Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Louisville 25-9 (0.735) | ACC

All-Play Percentage: 0.966 (13^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.764 (14^th)	Record Quality: 0.437 (18^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 13.55 (12^th)
Pace: 69.89 (200^th)	Momentum: -2.76 (285^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.80 (101^st)	Def. Momentum: -4.57 (344^th)
Consistency: -9.40 (232^nd)	Res. Consistency: -11.40 (174^th)	Away From Home: -1.58 (303^rd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.20 (281^st)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

113.44

30.48

68.07

86.59

47.33

28.22

38.00

26.16

38.27

32.21

62.88

13.32

17.92

9.47

32.59

30.21

37.20

1.95

RANK:

31^st

64^th

259^th

12^th

46^th

225^th

49^th

91^st

88^th

43^rd

78^th

37^th

22^nd

10^th

271^st

131^st

79^th

61^st

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

87.71

26.93

79.39

37.89

28.78

29.64

23.49

30.54

27.12

53.00

9.16

13.93

5.37

36.25

29.58

34.17

2.02

RANK:

6^th

150^th

81^st

4^th

144^th

4^th

164^th

4^th

123^rd

33^rd

47^th

137^th

51^st

182^nd

205^th

141^st

164^th

ANALYSIS:
When listing some of the better squads you will find in NCAA basketball this year, one can definitely make a case for Louisville. Ranked 13th overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 25-9. Of the 15 schools in the ACC (average ranking 44.4), they're currently ranked as our #4 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.764 (which ranks 14th nationally), Louisville is one of the more battle-tested teams in the college game.

Louisville is one of the most menacing defensive teams in the country. Ranked sixth in defensive efficiency, they will allow fewer than 88 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Louisville will put a good dent in the shooting percentages of several opponents, considering the team ranks in the top-50 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. They allow AO to make just 29.6% of their three-pointers (fourth in the nation), 30.5% of their mid-range shots (fourth), 53.0% of their near-proximity attempts (33rd), and 37.9% of their total shots from the field (fourth). Louisville also does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 37th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 13.32.

Louisville plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 31st nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 113 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Louisville does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 9.5% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked tenth nationally), and with a rating of 17.92, they're 22nd in potential points scored off of the offensive glass as well. Louisville is also one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked 12th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 86.59 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-50 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 47.3% of their total attempts vs. AO.

When playing on the road, Louisville performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 303rd in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs Evansville₁₄₈	W 78.86 - 58.25	W 78-47	1-0	112.23	110.28	▼ 1.95	86.62	64.72	▲ 21.90	▲ 19.95
Mon 11/14/2016	vs William & Mary₁₄₂	W 87.21 - 65.93	W 91-58	2-0	118.71	115.82	▼ 2.89	93.94	77.63	▲ 16.31	▲ 13.42
Thu 11/17/2016	vs Long Beach St.₂₂₇	W 86.19 - 59.35	W 88-56	3-0	118.73	110.90	▼ 7.83	85.80	73.40	▲ 12.40	▲ 4.57
Wed 11/23/2016	vs Old Dominion₁₁₇ *	W 68.43 - 53.36	W 68-62 (OT)	4-0	105.94	66.22	▼ 39.72	82.71	68.06	▲ 14.65	▼ 25.07
Thu 11/24/2016	vs Wichita State₈ *	L 70.21 - 71.77	W 62-52	5-0	100.18	92.54	▼ 7.64	101.79	76.47	▲ 25.32	▲ 17.68
Fri 11/25/2016	vs Baylor₁₀ *	L 66.13 - 66.60	L 63-66	5-1	101.05	96.92	▼ 4.13	101.47	103.13	▼ 1.66	▼ 5.79
Wed 11/30/2016	vs Purdue₁₂	W 73.36 - 70.32	W 71-64	6-1	102.47	97.78	▼ 4.69	102.37	92.36	▲ 10.01	▲ 5.32
Sat 12/3/2016	@ Grand Canyon₁₆₄	W 77.32 - 61.19	W 79-70	7-1	110.50	120.46	▲ 9.96	84.21	102.89	▼ 18.68	▼ 8.72
Wed 12/7/2016	vs S. Illinois₁₉₃	W 79.64 - 56.61	W 74-51	8-1	114.56	104.24	▼ 10.32	84.99	71.57	▲ 13.42	▲ 3.10
Sat 12/10/2016	vs Texas Southern₂₂₆	W 84.26 - 58.09	W 102-71	9-1	118.23	129.45	▲ 11.22	85.39	90.55	▼ 5.16	▲ 6.06
Sat 12/17/2016	vs E. Kentucky₂₃₆	W 81.67 - 55.10	W 87-56	10-1	114.36	117.78	▲ 3.42	81.27	68.29	▲ 12.98	▲ 16.40
Wed 12/21/2016	vs Kentucky₇	W 75.32 - 73.93	W 73-70	11-1	100.52	93.84	▼ 6.68	103.03	95.55	▲ 7.48	▲ 0.80
Wed 12/28/2016	vs Virginia₉	W 61.10 - 58.98	L 53-61	11-2	96.12	80.60	▼ 15.52	97.59	99.04	▼ 1.45	▼ 16.97
Sat 12/31/2016	vs Indiana₄₀ *	W 76.00 - 69.38	W 77-62	12-2	108.56	117.19	▲ 8.63	98.99	98.41	▲ 0.58	▲ 9.21
Wed 1/4/2017	@ Notre Dame₂₃	L 71.94 - 72.48	L 70-77	12-3	106.85	102.22	▼ 4.63	103.50	109.38	▼ 5.88	▼ 10.51
Sat 1/7/2017	@ Georgia Tech₇₅	W 69.86 - 60.77	W 65-50	13-3	102.58	105.49	▲ 2.91	85.54	79.75	▲ 5.79	▲ 8.70
Wed 1/11/2017	vs Pittsburgh₇₄	W 77.55 - 63.09	W 85-80	14-3	112.52	105.38	▼ 7.14	95.91	103.48	▼ 7.57	▼ 14.71
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Duke₁₁	W 74.85 - 72.40	W 78-69	15-3	104.87	107.64	▲ 2.77	105.67	99.40	▲ 6.27	▲ 9.04
Thu 1/19/2017	vs Clemson₃₆	W 75.19 - 66.06	W 92-60	16-3	107.50	135.97	▲ 28.47	98.84	94.94	▲ 3.90	▲ 32.37
Sat 1/21/2017	@ Florida State₂₄	L 73.60 - 74.03	L 68-73	16-4	103.66	95.37	▼ 8.29	100.30	97.78	▲ 2.52	▼ 5.77
Tue 1/24/2017	@ Pittsburgh₇₄	W 74.63 - 66.08	W 106-51	17-4	112.52	152.22	▲ 39.70	95.91	56.32	▲ 39.59	▲ 79.29
Sun 1/29/2017	vs NC State₁₀₁	W 84.57 - 66.70	W 85-60	18-4	114.94	134.82	▲ 19.88	94.89	85.23	▲ 9.66	▲ 29.54
Sat 2/4/2017	@ Boston College₁₃₇	W 79.29 - 64.32	W 90-67	19-4	111.65	121.57	▲ 9.92	87.50	76.82	▲ 10.68	▲ 20.60
Mon 2/6/2017	@ Virginia₉	L 58.43 - 61.70	L 55-71	19-5	96.12	88.66	▼ 7.46	97.59	111.12	▼ 13.53	▼ 20.99
Sat 2/11/2017	vs Miami₃₇	W 68.58 - 59.82	W 71-66	20-5	102.20	114.18	▲ 11.98	93.60	110.41	▼ 16.81	▼ 4.83
Mon 2/13/2017	@ Syracuse₄₃	W 73.92 - 70.07	W 76-72 (OT)	21-5	111.29	92.84	▼ 18.45	100.27	88.41	▲ 11.86	▼ 6.59
Sat 2/18/2017	vs Virginia Tech₅₀	W 79.10 - 67.93	W 94-90	22-5	111.58	149.40	▲ 37.82	100.37	145.07	▼ 44.70	▼ 6.88
Wed 2/22/2017	@ North Carolina₃	L 71.30 - 76.70	L 63-74	22-6	101.21	86.94	▼ 14.27	103.96	99.17	▲ 4.79	▼ 9.48
Sun 2/26/2017	vs Syracuse₄₃	W 76.83 - 67.01	W 88-68	23-6	111.29	116.90	▲ 5.61	100.27	97.67	▲ 2.60	▲ 8.21
Wed 3/1/2017	@ Wake Forest₃₀	W 78.63 - 76.60	L 81-88	23-7	110.44	113.48	▲ 3.04	103.35	121.73	▼ 18.38	▼ 15.34
Sat 3/4/2017	vs Notre Dame₂₃	W 74.88 - 69.31	W 71-64	24-7	106.85	107.02	▲ 0.17	103.50	100.68	▲ 2.82	▲ 2.99
Thu 3/9/2017	vs Duke₁₁ *	L 73.35 - 73.99	L 77-81	24-8	104.87	106.94	▲ 2.07	105.67	110.96	▼ 5.29	▼ 3.22
Fri 3/17/2017	vs Jacksonville St.₁₇₀ *	W 76.39 - 57.92	W 78-63	25-8	113.64	126.67	▲ 13.03	86.49	101.69	▼ 15.20	▼ 2.17
Sun 3/19/2017	vs Michigan₁₈ *	W 70.10 - 68.88	L 69-73	25-9	107.88	113.11	▲ 5.23	106.17	115.87	▼ 9.70	▼ 4.47
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Louisville does better vs. clubs that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. When playing squads that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 59.47%, Louisville performs above average 80% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 29% of the time.
	Louisville performs worse against squads that tend to get off more shots. When facing teams that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.63, Louisville is more efficient than normal 20% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 63% of the time.
	When playing teams that favor a faster tempo, Louisville usually performs better than average. Louisville is more efficient than normal 63% of the time when facing clubs that have a pace vs. AO greater than 68.92. In all other contests, Louisville performs better than average 20% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox