Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Howard 12-20 (0.375) | MEAC

All-Play Percentage: 0.071 (326^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.291 (345^th)	Record Quality: -0.331 (313^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 288.50 (292^nd)
Pace: 71.35 (89^th)	Momentum: -1.44 (236^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.81 (297^th)	Def. Momentum: 0.36 (124^th)
Consistency: -7.54 (29^th)	Res. Consistency: -9.68 (56^th)	Away From Home: -0.61 (236^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.28 (81^st)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

89.98

34.59

70.00

78.21

38.27

20.65

28.63

28.45

31.28

29.11

51.94

11.08

15.63

6.71

26.41

36.38

37.21

1.89

RANK:

332^nd

9^th

165^th

320^th

341^st

348^th

349^th

54^th

326^th

159^th

330^th

149^th

130^th

164^th

342^nd

29^th

98^th

21^st

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

108.59

29.96

84.63

45.31

30.83

35.85

23.29

37.62

30.52

60.73

13.54

17.35

7.54

36.42

27.52

36.06

2.00

RANK:

294^th

214^th

280^th

240^th

266^th

230^th

149^th

248^th

245^th

210^th

335^th

299^th

240^th

230^th

119^th

216^th

163^rd

ANALYSIS:
Not one of the better ball-clubs in college basketball, Howard should be a fairly easy win for most capable opponents. Haslametrics has them ranked 326th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 12-20. They are also ranked by this site as the #8 team (out of 13) in the MEAC (average ranking 310.7). With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.291 (which ranks seventh from the bottom in the nation), Howard has faced some of the easiest opponents in all of college basketball.

Howard has one of the most anemic offenses around. They rank 332nd in efficiency on that end of the court and score fewer than 90 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Howard is a lousy shooting team, incapable of converting efficiently from anyplace on the floor and ranking in the bottom-50 in each of our four most noteworthy field goal shooting categories. They make just 28.6% of their three-pointers (ranking third from the bottom nationally), 31.3% of their mid-range attempts (326th), 51.9% of their near-proximity chances (330th), and 38.3% of their total shots from the field (341st) vs. AO. Howard also tends to be very careless with the ball and allows far too many breakaway opportunities off of their own turnovers. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 13.54, which ranks 335th in D1. If Howard does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to get to the free throw line. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of 34.59 vs. AO, which ranks ninth in the country.

Howard doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 109 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #294 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Howard could do a better job to deny opponents chances to score off of the offensive glass. The club has a rating of 17.35 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (299th nationally).

