Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Murray State 13-13 (0.500) | Ohio Valley

All-Play Percentage: 0.514 (174^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.325 (312^th)	Record Quality: -0.156 (256^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 157.69 (153^rd)
Pace: 68.00 (267^th)	Momentum: -0.99 (218^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.88 (137^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.87 (264^th)
Consistency: -10.31 (283^rd)	Res. Consistency: -15.71 (310^th)	Away From Home: -2.61 (330^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.37 (274^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.04

20.67

66.90

83.13

44.67

32.79

36.45

21.87

38.69

28.47

58.72

11.36

13.19

4.93

39.45

26.31

34.24

2.05

RANK:

164^th

325^th

297^th

121^st

115^th

116^th

62^nd

220^th

156^th

162^nd

185^th

152^nd

156^th

166^th

122^nd

229^th

174^th

217^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.53

25.83

80.73

44.83

29.46

34.13

21.15

38.55

30.13

59.68

10.47

12.87

5.21

36.49

26.19

37.32

1.99

RANK:

184^th

223^rd

102^nd

228^th

131^st

190^th

90^th

185^th

264^th

200^th

128^th

190^th

213^th

145^th

100^th

289^th

266^th

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, Murray State should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Carrying a record of 13-13, they are currently rated #174 overall (out of 357) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 12 schools in the OVC (average ranking 240.3), they're currently ranked as our #3 team in the conference.

Murray State will likely rely on their offense more than anything else to win games. The team is ranked 164th in offensive efficiency and scores more than 100 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Murray State has been generally quite good when shooting the three-pointer. They're ranked 62nd nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 36.5% of their attempts from there vs. AO. If Murray State does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's inability to get to the free throw line. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of only 20.67 vs. AO, which ranks 33rd-worst in the country.

Murray State is not quite as good on the defensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 184th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 101 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Although their defense isn't the greatest, Murray State doesn't stand out as being especially horrible in any one particular area on that end of the court, and they fall outside the bottom-100 in every one of the defensive categories we take into consideration for this analysis.

When playing on the road, Murray State performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 330th in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sun 11/29/2020	vs Greenville	---	W 173-95	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 12/2/2020	@ Mid Tennessee₃₀₄	W 68.84 - 62.86	L 61-78	1-1	102.75	85.53	▼ 17.22	90.51	105.80	▼ 15.29	▼ 32.51
Sat 12/5/2020	vs Illinois State₂₄₃	W 71.66 - 64.63	W 76-65	2-1	102.83	103.88	▲ 1.05	96.21	91.75	▲ 4.46	▲ 5.51
Tue 12/8/2020	vs Austin Peay₂₁₈	W 71.82 - 66.35	W 87-57	3-1	106.13	126.16	▲ 20.03	101.57	81.38	▲ 20.19	▲ 40.22
Fri 12/11/2020	@ S. Illinois₂₃₃	W 65.44 - 64.67	L 66-70	3-2	101.83	94.08	▼ 7.75	96.72	96.56	▲ 0.16	▼ 7.59
Tue 12/15/2020	vs Transylvania	---	W 90-49	4-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 12/21/2020	@ Austin Peay₂₁₈	L 69.12 - 69.19	L 70-74	4-3	106.13	104.78	▼ 1.35	101.57	103.74	▼ 2.17	▼ 3.52
Wed 12/30/2020	@ Belmont₁₀₂	L 67.56 - 76.00	L 55-68	4-4	99.78	89.23	▼ 10.55	107.52	105.80	▲ 1.72	▼ 8.83
Sat 1/2/2021	vs Morehead State₁₅₁	W 64.62 - 63.21	L 56-61	4-5	97.63	76.74	▼ 20.89	98.63	88.97	▲ 9.66	▼ 11.23
Thu 1/7/2021	@ E. Illinois₂₉₉	W 71.42 - 66.04	L 68-74	4-6	105.79	92.80	▼ 12.99	93.49	97.53	▼ 4.04	▼ 17.03
Sat 1/16/2021	@ UT Martin₃₄₉	W 73.06 - 60.50	W 79-57	5-6	111.82	110.20	▼ 1.62	89.31	74.05	▲ 15.26	▲ 13.64
Thu 1/21/2021	vs Jacksonville St.₁₇₅	W 69.03 - 66.22	L 82-85	5-7	102.97	116.70	▲ 13.73	101.72	123.57	▼ 21.85	▼ 8.12
Sat 1/23/2021	vs Tenn. Tech₃₂₁	W 76.32 - 62.98	W 72-63	6-7	108.59	113.99	▲ 5.40	93.26	100.52	▼ 7.26	▼ 1.86
Thu 1/28/2021	vs Tennessee St.₃₁₀	W 74.22 - 61.77	W 73-53	7-7	103.54	101.09	▼ 2.45	89.21	72.82	▲ 16.39	▲ 13.94
Sat 1/30/2021	vs Belmont₁₀₂	L 70.36 - 73.07	L 71-72	7-8	99.78	102.27	▲ 2.49	107.52	106.49	▲ 1.03	▲ 3.52
Mon 2/1/2021	@ SE Missouri St.₂₈₃	W 69.12 - 65.00	W 77-60	8-8	103.50	129.26	▲ 25.76	93.37	92.86	▲ 0.51	▲ 26.27
Thu 2/4/2021	@ Morehead State₁₅₁	L 61.99 - 65.88	L 56-66	8-9	97.63	91.03	▼ 6.60	98.63	102.62	▼ 3.99	▼ 10.59
Sat 2/6/2021	@ E. Kentucky₁₇₆	L 72.03 - 74.83	W 76-64	9-9	99.54	99.51	▼ 0.03	98.58	82.07	▲ 16.51	▲ 16.48
Fri 2/12/2021	vs SE Missouri St.₂₈₃	W 71.88 - 62.24	W 80-60	10-9	103.50	120.44	▲ 16.94	93.37	90.85	▲ 2.52	▲ 19.46
Sat 2/13/2021	vs UT Martin₃₄₉	W 75.76 - 57.75	W 84-55	11-9	111.82	125.86	▲ 14.04	89.31	65.40	▲ 23.91	▲ 37.95
Mon 2/15/2021	@ SIUE₃₂₆	W 71.59 - 63.45	W 86-57	12-9	107.78	136.62	▲ 28.84	91.14	94.41	▼ 3.27	▲ 25.57
Thu 2/18/2021	vs E. Illinois₂₉₉	W 74.21 - 63.26	L 59-68	12-10	105.79	80.35	▼ 25.44	93.49	102.14	▼ 8.65	▼ 34.09
Sat 2/20/2021	vs SIUE₃₂₆	W 74.34 - 60.66	W 89-62	13-10	107.78	141.34	▲ 33.56	91.14	73.88	▲ 17.26	▲ 50.82
Thu 2/25/2021	@ Jacksonville St.₁₇₅	L 66.37 - 68.96	L 74-87	13-11	102.97	116.65	▲ 13.68	101.72	138.19	▼ 36.47	▼ 22.79
Sat 2/27/2021	@ Tenn. Tech₃₂₁	W 73.52 - 65.80	L 61-71	13-12	108.59	91.53	▼ 17.06	93.26	103.83	▼ 10.57	▼ 27.63
Thu 3/4/2021	vs Jacksonville St.₁₇₅ *	W 67.70 - 67.59	L 65-68 (OT)	13-13	102.97	93.44	▼ 9.53	101.72	91.94	▲ 9.78	▲ 0.25
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---

Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Murray State does better vs. clubs that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. When playing squads that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 41.10%, Murray State performs above average 89% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
	Murray State performs worse against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 81.38, Murray State is more efficient than normal 15% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 82% of the time.
	When playing teams that allow more chances at the line, Murray State usually performs better than average. Murray State is more efficient than normal 75% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 24.80. In all other contests, Murray State performs better than average 17% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Tennessee Tech vs. Jacksonville State - Game Preview - March 4, 2021 - ESPN (3/3/2021 4:38:41 AM) Get a preview of the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks basketball game.
	Murray State looks to extend streak vs Tenn. Tech - WTOP (2/26/2021 6:36:53 AM) Murray State (13-11, 10-9) vs. Tennessee Tech (4-22, 4-15) Hooper Eblen Arena, Cookeville, Tennessee; Saturday, 9 p.m. EST BOTTOM LINE: Murray State looks for its seventh straight win in the head-to…
	Skipper-Brown lifts E. Illinois over Murray St. 68-59 (2/18/2021 10:53:57 PM) MURRAY, Ky. (AP) — Jordan Skipper-Brown recorded 14 points and 10 rebounds to lead Eastern Illinois to a 68-59 win over Murray State on Thursday night.
	Williams carries Murray State over SIU-Edwardsville 86-57 (2/15/2021 8:02:32 PM) EDWARDSVILLE, Ill. (AP) — KJ Williams had a career-high 28 points plus 14 rebounds as Murray State rolled past Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 86-57 on Monday.
	EKU, SIUE meet in conference play (2/7/2021 6:30:32 AM) Eastern Kentucky (14-4, 8-3) vs. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville (7-9, 5-5)

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox