: -7.74 (29th)
Res. Consistency: -10.43 (92nd)
Away From Home: -0.23 (190th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.30 (80th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
101.37
68.02
33.71
69.16
80.12
35.38
44.15
23.53
7.31
31.06
23.82
8.05
33.79
32.78
20.02
61.08
13.57
16.21
7.93
29.36
29.72
40.91
1.88
RANK:
142nd
48th
26th
181st
254th
157th
123rd
313th
320th
314th
229th
242nd
244th
25th
26th
99th
47th
119th
55th
301st
215th
17th
18th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
98.92
68.06
27.20
--
83.80
35.63
42.51
25.51
9.01
35.30
26.88
8.84
32.88
31.41
17.78
56.62
12.24
14.36
6.12
30.45
32.08
37.48
1.93
RANK:
128th
305th
108th
--
250th
181st
129th
75th
104th
213th
243rd
150th
62nd
292nd
234th
103rd
242nd
115th
111th
50th
219th
270th
298th
ANALYSIS: They may not cause sleepless nights for opponents, but UMass, as a slightly above-average team, cannot be totally ignored. Carrying a record of 17-15, they are currently rated #132 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #9 team (out of 14) in the A-10 (average ranking 120.8).
Based on their performances this year, UMass will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 99 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #128 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. UMass does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 47th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 13.57. UMass has also been fairly decent in preventing teams from draining shots from between the three-point stripe and the low post. They're ranked 62nd in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 32.9% of their attempts from that distance.
UMass plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 142nd nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 101 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UMass will routinely look to penetrate, pound the ball inside, and score from as short a distance as possible. The ball-club is 17th in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to get to the inside, they are undoubtedly capable of making you pay. Presently rated in the top-100 in near-proximity shooting percentage, they make roughly 61.1% of their attempts from short-distance vs. AO. UMass also does a really good job to acquire opportunities from the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 33.71 vs. AO, they are ranked 26th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe, where the team shoots a rather mediocre 69.2%. If UMass does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's ability (or lack thereof) to sink threes. The squad converts just 31.1% of their three-point attempts vs. AO, which ranks 38th-worst in the nation.
UMass has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked 340th in positive momentum. UMass is also one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 29th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
UMass does better vs. clubs that do not defend well on the perimeter. When playing squads that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 32.43%, UMass performs above average 77% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 30% of the time.
UMass performs worse against squads that effectively clean the offensive glass. When facing teams that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 16.65, UMass is more efficient than normal 41% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 87% of the time.
When playing teams that prefer the outside shot, UMass usually performs better than average. UMass is more efficient than normal 76% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.93. In all other contests, UMass performs better than average 36% of the time.
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