Howard is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 29th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/14/2015	@ UMass₁₅₀	L 62.74 - 80.89	L 79-85	0-1	88.41	99.26	▲ 10.85	107.82	103.33	▲ 4.49	▲ 15.34
Sun 11/15/2015	@ Rutgers₂₉₀	L 68.21 - 76.46	L 70-82	0-2	96.51	87.92	▼ 8.59	102.25	99.58	▲ 2.67	▼ 5.92
Fri 11/20/2015	vs Medgar	---	W 106-64	1-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/23/2015	vs Texas Southern₁₈₆ *	L 66.56 - 78.04	W 87-81	2-2	93.73	112.99	▲ 19.26	109.70	105.19	▲ 4.51	▲ 23.77
Wed 11/25/2015	vs Cent. Arkansas₃₃₈ *	W 76.53 - 74.74	W 73-54	3-2	103.00	108.06	▲ 5.06	100.64	75.81	▲ 24.83	▲ 29.89
Sat 11/28/2015	vs William & Mary₉₃	L 65.84 - 80.69	W 79-77	4-2	89.84	119.19	▲ 29.35	116.19	121.00	▼ 4.81	▲ 24.54
Mon 11/30/2015	vs Central Penn	---	W 98-79	5-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/5/2015	@ NC A&T₃₄₃	L 70.19 - 71.74	L 63-66	5-3	102.26	89.30	▼ 12.96	98.73	88.54	▲ 10.19	▼ 2.77
Mon 12/7/2015	@ NC Central₃₀₈	L 65.71 - 71.53	W 71-69	6-3	96.62	101.53	▲ 4.91	99.69	90.33	▲ 9.36	▲ 14.27
Wed 12/9/2015	@ Purdue₈	L 53.57 - 89.53	L 55-93	6-4	78.50	72.15	▼ 6.35	123.29	159.58	▼ 36.29	▼ 42.64
Sat 12/12/2015	vs Radford₂₃₃	L 67.97 - 72.43	L 91-92 (2OT)	6-5	94.41	107.03	▲ 12.62	106.29	113.12	▼ 6.83	▲ 5.79
Sat 12/19/2015	vs UMBC₃₁₅	W 75.86 - 73.28	W 103-93	7-5	101.72	115.67	▲ 13.95	104.14	109.10	▼ 4.96	▲ 8.99
Tue 12/22/2015	@ Cent. Michigan₁₅₅	L 64.88 - 81.90	L 52-72	7-6	95.77	83.90	▼ 11.87	114.36	110.34	▲ 4.02	▼ 7.85
Mon 12/28/2015	@ Columbia₁₁₈	L 61.65 - 81.42	L 59-72	7-7	92.88	75.64	▼ 17.24	114.94	85.54	▲ 29.40	▲ 12.16
Sat 1/2/2016	@ Hawaii₆₁	L 58.15 - 84.99	L 59-94	7-8	81.88	82.33	▲ 0.45	112.44	110.13	▲ 2.31	▲ 2.76
Wed 1/6/2016	vs Cornell₂₇₆	L 72.93 - 73.91	L 81-84	7-9	94.46	102.78	▲ 8.32	101.10	111.57	▼ 10.47	▼ 2.15
Sat 1/9/2016	vs Coppin State₃₃₀	W 75.85 - 71.17	W 72-63	8-9	101.36	107.69	▲ 6.33	100.72	98.81	▲ 1.91	▲ 8.24
Mon 1/11/2016	@ Delaware State₃₅₁	W 67.75 - 64.24	W 41-38	9-9	101.43	98.27	▼ 3.16	91.07	85.45	▲ 5.62	▲ 2.46
Sat 1/16/2016	vs Harvard₁₆₀	L 62.25 - 70.97	L 61-69	9-10	86.85	85.77	▼ 1.08	104.50	102.23	▲ 2.27	▲ 1.19
Tue 1/26/2016	vs Bethune-Cookman₃₁₀	W 70.92 - 68.82	W 70-68	10-10	98.35	106.59	▲ 8.24	100.96	108.36	▼ 7.40	▲ 0.84
Sat 1/30/2016	@ Morgan State₃₀₉	L 67.34 - 73.30	L 63-83	10-11	96.20	80.68	▼ 15.52	98.94	100.63	▼ 1.69	▼ 17.21
Mon 2/1/2016	@ UMES₃₀₆	L 67.86 - 73.82	L 67-85	10-12	98.68	99.69	▲ 1.01	102.04	128.23	▼ 26.19	▼ 25.18
Sat 2/6/2016	vs Norfolk State₂₄₄	L 71.24 - 74.47	L 92-99 (2OT)	10-13	97.72	101.00	▲ 3.28	108.00	113.76	▼ 5.76	▼ 2.48
Mon 2/8/2016	vs Hampton₂₅₆	L 71.37 - 74.25	L 65-68	10-14	93.91	84.22	▼ 9.69	103.49	93.11	▲ 10.38	▲ 0.69
Sat 2/13/2016	@ Coppin State₃₃₀	L 71.75 - 75.32	L 66-90	10-15	101.36	95.95	▼ 5.41	100.72	125.06	▼ 24.34	▼ 29.75
Tue 2/16/2016	vs UMES₃₀₆	W 71.84 - 69.85	W 77-74	11-15	98.68	96.54	▼ 2.14	102.04	97.58	▲ 4.46	▲ 2.32
Sat 2/20/2016	vs Savannah State₃₂₉	W 66.19 - 61.91	L 56-66	11-16	92.26	82.04	▼ 10.22	91.77	102.01	▼ 10.24	▼ 20.46
Mon 2/22/2016	vs S. Carolina St.₂₇₈	L 71.20 - 72.04	L 63-71	11-17	97.44	89.88	▼ 7.56	104.62	106.49	▼ 1.87	▼ 9.43
Wed 2/24/2016	vs Florida A&M₃₄₉	W 70.61 - 61.64	W 63-53	12-17	94.61	88.38	▼ 6.23	87.59	78.86	▲ 8.73	▲ 2.50
Sat 2/27/2016	@ Hampton₂₅₆	L 67.22 - 78.35	L 67-68	12-18	93.91	95.97	▲ 2.06	103.49	91.53	▲ 11.96	▲ 14.02
Mon 2/29/2016	@ Norfolk State₂₄₄	L 67.25 - 78.69	L 66-84	12-19	97.72	91.81	▼ 5.91	108.00	112.58	▼ 4.58	▼ 10.49
Tue 3/8/2016	vs NC Central₃₀₈ *	L 67.68 - 69.59	L 66-68	12-20	96.62	98.51	▲ 1.89	99.69	103.03	▼ 3.34	▼ 1.45
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Howard is typically worse vs. teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively. Against foes that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 107.47, Howard performs above their norm 39% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 83% of the time.
	When facing teams that do a nice job converting inside the paint, Howard often performs better than normal. Howard is more efficient than usual 75% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 55.52%. In their other contests, Howard performs better than the norm 36% of the time.
	Howard does worse vs. clubs that convert well from the charity stripe. When playing squads that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 68.76%, Howard performs above average 33% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 72% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox