Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Idaho 21-13 (0.618) | Big Sky

All-Play Percentage: 0.374 (220^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.356 (315^th)	Record Quality: -0.028 (185^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 203.25 (202^nd)
Pace: 67.54 (295^th)	Momentum: -0.08 (170^th)	Off. Momentum: 3.58 (26^th)	Def. Momentum: -3.66 (323^rd)
Consistency: -7.66 (36^th)	Res. Consistency: -9.80 (58^th)	Away From Home: 1.44 (52^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.01 (98^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.06

31.04

71.77

78.08

41.49

25.27

35.55

23.76

36.00

29.05

51.15

8.63

14.28

5.82

32.36

30.43

37.21

1.95

RANK:

267^th

74^th

111^th

322^nd

268^th

286^th

138^th

185^th

143^rd

160^th

338^th

299^th

213^th

261^st

258^th

144^th

99^th

81^st

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.46

31.83

80.03

42.78

33.87

34.39

19.30

35.22

26.86

58.78

12.74

15.47

7.94

42.32

24.12

33.56

2.09

RANK:

153^rd

286^th

87^th

121^st

340^th

141^st

19^th

136^th

98^th

145^th

310^th

203^rd

264^th

343^rd

21^st

120^th

26^th

ANALYSIS:
Regardless of what the win percentage says, Idaho isn't a very good team this year. Carrying a record of 21-13, they are currently rated #220 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 12 schools in the Big Sky (average ranking 255.4), they're currently ranked as our #4 team in the conference.

Idaho will likely call on their defense to win a majority of their games. The team is ranked 153rd in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 102 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Idaho has been doing fairly decent work to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 87th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 80.03 vs. AO.

The offense for Idaho, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 267th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 96 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Idaho will have a really tough time winning games when taking into consideration their shooting percentage near the basket. The team is ranked 338th in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 51.2% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. Idaho is also one of the more inferior teams in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score on offense. The team is nationally ranked 322nd in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 78.08 vs. AO.

Idaho is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 36th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/14/2015	@ San Jose State₂₅₇	L 65.64 - 67.11	W 74-54	1-0	98.05	101.47	▲ 3.42	94.89	64.73	▲ 30.16	▲ 33.58
Tue 11/17/2015	@ CSU Bakersfield₁₁₁	L 57.68 - 69.20	L 45-68	1-1	88.69	76.13	▼ 12.56	99.93	105.85	▼ 5.92	▼ 18.48
Sat 11/21/2015	vs Linfield	---	W 85-59	2-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/23/2015	@ North Texas₂₈₀	W 69.28 - 68.99	W 65-63	3-1	103.35	91.96	▼ 11.39	97.55	82.22	▲ 15.33	▲ 3.94
Tue 11/24/2015	vs Troy₂₆₃ *	W 67.56 - 64.69	W 69-63	4-1	99.54	95.24	▼ 4.30	95.37	86.96	▲ 8.41	▲ 4.11
Wed 11/25/2015	vs Samford₂₁₉ *	L 67.31 - 67.34	L 58-75	4-2	100.08	80.04	▼ 20.04	100.21	103.50	▼ 3.29	▼ 23.33
Sat 11/28/2015	vs N. Illinois₁₇₃	W 65.69 - 64.68	L 59-66	4-3	94.38	85.14	▼ 9.24	99.20	104.46	▼ 5.26	▼ 14.50
Wed 12/2/2015	vs CSU Bakersfield₁₁₁	L 61.50 - 65.45	W 67-63	5-3	88.69	91.45	▲ 2.76	99.93	91.65	▲ 8.28	▲ 11.04
Sat 12/5/2015	vs Little Rock₅₉	L 57.68 - 65.92	L 54-64	5-4	88.68	90.76	▲ 2.08	106.68	112.91	▼ 6.23	▼ 4.15
Mon 12/7/2015	@ USC₅₅	L 62.32 - 79.46	L 55-74	5-5	92.35	85.46	▼ 6.89	110.90	106.61	▲ 4.29	▼ 2.60
Thu 12/10/2015	vs Washington St.₁₇₇	W 67.56 - 66.50	W 78-74	6-5	96.67	106.94	▲ 10.27	100.83	107.14	▼ 6.31	▲ 3.96
Fri 12/18/2015	vs New Hope	---	W 127-54	7-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 12/22/2015	@ UC Davis₂₂₂	L 58.98 - 62.62	W 68-51	8-5	92.04	110.85	▲ 18.81	92.63	79.34	▲ 13.29	▲ 32.10
Thu 12/31/2015	@ North Dakota₂₄₉	L 66.41 - 68.66	W 74-71	9-5	97.40	100.29	▲ 2.89	94.93	90.50	▲ 4.43	▲ 7.32
Sat 1/2/2016	@ N. Colorado₃₀₇	W 71.13 - 68.16	W 75-70	10-5	106.50	107.08	▲ 0.58	96.86	94.30	▲ 2.56	▲ 3.14
Sat 1/9/2016	@ E. Washington₁₉₉	L 69.36 - 74.42	L 60-74	10-6	105.39	91.63	▼ 13.76	107.42	111.60	▼ 4.18	▼ 17.94
Thu 1/14/2016	vs N. Arizona₃₄₈	W 75.61 - 58.83	W 83-76	11-6	105.51	106.80	▲ 1.29	87.72	91.81	▼ 4.09	▼ 2.80
Sat 1/16/2016	vs Southern Utah₃₄₅	W 76.32 - 61.01	L 83-85 (OT)	11-7	109.46	104.77	▼ 4.69	92.70	114.03	▼ 21.33	▼ 26.02
Thu 1/21/2016	@ Montana₁₅₁	L 61.11 - 69.03	W 63-58	12-7	96.42	98.37	▲ 1.95	102.86	83.65	▲ 19.21	▲ 21.16
Sat 1/23/2016	@ Montana State₂₅₁	L 69.68 - 71.63	L 68-70	12-8	106.02	109.17	▲ 3.15	102.91	101.56	▲ 1.35	▲ 4.50
Thu 1/28/2016	vs Sacramento St.₂₈₁	W 71.51 - 63.50	L 63-65	12-9	102.57	97.08	▼ 5.49	96.45	106.09	▼ 9.64	▼ 15.13
Sat 1/30/2016	vs Portland State₂₆₉	W 74.71 - 67.53	W 56-55	13-9	102.41	77.08	▼ 25.33	98.31	82.63	▲ 15.68	▼ 9.65
Thu 2/4/2016	@ Southern Utah₃₄₅	W 72.44 - 64.85	W 68-44	14-9	109.46	120.92	▲ 11.46	92.70	67.08	▲ 25.62	▲ 37.08
Sat 2/6/2016	@ N. Arizona₃₄₈	W 71.62 - 62.69	L 70-72	14-10	105.51	100.14	▼ 5.37	87.72	97.08	▼ 9.36	▼ 14.73
Thu 2/11/2016	vs N. Colorado₃₀₇	W 75.05 - 64.27	W 73-67	15-10	106.50	111.14	▲ 4.64	96.86	107.61	▼ 10.75	▼ 6.11
Sat 2/13/2016	vs North Dakota₂₄₉	W 70.41 - 64.74	W 65-64	16-10	97.40	94.10	▼ 3.30	94.93	99.89	▼ 4.96	▼ 8.26
Thu 2/18/2016	@ Portland State₂₆₉	L 70.67 - 71.41	W 80-74	17-10	102.41	112.64	▲ 10.23	98.31	92.86	▲ 5.45	▲ 15.68
Sat 2/20/2016	@ Sacramento St.₂₈₁	W 67.64 - 67.28	L 65-68	17-11	102.57	98.51	▼ 4.06	96.45	97.08	▼ 0.63	▼ 4.69
Sat 2/27/2016	vs E. Washington₁₉₉	W 73.22 - 70.65	W 66-62	18-11	105.39	97.08	▼ 8.31	107.42	96.86	▲ 10.56	▲ 2.25
Thu 3/3/2016	vs Weber State₁₆₂	W 64.65 - 64.34	W 62-58	19-11	94.41	89.62	▼ 4.79	99.12	89.48	▲ 9.64	▲ 4.85
Sat 3/5/2016	vs Idaho State₂₈₃	W 72.69 - 64.48	W 82-68	20-11	102.09	113.26	▲ 11.17	96.40	104.41	▼ 8.01	▲ 3.16
Thu 3/10/2016	vs E. Washington₁₉₉ *	L 71.29 - 72.53	W 77-73	21-11	105.39	118.46	▲ 13.07	107.42	112.31	▼ 4.89	▲ 8.18
Fri 3/11/2016	vs Montana₁₅₁ *	L 62.97 - 67.20	L 72-81	21-12	96.42	118.64	▲ 22.22	102.86	133.33	▼ 30.47	▼ 8.25
Wed 3/16/2016	@ Seattle₂₉₄	W 62.67 - 61.44	L 63-68	21-13	99.10	101.70	▲ 2.60	91.55	104.68	▼ 13.13	▼ 10.53
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---

Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

When playing teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities, Idaho usually performs worse than average. Idaho is more efficient than normal 33% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 10.26. In all other contests, Idaho performs better than average 71% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox