Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Boise State 20-12 (0.625) | Mountain West

All-Play Percentage: 0.769 (82^nd)	Schedule Strength: 0.612 (86^th)	Record Quality: 0.219 (69^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 86.07 (83^rd)
Pace: 71.01 (126^th)	Momentum: -0.28 (185^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.18 (142^nd)	Def. Momentum: -1.46 (235^th)
Consistency: -8.25 (90^th)	Res. Consistency: -13.34 (298^th)	Away From Home: 0.68 (81^st)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.00 (267^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.54

32.31

71.15

79.02

45.81

30.91

36.10

20.49

39.61

27.61

61.28

10.42

11.98

6.25

39.12

25.93

34.94

2.04

RANK:

84^th

24^th

146^th

291^st

91^st

132^nd

133^rd

277^th

44^th

211^th

119^th

189^th

303^rd

207^th

98^th

267^th

170^th

225^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.14

29.32

81.71

42.20

26.35

33.14

29.67

33.30

25.68

61.80

9.71

15.60

6.79

32.25

36.32

31.43

2.01

RANK:

109^th

234^th

169^th

81^st

43^rd

63^rd

335^th

48^th

66^th

229^th

88^th

250^th

184^th

39^th

341^st

65^th

196^th

ANALYSIS:
This website places Boise State in the top 25% of all NCAA college basketball teams this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 82nd overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 20-12. Of the 11 schools in the MWC (average ranking 131.3), they're currently ranked as our #2 team in the conference.

Boise State has a reasonably potent offensive attack. Occupying the #84 slot in our offensive efficiency rankings, they will score about 107 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Boise State does a super job in their efforts to get to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 32.31 vs. AO, they are ranked 24th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe, where the team shoots a rather mediocre 71.2%. Boise State also has a keen ability to drain field goals between the three-point line and the low post. The squad is ranked 44th nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 39.6% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO. However, even with their high conversion rate on mid-range attempts, this team usually settles for shots from other spots on the floor. Only about 25.9% of their overall attempts vs. AO are from those in-between locations. If Boise State does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad only has a rating of 11.98 vs. AO in potential points off of second chances, which ranks 49th-worst in college hoops.

Boise State plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 109th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 99 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Boise State has been able to successfully prevent opponents from making shots between the three-point stripe and the low post. They're ranked 48th in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 33.3% of their attempts from that distance. To capitalize on that weakness, this team will make AO shoot from mid-range locations more than they usually would. Of AO's total field goals, a large portion of them (36.3%) will be from mid-range. Boise State also owns a pretty good track record against teams that shoot the three. They rank 63rd in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 33.1% of their attempts from afar. For this reason, AO takes nowhere near as many threes as they typically would -- just 32.3% of AO's field goal attempts will be from downtown.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/12/2016	vs Northwest (WA)	---	W 85-46	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 11/17/2016	@ Charleston₁₀₇	L 67.88 - 68.62	L 47-60	1-1	102.52	73.88	▼ 28.64	98.93	92.95	▲ 5.98	▼ 22.66
Fri 11/18/2016	vs Miss. State₉₂ *	W 72.78 - 71.94	L 68-80	1-2	101.71	90.00	▼ 11.71	100.15	109.86	▼ 9.71	▼ 21.42
Sun 11/20/2016	vs W. Michigan₁₆₉ *	W 76.91 - 70.41	W 91-70	2-2	108.10	115.94	▲ 7.84	99.20	82.61	▲ 16.59	▲ 24.43
Fri 11/25/2016	vs Presbyterian₃₅₀	W 82.10 - 53.51	W 82-56	3-2	119.89	126.09	▲ 6.20	82.11	82.98	▼ 0.87	▲ 5.33
Mon 11/28/2016	@ Oregon₁₄	L 64.38 - 80.02	L 63-68	3-3	95.03	93.52	▼ 1.51	112.71	97.78	▲ 14.93	▲ 13.42
Wed 11/30/2016	vs SMU₁₅	L 65.74 - 74.50	W 71-62	4-3	96.89	103.85	▲ 6.96	113.55	93.39	▲ 20.16	▲ 27.12
Sat 12/3/2016	@ Evansville₁₄₈	W 72.14 - 69.92	L 67-72	4-4	105.46	94.00	▼ 11.46	97.32	97.78	▼ 0.46	▼ 11.92
Mon 12/5/2016	@ Loyola Marymount₁₇₈	W 73.59 - 69.05	W 80-79	5-4	106.40	107.48	▲ 1.08	95.88	103.12	▼ 7.24	▼ 6.16
Sun 12/18/2016	vs Idaho State₃₂₃	W 85.56 - 63.87	W 82-59	6-4	116.90	127.61	▲ 10.71	90.82	89.93	▲ 0.89	▲ 11.60
Wed 12/21/2016	vs CSU Northridge₂₈₀	W 89.07 - 70.83	W 79-62	7-4	116.26	111.34	▼ 4.92	96.56	71.71	▲ 24.85	▲ 19.93
Wed 12/28/2016	@ Utah State₁₂₃	W 72.30 - 71.53	W 83-80	8-4	106.40	114.38	▲ 7.98	100.99	108.90	▼ 7.91	▲ 0.07
Sat 12/31/2016	vs Colorado State₉₄	W 73.98 - 70.01	W 74-73	9-4	104.03	100.56	▼ 3.47	102.83	102.22	▲ 0.61	▼ 2.86
Wed 1/4/2017	@ UNLV₂₂₅	W 75.21 - 67.62	W 77-59	10-4	106.46	114.91	▲ 8.45	91.67	79.75	▲ 11.92	▲ 20.37
Sat 1/7/2017	vs San Diego State₈₇	W 68.82 - 65.34	W 78-66	11-4	98.98	116.83	▲ 17.85	97.52	103.80	▼ 6.28	▲ 11.57
Sat 1/14/2017	@ Fresno State₁₁₀	L 70.88 - 71.33	L 80-89	11-5	102.07	96.33	▼ 5.74	98.50	101.27	▼ 2.77	▼ 8.51
Tue 1/17/2017	vs New Mexico₁₂₄	W 77.16 - 70.01	L 70-81	11-6	105.60	102.26	▼ 3.34	99.30	121.33	▼ 22.03	▼ 25.37
Sat 1/21/2017	@ San Jose State₁₉₉	W 76.35 - 70.72	W 75-65	12-6	106.49	106.38	▼ 0.11	94.35	84.09	▲ 10.26	▲ 10.15
Wed 1/25/2017	vs Nevada₆₆	W 77.04 - 76.26	L 57-76	12-7	104.07	80.60	▼ 23.47	107.30	114.72	▼ 7.42	▼ 30.89
Sat 1/28/2017	@ Wyoming₁₁₆	W 76.50 - 76.09	W 80-65	13-7	103.63	112.07	▲ 8.44	99.23	81.12	▲ 18.11	▲ 26.55
Tue 1/31/2017	@ Colorado State₉₄	L 70.93 - 73.07	W 79-76	14-7	104.03	120.13	▲ 16.10	102.83	112.94	▼ 10.11	▲ 5.99
Sat 2/4/2017	vs Utah State₁₂₃	W 75.33 - 68.51	W 72-70	15-7	106.40	105.25	▼ 1.15	100.99	108.28	▼ 7.29	▼ 8.44
Sat 2/11/2017	vs Air Force₂₁₈	W 79.26 - 66.38	W 76-66	16-7	110.55	109.55	▼ 1.00	97.15	97.87	▼ 0.72	▼ 1.72
Tue 2/14/2017	@ New Mexico₁₂₄	W 74.03 - 73.21	L 73-78	16-8	105.60	99.55	▼ 6.05	99.30	99.08	▲ 0.22	▼ 5.83
Sat 2/18/2017	vs Wyoming₁₁₆	W 79.78 - 72.80	W 91-87	17-8	103.63	107.42	▲ 3.79	99.23	109.62	▼ 10.39	▼ 6.60
Wed 2/22/2017	@ Nevada₆₆	L 73.88 - 79.42	L 77-85	17-9	104.07	109.16	▲ 5.09	107.30	119.21	▼ 11.91	▼ 6.82
Sat 2/25/2017	vs San Jose State₁₉₉	W 79.55 - 67.56	W 85-78	18-9	106.49	114.22	▲ 7.73	94.35	109.06	▼ 14.71	▼ 6.98
Tue 2/28/2017	vs Fresno State₁₁₀	W 73.98 - 68.33	L 67-74	18-10	102.07	97.78	▼ 4.29	98.50	112.66	▼ 14.16	▼ 18.45
Sat 3/4/2017	@ Air Force₂₁₈	W 76.18 - 69.44	W 98-70	19-10	110.55	147.83	▲ 37.28	97.15	90.64	▲ 6.51	▲ 43.79
Thu 3/9/2017	vs San Diego State₈₇ *	W 67.33 - 66.83	L 68-87	19-11	98.98	91.94	▼ 7.04	97.52	119.05	▼ 21.53	▼ 28.57
Tue 3/14/2017	@ Utah₄₉	L 70.18 - 77.84	W 73-68	20-11	100.92	105.07	▲ 4.15	107.23	87.93	▲ 19.30	▲ 23.45
Mon 3/20/2017	@ Illinois₆₇	L 66.66 - 71.68	L 56-71	20-12	98.48	86.59	▼ 11.89	100.95	103.94	▼ 2.99	▼ 14.88
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that shoot the ball well from the field, Boise State often performs worse than normal. Boise State is more efficient than usual 20% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 44.93%. In their other contests, Boise State performs better than the norm 63% of the time.
	Boise State does better vs. clubs that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 43.21%, Boise State performs above average 70% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 29% of the time.
	Boise State performs better against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.10, Boise State is more efficient than normal 55% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 18% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox