Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Northwestern9-15 (0.375) | Big Ten
All-Play Percentage: 0.750 (89th)
Schedule Strength: 0.807 (9th)
Record Quality: 0.041 (152nd)
Avg. Season Rank: 78.27 (74th)
Pace: 69.41 (202nd)
Momentum: 0.84 (133rd)
Off. Momentum: -2.26 (315th)
Def. Momentum: 3.11 (21st)
Consistency: -8.74 (126th)
Res. Consistency: -10.42 (80th)
Away From Home: 0.75 (113th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -2.37 (275th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
102.44
69.19
21.79
72.28
80.89
37.41
46.25
33.46
11.87
35.47
24.04
9.98
41.51
23.38
15.56
66.53
11.95
9.86
5.47
41.37
29.72
28.91
2.12
RANK:
121st
211th
293rd
136th
231st
93rd
60th
88th
69th
97th
141st
88th
62nd
329th
234th
13th
123rd
320th
112th
77th
129th
330th
318th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
92.96
69.62
21.88
--
80.99
33.19
40.99
33.97
11.07
32.58
23.38
8.92
38.13
23.63
13.21
55.90
10.57
11.11
4.70
41.94
28.88
29.18
2.13
RANK:
48th
165th
70th
--
123rd
53rd
57th
312th
248th
102nd
189th
195th
169th
26th
19th
76th
140th
74th
144th
326th
210th
24th
22nd
ANALYSIS: Despite what their win percentage might indicate, Northwestern is a good team that can cause more than enough trouble for most opponents. Carrying a record of 9-15, they are currently rated #89 overall (out of 357) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 14 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 42.1), they're currently ranked as our #13 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.807 (which ranks ninth nationally), Northwestern is one of the more battle-tested teams in the college game.
Northwestern has a fairly effective defensive attack. Occupying the #48 slot in our defensive efficiency ratings, they will allow about 93 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Northwestern has had some success this season preventing opponents from converting many of their overall field goal attempts. The team ranks #57 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO only makes good on about 41.0% of their total attempts from the floor. Northwestern also makes a point to avoid fouls and prevent opponents from getting to the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 21.88 vs. AO, they are currently rated 70th in the country in that category.
Northwestern is also a fairly decent team on the offensive end of the court. The team ranks 121st nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Northwestern is one of the nation's most effective teams finishing close to the iron. The team is ranked 13th in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 66.5% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. However, even with their high conversion rate on near-proximity attempts, this team usually settles for shots from longer distances. Only about 28.9% of their total attempts vs. AO are from the inside. Northwestern has also been fairly successful when shooting from the field. The squad is ranked 60th in the country in field goal percentage, making approximately 46.2% of their attempts vs. AO. If Northwestern does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad only has a rating of 9.86 vs. AO in potential points off of second chances, which ranks 38th-worst in college hoops.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Northwestern is typically worse vs. teams that tend to get off more shots. Against foes that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 83.27, Northwestern performs above their norm 20% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 77% of the time.
When facing teams that allow more chances at the line, Northwestern often performs better than normal. Northwestern is more efficient than usual 88% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 24.65. In their other contests, Northwestern performs better than the norm 33% of the time.
Northwestern does better vs. clubs that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. When playing squads that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 56.07%, Northwestern performs above average 88% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 33% of the time.
Williams helps Minnesota knock off Northwestern 51-46 (3/10/2021 9:26:42 PM) INDIANAPOLIS - Tre Williams scored 14 points and Jamal Mashburn Jr. 11 and Minnesota snapped a seven-game skid with a 51-46 win over Northwestern in t...
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