Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 N. Kentucky 14-11 (0.560) | Horizon

All-Play Percentage: 0.360 (229^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.384 (265^th)	Record Quality: -0.035 (195^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 213.08 (206^th)
Pace: 67.46 (290^th)	Momentum: 2.13 (80^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.80 (37^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.67 (187^th)
Consistency: -7.47 (35^th)	Res. Consistency: -9.67 (45^th)	Away From Home: 1.32 (68^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 2.09 (16^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.08

23.74

70.21

84.80

42.41

34.42

30.49

25.24

41.03

25.14

60.11

11.71

12.55

5.14

40.59

29.77

29.64

2.11

RANK:

181^st

212^th

208^th

59^th

236^th

64^th

316^th

106^th

74^th

290^th

135^th

133^rd

194^th

145^th

95^th

127^th

318^th

302^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.90

26.57

83.32

45.38

29.96

34.93

25.39

38.93

27.96

62.43

10.68

14.42

6.14

35.97

30.48

33.56

2.02

RANK:

266^th

248^th

223^rd

257^th

150^th

232^nd

282^nd

208^th

162^nd

295^th

144^th

279^th

303^rd

121^st

264^th

144^th

190^th

ANALYSIS:
If you see N. Kentucky on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. Haslametrics has them ranked 229th overall (out of 357) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 14-11. They are also ranked by this site as the #5 team (out of 12) in the Horizon League (average ranking 232.0).

N. Kentucky does not provide much of a challenge on defense. They are ranked at #266 in efficiency on that end of the court and give up about 104 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. N. Kentucky does a less-than-adequate job to prevent opponents from scoring off of the offensive glass. The team allows AO to convert 6.1% of all second-chance opportunities (303rd nationally).

Though they rate better on offense than they do on defense, N. Kentucky still isn't one of the more capable offensive teams in college hoops. Scoring roughly 99 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #181 in the nation in offensive efficiency. N. Kentucky won't enter the conversation if you're looking to list the best three-point shooting teams in the country. They are ranked 316th in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 30.5% of their attempts from long vs. AO.

N. Kentucky is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 35th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Wed 11/25/2020	vs Ball State₁₆₆	L 71.38 - 72.31	W 74-73	1-0	99.41	104.72	▲ 5.31	104.73	104.95	▼ 0.22	▲ 5.09
Thu 12/3/2020	vs Tenn. Tech₃₂₁	W 75.15 - 65.25	W 74-65	2-0	107.58	97.53	▼ 10.05	97.42	93.37	▲ 4.05	▼ 6.00
Sat 12/5/2020	@ Chattanooga₁₅₀	L 63.23 - 70.57	L 72-79	2-1	99.30	99.36	▲ 0.06	106.06	100.68	▲ 5.38	▲ 5.44
Tue 12/8/2020	@ Dayton₁₀₅	L 62.03 - 72.94	L 60-66	2-2	98.24	93.05	▼ 5.19	110.59	94.83	▲ 15.76	▲ 10.57
Sun 12/13/2020	@ Kent State₁₂₁	L 66.36 - 75.98	L 73-92	2-3	99.62	100.73	▲ 1.11	109.95	119.97	▼ 10.02	▼ 8.91
Sat 12/19/2020	vs Youngstown St.₂₇₁	W 72.64 - 67.32	W 79-64	3-3	106.66	128.37	▲ 21.71	103.69	102.14	▲ 1.55	▲ 23.26
Sun 12/20/2020	vs Youngstown St.₂₇₁	W 72.64 - 67.32	L 60-70	3-4	106.66	87.98	▼ 18.68	103.69	107.97	▼ 4.28	▼ 22.96
Fri 1/1/2021	vs Fort Wayne₃₀₇	W 74.69 - 66.09	W 75-68	4-4	107.30	97.86	▼ 9.44	99.29	94.03	▲ 5.26	▼ 4.18
Sat 1/2/2021	vs Fort Wayne₃₀₇	W 74.69 - 66.09	W 70-68	5-4	107.30	95.08	▼ 12.22	99.29	95.29	▲ 4.00	▼ 8.22
Fri 1/8/2021	@ Cleveland State₁₈₁	L 62.61 - 67.94	L 44-58	5-5	96.54	70.47	▼ 26.07	100.95	96.99	▲ 3.96	▼ 22.11
Sat 1/9/2021	@ Cleveland State₁₈₁	L 62.61 - 67.94	L 71-74 (OT)	5-6	96.54	88.50	▼ 8.04	100.95	86.58	▲ 14.37	▲ 6.33
Fri 1/15/2021	vs IUPUI₂₇₅	W 72.93 - 67.03	L 69-74	5-7	101.98	108.26	▲ 6.28	97.74	114.64	▼ 16.90	▼ 10.62
Sat 1/16/2021	vs IUPUI₂₇₅	W 72.93 - 67.03	L 63-65	5-8	101.98	88.84	▼ 13.14	97.74	94.99	▲ 2.75	▼ 10.39
Fri 1/22/2021	@ Robert Morris₂₈₈	W 69.93 - 68.82	W 81-76	6-8	107.66	121.26	▲ 13.60	102.64	109.63	▼ 6.99	▲ 6.61
Sat 1/23/2021	@ Robert Morris₂₈₈	W 69.93 - 68.82	W 79-74 (OT)	7-8	107.66	113.53	▲ 5.87	102.64	107.86	▼ 5.22	▲ 0.65
Fri 1/29/2021	vs UIC₂₉₅	W 70.85 - 63.48	W 72-68	8-8	102.38	98.92	▼ 3.46	96.25	97.91	▼ 1.66	▼ 5.12
Sat 1/30/2021	vs UIC₂₉₅	W 70.85 - 63.48	W 69-67	9-8	102.38	105.26	▲ 2.88	96.25	106.42	▼ 10.17	▼ 7.29
Fri 2/5/2021	@ Milwaukee₂₂₈	L 71.00 - 73.91	W 87-73	10-8	104.65	129.41	▲ 24.76	104.78	99.35	▲ 5.43	▲ 30.19
Sat 2/6/2021	@ Milwaukee₂₂₈	L 71.00 - 73.91	W 79-65	11-8	104.65	113.01	▲ 8.36	104.78	89.17	▲ 15.61	▲ 23.97
Fri 2/12/2021	@ Green Bay₂₄₈	L 68.05 - 69.67	L 82-86 (OT)	11-9	106.31	119.69	▲ 13.38	104.97	113.99	▼ 9.02	▲ 4.36
Sat 2/13/2021	@ Green Bay₂₄₈	L 68.05 - 69.67	W 71-66	12-9	106.31	115.25	▲ 8.94	104.97	104.30	▲ 0.67	▲ 9.61
Fri 2/19/2021	vs Wright State₅₃	L 65.10 - 76.26	W 81-75	13-9	90.92	108.82	▲ 17.90	109.80	101.81	▲ 7.99	▲ 25.89
Sat 2/20/2021	vs Wright State₅₃	L 65.10 - 76.26	L 71-77	13-10	90.92	98.95	▲ 8.03	109.80	113.33	▼ 3.53	▲ 4.50
Tue 3/2/2021	vs Detroit Mercy₁₅₂	L 71.53 - 73.22	W 70-69	14-10	104.54	112.62	▲ 8.08	110.96	115.25	▼ 4.29	▲ 3.79
Mon 3/8/2021	vs Oakland₂₅₇ *	W 73.38 - 71.53	L 58-69	14-11	106.56	91.67	▼ 14.89	103.95	109.68	▼ 5.73	▼ 20.62
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	N. Kentucky does better vs. clubs that are typically efficient on offense. When playing squads that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 98.74, N. Kentucky performs above average 91% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 21% of the time.
	N. Kentucky performs worse against squads that prefer the outside shot. When facing teams that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.10, N. Kentucky is more efficient than normal 13% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 71% of the time.
	When playing teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot, N. Kentucky usually performs worse than average. N. Kentucky is more efficient than normal 13% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 41.28%. In all other contests, N. Kentucky performs better than average 71% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Warrick lifts N. Kentucky over Wright St. 81-75 (2/19/2021 8:44:28 PM) HIGHLAND HEIGHTS, Ky. (AP) — Marques Warrick had 23 points as Northern Kentucky defeated Wright State 81-75 on Friday night.
	NKU seeks revenge on Green Bay (2/13/2021 6:31:04 AM) Northern Kentucky (11-9, 9-6) vs. Green Bay (7-14, 7-10)
	Jefferson carries Green Bay over Northern Kentucky in OT (2/12/2021 8:26:21 PM) GREEN BAY, Wis. (AP) — Josh Jefferson had a career-high 27 points and Emmanuel Ansong scored seven of his 24 points in overtime as Green Bay edged past Northern Kentucky 86-82 on Friday.
	Faulkner carries N. Kentucky past Milwaukee 79-65 (2/6/2021 6:08:06 PM) MILWAUKEE (AP) — Trevon Faulkner had 21 points as Northern Kentucky beat Milwaukee 79-65 on Saturday.
	NKU looks to extend streak vs Milwaukee (2/4/2021 6:30:41 AM) Northern Kentucky (9-8, 7-5) vs. Milwaukee (7-6, 6-5)

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox