Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Northwestern 22-12 (0.647) | Big Ten

All-Play Percentage: 0.873 (47^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.668 (52^nd)	Record Quality: 0.294 (47^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 56.34 (53^rd)
Pace: 64.68 (344^th)	Momentum: -0.29 (187^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.89 (303^rd)	Def. Momentum: 1.60 (70^th)
Consistency: -9.73 (248^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.99 (97^th)	Away From Home: -1.19 (287^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 2.83 (2^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

114.68

26.31

75.74

88.21

46.49

32.61

39.05

25.87

43.06

29.74

57.64

11.63

14.79

5.87

36.96

29.32

33.72

2.03

RANK:

36^th

186^th

46^th

48^th

68^th

145^th

7^th

100^th

37^th

232^nd

176^th

173^rd

112^th

136^th

180^th

114^th

262^nd

229^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.92

26.33

81.90

42.48

30.87

33.86

21.64

37.40

29.39

55.26

8.77

10.73

3.40

37.69

26.42

35.89

2.02

RANK:

60^th

185^th

37^th

95^th

152^nd

161^st

137^th

112^th

115^th

78^th

16^th

7^th

221^st

176^th

168^th

152^nd

ANALYSIS:
Northwestern has a fairly solid squad that likely falls within the top quartile of all teams in college basketball this year. Ranked 47th overall (out of 362) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 22-12. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 14) in the Big Ten (average ranking 54.7).

While favoring a more deliberate, half-court style of play (the 19th-slowest pace in D1), the primary strength for Northwestern this year is offense. The team is ranked 36th in efficiency on that end of the floor, and they'll rack up more than 114 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Northwestern is one of the most accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They're ranked seventh nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 39.0% of their attempts from there vs. AO. Northwestern also allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 8.77, which ranks #16 in the country.

Northwestern plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 60th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 99 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Northwestern does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.4% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked seventh in the NCAA), and with a rating of 10.73, they're 16th in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. Northwestern also does a really good job to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 37th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 81.90 vs. AO.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/6/2023	vs Binghamton₂₈₁	W 78.51 - 58.70	W 72-61	1-0	119.25	104.53	▼ 14.72	94.30	92.24	▲ 2.06	▼ 12.66
Fri 11/10/2023	vs Dayton₂₇	W 67.71 - 66.50	W 71-66	2-0	107.74	119.88	▲ 12.14	110.10	116.33	▼ 6.23	▲ 5.91
Tue 11/14/2023	vs W. Michigan₃₁₈	W 80.87 - 58.03	W 63-59	3-0	121.15	102.03	▼ 19.12	91.44	100.87	▼ 9.43	▼ 28.55
Sat 11/18/2023	vs URI₂₃₁ *	W 79.14 - 64.89	W 72-61	4-0	120.01	118.64	▼ 1.37	98.69	98.25	▲ 0.44	▼ 0.93
Sun 11/19/2023	vs Miss. State₃₄ *	L 65.80 - 67.15	L 57-66	4-1	103.43	81.54	▼ 21.89	105.95	105.60	▲ 0.35	▼ 21.54
Mon 11/27/2023	vs N. Illinois₃₀₁	W 82.72 - 61.06	W 89-67	5-1	123.40	139.95	▲ 16.55	95.44	104.20	▼ 8.76	▲ 7.79
Fri 12/1/2023	vs Purdue₃	L 66.47 - 74.64	W 92-88 (OT)	6-1	101.33	107.61	▲ 6.28	118.48	112.68	▲ 5.80	▲ 12.08
Sun 12/10/2023	vs Detroit Mercy₃₄₄	W 81.85 - 55.39	W 91-59	7-1	125.19	135.65	▲ 10.46	89.43	93.10	▼ 3.67	▲ 6.79
Wed 12/13/2023	vs Chicago State₂₉₆	W 76.48 - 55.91	L 73-75	7-2	118.87	108.07	▼ 10.80	92.12	114.48	▼ 22.36	▼ 33.16
Sat 12/16/2023	@ DePaul₃₁₂	W 77.85 - 62.09	W 56-46	8-2	121.58	97.45	▼ 24.13	93.67	71.60	▲ 22.07	▼ 2.06
Wed 12/20/2023	vs Arizona State₁₃₂ *	W 71.75 - 63.64	W 65-46	9-2	108.53	100.00	▼ 8.53	96.62	70.00	▲ 26.62	▲ 18.09
Fri 12/29/2023	vs Jackson State₃₀₇	W 81.00 - 59.04	W 74-63	10-2	120.38	109.58	▼ 10.80	92.37	93.58	▼ 1.21	▼ 12.01
Tue 1/2/2024	@ Illinois₁₃	L 69.43 - 78.68	L 66-96	10-3	107.80	91.90	▼ 15.90	116.71	149.55	▼ 32.84	▼ 48.74
Sun 1/7/2024	vs Michigan State₁₇	L 65.15 - 66.33	W 88-74	11-3	101.87	133.97	▲ 32.10	108.35	113.31	▼ 4.96	▲ 27.14
Wed 1/10/2024	@ Penn State₇₀	L 71.01 - 71.83	W 76-72	12-3	108.92	109.58	▲ 0.66	105.58	97.46	▲ 8.12	▲ 8.78
Sat 1/13/2024	@ Wisconsin₁₉	L 65.83 - 72.31	L 63-71	12-4	107.47	102.54	▼ 4.93	112.53	110.16	▲ 2.37	▼ 2.56
Wed 1/17/2024	vs Maryland₆₉	W 67.24 - 61.88	W 72-69	13-4	104.31	111.75	▲ 7.44	100.65	110.35	▼ 9.70	▼ 2.26
Sat 1/20/2024	@ Nebraska₃₁	L 68.78 - 73.84	L 69-75	13-5	107.00	104.01	▼ 2.99	109.54	107.76	▲ 1.78	▼ 1.21
Wed 1/24/2024	vs Illinois₁₃	L 72.76 - 75.38	W 96-91 (OT)	14-5	107.80	120.04	▲ 12.24	116.71	124.62	▼ 7.91	▲ 4.33
Sat 1/27/2024	vs Ohio State₅₀	W 70.31 - 66.93	W 83-58	15-5	107.83	139.13	▲ 31.30	107.48	87.64	▲ 19.84	▲ 51.14
Wed 1/31/2024	@ Purdue₃	L 63.25 - 77.84	L 96-105 (OT)	15-6	101.33	127.15	▲ 25.82	118.48	124.03	▼ 5.55	▲ 20.27
Sat 2/3/2024	@ Minnesota₈₀	W 70.05 - 69.58	L 66-75 (OT)	15-7	111.86	98.98	▼ 12.88	106.44	95.85	▲ 10.59	▼ 2.29
Wed 2/7/2024	vs Nebraska₃₁	W 72.10 - 70.51	W 80-68	16-7	107.00	113.41	▲ 6.41	109.54	101.09	▲ 8.45	▲ 14.86
Sun 2/11/2024	vs Penn State₇₀	W 74.37 - 68.50	W 68-63	17-7	108.92	100.49	▼ 8.43	105.58	96.57	▲ 9.01	▲ 0.58
Thu 2/15/2024	@ Rutgers₁₁₀	W 65.68 - 62.29	L 60-63	17-8	103.31	94.84	▼ 8.47	93.28	94.02	▼ 0.74	▼ 9.21
Sun 2/18/2024	@ Indiana₈₈	W 69.69 - 68.45	W 76-72	18-8	110.23	115.97	▲ 5.74	102.68	101.81	▲ 0.87	▲ 6.61
Thu 2/22/2024	vs Michigan₁₁₂	W 75.12 - 65.46	W 76-62	19-8	114.11	129.61	▲ 15.50	103.92	102.54	▲ 1.38	▲ 16.88
Wed 2/28/2024	@ Maryland₆₉	L 64.07 - 65.03	W 68-61	20-8	104.31	112.21	▲ 7.90	100.65	97.46	▲ 3.19	▲ 11.09
Sat 3/2/2024	vs Iowa₅₇	W 79.35 - 74.51	L 80-87	20-9	113.68	124.45	▲ 10.77	111.82	140.63	▼ 28.81	▼ 18.04
Wed 3/6/2024	@ Michigan State₁₇	L 62.00 - 69.43	L 49-53	20-10	101.87	85.59	▼ 16.28	108.35	85.80	▲ 22.55	▲ 6.27
Sat 3/9/2024	vs Minnesota₈₀	W 73.28 - 66.47	W 90-66	21-10	111.86	140.57	▲ 28.71	106.44	115.04	▼ 8.60	▲ 20.11
Fri 3/15/2024	vs Wisconsin₁₉ *	L 67.41 - 70.71	L 61-70	21-11	107.47	95.31	▼ 12.16	112.53	107.69	▲ 4.84	▼ 7.32
Fri 3/22/2024	vs FAU₄₅ *	L 71.65 - 71.89	W 77-65 (OT)	22-11	109.36	85.29	▼ 24.07	109.85	86.25	▲ 23.60	▼ 0.47
Sun 3/24/2024	vs UConn₁ *	L 62.32 - 74.50	L 58-75	22-12	100.72	86.67	▼ 14.05	120.00	118.64	▲ 1.36	▼ 12.69
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that prefer the outside shot, Northwestern often performs better than normal. Northwestern is more efficient than usual 63% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.96. In their other contests, Northwestern performs better than the norm 10% of the time.
	Northwestern does better vs. clubs that convert well from outside the arc. When playing squads that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.31%, Northwestern performs above average 80% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 33% of the time.
	Northwestern performs worse against squads that allow more chances at the line. When facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 22.72, Northwestern is more efficient than normal 35% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 73% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox