Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Kentucky 38-1 (0.974) | SEC

All-Play Percentage: 1.000 (1^st)	Schedule Strength: 0.717 (23^rd)	Record Quality: 0.713 (1^st)	Avg. Season Rank: 1.06 (1^st)
Pace: 64.18 (265^th)	Momentum: 1.47 (90^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.42 (72^nd)	Def. Momentum: -0.95 (184^th)
Consistency: -10.36 (296^th)	Res. Consistency: -13.97 (304^th)	Away From Home: 0.83 (77^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.75 (244^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

118.31

35.98

74.89

85.61

48.45

22.99

36.59

32.05

36.93

30.56

69.45

13.28

17.54

8.94

26.86

37.44

35.70

1.91

RANK:

5^th

29^th

31^st

12^th

319^th

79^th

17^th

97^th

81^st

2^nd

59^th

56^th

18^th

336^th

31^st

130^th

40^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

78.80

24.63

82.87

33.80

25.35

26.50

29.20

28.39

28.32

45.92

8.75

14.12

4.64

30.58

35.24

34.18

1.96

RANK:

1^st

34^th

208^th

1^st

67^th

1^st

321^st

4^th

163^rd

1^st

19^th

94^th

14^th

53^rd

317^th

153^rd

239^th

ANALYSIS:
By our calculations, Kentucky is the cream of the crop in college hoops this year. Their record this season is 38-1, and the club is ranked first overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. Of the 14 schools in the SEC (average ranking 69.2), they're obviously ranked as the best team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.717 (which ranks 23rd nationally), Kentucky is one of the more battle-tested teams in the college game.

Kentucky is one of the most menacing defensive teams in the country. Ranked first in defensive efficiency, they will allow fewer than 79 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Kentucky will wreak havoc with many opponents' shooting percentages this year. And it doesn't really matter where the shots originate; the team ranks in the top-25 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. They allow AO to make just 26.5% of their three-pointers (first in the nation), 28.4% of their mid-range shots (fourth), 45.9% of their near-proximity attempts (first), and 33.8% of their total shots from the field (first). Kentucky also does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.6% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 14th in the NCAA).

The scary thing is that Kentucky is almost as dominant on the offensive end of the floor as they are on the defensive end of it. The team ranks fifth nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 118 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Kentucky is one of the nation's most effective teams finishing close to the iron. The team is ranked second in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 69.4% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. The squad likewise lands in the top-25 in overall offensive field goal percentage and makes good on about 48.4% of their total attempts vs. AO. Kentucky also does a super job in their efforts to get to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 35.98 vs. AO, they are ranked fifth in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. In addition, the team is in the top-50 in free throw shooting, converting a solid 74.9% of their attempts. Kentucky lastly does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 8.9% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 18th nationally).

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/14/2014	vs Grand Canyon₂₅₄	W 84.62 - 49.36	W 85-45	1-0	127.33	122.89	▼ 4.44	79.79	68.81	▲ 10.98	▲ 6.54
Sun 11/16/2014	vs Buffalo₆₅	W 79.65 - 56.05	W 71-52	2-0	114.63	104.39	▼ 10.24	86.37	80.71	▲ 5.66	▼ 4.58
Tue 11/18/2014	vs Kansas₁₃ *	W 70.08 - 60.06	W 72-40	3-0	106.28	118.84	▲ 12.56	91.62	66.02	▲ 25.60	▲ 38.16
Fri 11/21/2014	vs Boston U₂₃₆	W 83.42 - 49.81	W 89-65	4-0	126.55	117.43	▼ 9.12	81.31	90.01	▼ 8.70	▼ 17.82
Sun 11/23/2014	vs Montana State₃₂₀	W 84.88 - 43.65	W 86-28	5-0	125.81	103.70	▼ 22.11	70.06	27.42	▲ 42.64	▲ 20.53
Tue 11/25/2014	vs UT Arlington₁₈₈	W 85.55 - 51.85	W 92-44	6-0	121.04	140.27	▲ 19.23	78.77	36.30	▲ 42.47	▲ 61.70
Sun 11/30/2014	vs Providence₃₅	W 73.17 - 54.08	W 58-38	7-0	109.79	102.80	▼ 6.99	86.94	72.20	▲ 14.74	▲ 7.75
Fri 12/5/2014	vs Texas₂₃	W 70.06 - 53.01	W 63-51	8-0	109.12	89.45	▼ 19.67	88.79	79.09	▲ 9.70	▼ 9.97
Sun 12/7/2014	vs E. Kentucky₁₃₃	W 76.22 - 48.66	W 82-49	9-0	116.82	104.05	▼ 12.77	80.32	61.90	▲ 18.42	▲ 5.65
Wed 12/10/2014	vs Columbia₁₇₁	W 75.22 - 46.50	W 56-46	10-0	120.98	109.03	▼ 11.95	80.36	86.64	▼ 6.28	▼ 18.23
Sat 12/13/2014	vs North Carolina₉	W 75.75 - 62.41	W 84-70	11-0	108.10	125.15	▲ 17.05	94.65	106.10	▼ 11.45	▲ 5.60
Sat 12/20/2014	vs UCLA₅₅ *	W 74.48 - 56.82	W 83-44	12-0	112.65	116.67	▲ 4.02	86.70	30.00	▲ 56.70	▲ 60.72
Sat 12/27/2014	@ Louisville₁₇	W 65.28 - 57.49	W 58-50	13-0	103.90	99.64	▼ 4.26	86.81	78.38	▲ 8.43	▲ 4.17
Tue 1/6/2015	vs Ole Miss₄₆	W 77.80 - 56.76	W 89-86 (OT)	14-0	114.03	107.03	▼ 7.00	89.44	116.21	▼ 26.77	▼ 33.77
Sat 1/10/2015	@ Texas A&M₅₃	W 68.93 - 55.93	W 70-64 (2OT)	15-0	111.30	84.51	▼ 26.79	85.65	79.84	▲ 5.81	▼ 20.98
Tue 1/13/2015	vs Missouri₁₉₂	W 76.19 - 45.38	W 86-37	16-0	117.87	136.20	▲ 18.33	75.93	62.11	▲ 13.82	▲ 32.15
Sat 1/17/2015	@ Alabama₅₈	W 69.22 - 55.73	W 70-48	17-0	113.48	136.30	▲ 22.82	86.96	76.20	▲ 10.76	▲ 33.58
Tue 1/20/2015	vs Vanderbilt₃₉	W 74.27 - 55.01	W 65-57	18-0	114.84	94.04	▼ 20.80	90.83	90.66	▲ 0.17	▼ 20.63
Sat 1/24/2015	@ South Carolina₅₁	W 67.84 - 54.68	W 58-43	19-0	109.46	106.67	▼ 2.79	83.50	69.76	▲ 13.74	▲ 10.95
Thu 1/29/2015	@ Missouri₁₉₂	W 72.41 - 48.88	W 69-53	20-0	117.87	111.17	▼ 6.70	75.93	73.70	▲ 2.23	▼ 4.47
Sat 1/31/2015	vs Alabama₅₈	W 72.97 - 52.13	W 70-55	21-0	113.48	137.85	▲ 24.37	86.96	104.97	▼ 18.01	▲ 6.36
Tue 2/3/2015	vs Georgia₃₆	W 71.87 - 52.73	W 69-58	22-0	108.76	104.84	▼ 3.92	85.60	93.60	▼ 8.00	▼ 11.92
Sat 2/7/2015	@ Florida₂₇	W 64.57 - 54.41	W 68-61	23-0	105.69	110.91	▲ 5.22	84.70	95.42	▼ 10.72	▼ 5.50
Tue 2/10/2015	@ LSU₅₄	W 74.34 - 60.15	W 71-69	24-0	111.51	112.20	▲ 0.69	85.60	103.18	▼ 17.58	▼ 16.89
Sat 2/14/2015	vs South Carolina₅₁	W 71.65 - 50.95	W 77-43	25-0	109.46	120.28	▲ 10.82	83.50	70.99	▲ 12.51	▲ 23.33
Tue 2/17/2015	@ Tennessee₈₄	W 69.28 - 53.22	W 66-48	26-0	116.31	117.26	▲ 0.95	85.07	82.74	▲ 2.33	▲ 3.28
Sat 2/21/2015	vs Auburn₁₃₇	W 80.94 - 51.96	W 110-75	27-0	117.53	131.57	▲ 14.04	80.95	82.60	▼ 1.65	▲ 12.39
Wed 2/25/2015	@ Miss. State₁₅₇	W 72.56 - 51.10	W 74-56	28-0	116.79	125.38	▲ 8.59	77.95	79.79	▼ 1.84	▲ 6.75
Sat 2/28/2015	vs Arkansas₃₄	W 79.43 - 59.22	W 84-67	29-0	112.49	124.15	▲ 11.66	89.69	84.01	▲ 5.68	▲ 17.34
Tue 3/3/2015	@ Georgia₃₆	W 68.03 - 56.38	W 72-64	30-0	108.76	108.85	▲ 0.09	85.60	94.00	▼ 8.40	▼ 8.31
Sat 3/7/2015	vs Florida₂₇	W 68.32 - 50.96	W 67-50	31-0	105.69	103.59	▼ 2.10	84.70	86.02	▼ 1.32	▼ 3.42
Fri 3/13/2015	vs Florida₂₇ *	W 66.44 - 52.68	W 64-49	32-0	105.69	112.28	▲ 6.59	84.70	83.93	▲ 0.77	▲ 7.36
Sat 3/14/2015	vs Auburn₁₃₇ *	W 78.93 - 53.83	W 91-67	33-0	117.53	137.50	▲ 19.97	80.95	91.07	▼ 10.12	▲ 9.85
Sun 3/15/2015	vs Arkansas₃₄ *	W 77.37 - 61.21	W 78-63	34-0	112.49	122.81	▲ 10.32	89.69	90.91	▼ 1.22	▲ 9.10
Thu 3/19/2015	vs Hampton₂₅₇ *	W 82.02 - 48.93	W 79-56	35-0	119.70	119.61	▼ 0.09	72.42	56.00	▲ 16.42	▲ 16.33
Sat 3/21/2015	vs Cincinnati₅₆ *	W 66.14 - 50.02	W 64-51	36-0	109.42	105.26	▼ 4.16	83.57	75.44	▲ 8.13	▲ 3.97
Thu 3/26/2015	vs West Virginia₂₉ *	W 73.78 - 58.38	W 78-39	37-0	108.68	128.57	▲ 19.89	86.21	46.34	▲ 39.87	▲ 59.76
Sat 3/28/2015	vs Notre Dame₁₁ *	W 72.06 - 62.92	W 68-66	38-0	114.49	119.30	▲ 4.81	100.83	117.86	▼ 17.03	▼ 12.22
Sat 4/4/2015	vs Wisconsin₂ *	W 63.13 - 61.30	L 64-71	38-1	107.30	112.28	▲ 4.98	104.60	126.79	▼ 22.19	▼ 17.21
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---

Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Kentucky does worse vs. clubs that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 83.53, Kentucky performs above average 8% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 59% of the time.
	Kentucky performs better against squads that favor a faster tempo. When facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 66.01, Kentucky is more efficient than normal 73% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 25% of the time.
	When playing teams that convert well from outside the arc, Kentucky usually performs worse than average. Kentucky is more efficient than normal 30% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.59%. In all other contests, Kentucky performs better than average 75% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox