Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Jacksonville St. 13-18 (0.419) | Atlantic Sun

All-Play Percentage: 0.304 (254^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.429 (199^th)	Record Quality: -0.178 (268^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 262.19 (263^rd)
Pace: 66.45 (269^th)	Momentum: 3.19 (46^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.70 (63^rd)	Def. Momentum: 0.48 (103^rd)
Consistency: -11.16 (356^th)	Res. Consistency: -14.76 (322^nd)	Away From Home: -0.91 (214^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -4.55 (348^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.31

25.25

69.78

81.83

41.77

34.52

35.73

20.94

34.53

26.36

55.43

6.96

13.75

5.02

42.19

25.59

32.22

2.10

RANK:

266^th

176^th

258^th

311^th

289^th

70^th

82^nd

277^th

321^st

309^th

281^st

348^th

205^th

203^rd

39^th

260^th

281^st

328^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.30

24.63

84.91

43.81

38.54

35.13

21.71

41.03

24.66

59.83

11.59

12.10

3.25

45.39

25.57

29.04

2.16

RANK:

251^st

155^th

185^th

165^th

355^th

253^rd

92^nd

313^th

18^th

212^th

244^th

51^st

5^th

357^th

74^th

16^th

10^th

ANALYSIS:
Jacksonville St. has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. Ranked 254th overall (out of 363) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 13-18. They are also ranked by this site as the #11 team (out of 14) in the Atlantic Sun (average ranking 209.1).

Jacksonville St. is not one of the better offensive teams you will find. They are rated #266 in efficiency on that end of the court and only score about 98 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Jacksonville St. needs improvement when it comes to draining the mid-range shot. The team is ranked 321st in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 34.5% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO.

Jacksonville St. doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 106 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #251 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Jacksonville St. is extremely underskilled to force steals that turn into quick and easy points. They're ranked #348 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 6.96 vs. AO. Jacksonville St. also hasn't done terribly well defending the mid-range jumper. The squad is ranked 313th nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 41.0% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor. If Jacksonville St. does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to prevent opponents from converting second-chance opportunities via offensive rebounds. The team has a defensive second-chance conversion percentage of 3.3% vs. AO, which ranks fifth-best in the nation.

Jacksonville St. has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #46 ranking in positive momentum. Jacksonville St. has also been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked eighth from the bottom overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/7/2022	vs Shorter	---	W 111-48	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/14/2022	@ UIC₂₈₈	L 67.03 - 67.84	L 60-67	1-1	100.85	79.85	▼ 21.00	97.73	85.65	▲ 12.08	▼ 8.92
Fri 11/18/2022	@ Alabama₄	L 57.13 - 85.11	L 62-104	1-2	83.25	102.00	▲ 18.75	117.56	158.78	▼ 41.22	▼ 22.47
Tue 11/22/2022	vs Elon₃₂₉	W 70.13 - 62.42	W 78-53	2-2	105.11	122.53	▲ 17.42	97.01	72.37	▲ 24.64	▲ 42.06
Fri 11/25/2022	@ New Mexico₆₈	L 65.96 - 83.04	L 61-79	2-3	95.96	77.81	▼ 18.15	115.43	107.37	▲ 8.06	▼ 10.09
Sat 11/26/2022	vs N. Colorado₂₃₆ *	L 71.32 - 72.30	L 82-86 (OT)	2-4	104.61	107.81	▲ 3.20	106.02	107.81	▼ 1.79	▲ 1.41
Sun 11/27/2022	vs North Dakota St.₂₁₃ *	L 67.43 - 70.02	W 81-71	3-4	100.58	115.71	▲ 15.13	103.94	102.53	▲ 1.41	▲ 16.54
Sat 12/3/2022	@ ETSU₂₄₃	L 64.43 - 67.52	W 63-61	4-4	100.24	103.62	▲ 3.38	100.98	99.66	▲ 1.32	▲ 4.70
Thu 12/8/2022	@ Utah₇₃	L 57.87 - 73.30	L 58-99	4-5	90.45	65.64	▼ 24.81	108.67	140.22	▼ 31.55	▼ 56.36
Wed 12/14/2022	vs Reinhardt	---	W 97-63	5-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/17/2022	vs Little Rock₃₂₁	W 77.71 - 70.00	W 72-62	6-5	108.53	105.46	▼ 3.07	102.28	91.55	▲ 10.73	▲ 7.66
Wed 12/21/2022	@ South Alabama₉₆	L 59.48 - 72.22	L 66-71	6-6	93.00	104.73	▲ 11.73	108.43	103.97	▲ 4.46	▲ 16.19
Tue 12/27/2022	vs Georgia SW	---	W 78-73	7-6	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 12/30/2022	vs North Alabama₂₈₁	W 71.67 - 67.45	L 62-66	7-7	103.59	91.94	▼ 11.65	101.40	100.51	▲ 0.89	▼ 10.76
Mon 1/2/2023	@ Jacksonville₂₁₈	L 59.02 - 63.48	L 46-62	7-8	97.98	74.92	▼ 23.06	101.12	118.83	▼ 17.71	▼ 40.77
Thu 1/5/2023	@ Liberty₄₅	L 57.77 - 75.08	L 41-75	7-9	91.89	57.56	▼ 34.33	114.70	111.46	▲ 3.24	▼ 31.09
Sat 1/7/2023	vs Bellarmine₂₄₈	W 65.01 - 62.70	L 62-75	7-10	103.28	99.22	▼ 4.06	102.99	124.95	▼ 21.96	▼ 26.02
Thu 1/12/2023	vs North Florida₂₄₉	W 73.98 - 71.29	W 72-63	8-10	107.57	108.77	▲ 1.20	107.73	97.46	▲ 10.27	▲ 11.47
Sat 1/14/2023	vs Jacksonville₂₁₈	W 61.50 - 60.90	L 62-68	8-11	97.98	104.89	▲ 6.91	101.12	117.26	▼ 16.14	▼ 9.23
Thu 1/19/2023	@ FGCU₁₇₈	L 64.36 - 71.30	L 51-55	8-12	99.73	81.69	▼ 18.04	106.26	83.94	▲ 22.32	▲ 4.28
Sat 1/21/2023	@ Stetson₁₆₉	L 65.75 - 72.83	L 81-87	8-13	104.58	111.23	▲ 6.65	111.68	124.15	▼ 12.47	▼ 5.82
Thu 1/26/2023	vs Lipscomb₁₅₃	L 67.47 - 70.35	W 72-67	9-13	97.42	108.77	▲ 11.35	105.56	105.08	▲ 0.48	▲ 11.83
Sat 1/28/2023	vs Austin Peay₃₂₅	W 68.32 - 61.07	W 70-53	10-13	104.22	106.19	▲ 1.97	97.74	88.67	▲ 9.07	▲ 11.04
Thu 2/2/2023	@ E. Kentucky₁₅₂	L 65.77 - 74.13	L 67-69	10-14	97.40	100.53	▲ 3.13	105.64	99.47	▲ 6.17	▲ 9.30
Sat 2/4/2023	@ Bellarmine₂₄₈	L 62.51 - 65.31	L 64-71	10-15	103.28	86.38	▼ 16.90	102.99	101.07	▲ 1.92	▼ 14.98
Thu 2/9/2023	vs Kennesaw State₁₄₀	L 66.07 - 70.24	L 52-54	10-16	95.95	79.25	▼ 16.70	105.74	87.72	▲ 18.02	▲ 1.32
Sat 2/11/2023	@ Kennesaw State₁₄₀	L 63.37 - 72.90	L 71-74	10-17	95.95	107.97	▲ 12.02	105.74	110.12	▼ 4.38	▲ 7.64
Thu 2/16/2023	vs Queens₁₉₂	L 71.30 - 72.43	W 76-69	11-17	101.07	105.04	▲ 3.97	106.74	100.22	▲ 6.52	▲ 10.49
Sat 2/18/2023	vs Liberty₄₅	L 60.35 - 72.43	L 55-79	11-18	91.89	67.09	▼ 24.80	114.70	122.00	▼ 7.30	▼ 32.10
Wed 2/22/2023	@ Cent. Arkansas₃₂₃	W 74.77 - 72.60	W 101-71	12-18	106.90	135.34	▲ 28.44	100.32	88.47	▲ 11.85	▲ 40.29
Fri 2/24/2023	@ North Alabama₂₈₁	L 68.94 - 70.17	W 92-83	13-18	103.59	128.03	▲ 24.44	101.40	111.70	▼ 10.30	▲ 14.14
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---

Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Jacksonville St. does better vs. clubs that favor a faster tempo. When playing squads that have a pace vs. AO greater than 65.66, Jacksonville St. performs above average 75% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 13% of the time.
	Jacksonville St. performs better against squads that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. When facing teams that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 11.54, Jacksonville St. is more efficient than normal 83% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 38% of the time.
	When playing teams that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass, Jacksonville St. usually performs better than average. Jacksonville St. is more efficient than normal 70% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 4.31%. In all other contests, Jacksonville St. performs better than average 25% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox