Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 American 17-16 (0.515) | Patriot League

All-Play Percentage: 0.403 (210^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.448 (220^th)	Record Quality: -0.053 (201^st)	Avg. Season Rank: 194.18 (194^th)
Pace: 58.93 (351^st)	Momentum: 2.66 (50^th)	Off. Momentum: 4.67 (7^th)	Def. Momentum: -2.01 (257^th)
Consistency: -9.07 (150^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.11 (143^rd)	Away From Home: 0.36 (126^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.18 (118^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.13

25.89

71.90

76.12

44.44

30.34

35.78

19.01

35.62

26.77

60.52

8.68

6.93

3.04

39.86

24.98

35.16

2.05

RANK:

233^rd

289^th

87^th

342^nd

107^th

89^th

109^th

329^th

158^th

255^th

114^th

313^th

351^st

38^th

314^th

154^th

268^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.95

27.02

81.45

45.71

25.65

34.19

28.62

38.35

27.18

64.33

10.77

15.30

6.82

31.49

35.14

33.37

1.98

RANK:

167^th

100^th

144^th

275^th

80^th

140^th

304^th

284^th

123^rd

317^th

112^th

185^th

176^th

74^th

315^th

126^th

206^th

ANALYSIS:
American has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. They are ranked #210 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 17-16. Of the 10 schools in the Patriot League (average ranking 233.2), they're currently ranked as our #5 team in the conference.

With an extremely deliberate pace (the slowest in D1), American will likely call on their defense to win a majority of their games. The team is ranked 167th in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 101 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. American makes a point to avoid fouls and prevent opponents from getting to the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 27.02 vs. AO, they are currently rated 100th in the country in that category. If American does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's difficulties stopping opponents from converting from the inside. AO will convert 64.3% of their near-proximity field goal attempts, and the team ranks 35th-worst in that category as a result.

American doesn't perform as well offensively as they do defensively. The team is ranked 233rd in offensive efficiency, scoring about 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. American poses no threat whatsoever to grab rebounds off their own misses. Against AO, the ball-club has a rating of 6.93 in potential points scored off of second chances (last nationally), and they convert just 3.0% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked last) as well. American also happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked tenth from the bottom in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 76.12 vs. AO.

American has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #50 ranking in positive momentum.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/14/2014	@ Temple₆₈	L 51.24 - 63.58	L 37-40	0-1	89.90	70.24	▼ 19.66	103.87	69.76	▲ 34.11	▲ 14.45
Mon 11/17/2014	vs St. Francis (PA)₁₉₈	W 56.90 - 54.14	W 49-46	1-1	95.76	84.53	▼ 11.23	97.32	85.11	▲ 12.21	▲ 0.98
Fri 11/21/2014	vs Presbyterian₃₃₆ *	W 62.45 - 53.22	W 63-38	2-1	109.85	109.80	▼ 0.05	92.95	65.38	▲ 27.57	▲ 27.52
Sat 11/22/2014	@ LA Tech₈₃	L 55.42 - 67.19	L 44-63	2-2	92.83	86.28	▼ 6.55	105.47	117.58	▼ 12.11	▼ 18.66
Sun 11/23/2014	vs Morehead State₁₄₀ *	L 56.86 - 60.61	W 51-46	3-2	95.36	82.26	▼ 13.10	101.50	75.41	▲ 26.09	▲ 12.99
Wed 11/26/2014	@ Hampton₂₅₇	L 59.93 - 61.09	W 64-60	4-2	98.38	115.70	▲ 17.32	94.47	106.12	▼ 11.65	▲ 5.67
Sat 11/29/2014	@ Columbia₁₇₁	L 53.20 - 58.19	L 43-52	4-3	99.78	76.19	▼ 23.59	102.49	88.10	▲ 14.39	▼ 9.20
Wed 12/3/2014	@ Brown₂₇₈	L 61.25 - 61.35	W 66-49	5-3	102.58	117.24	▲ 14.66	96.58	82.76	▲ 13.82	▲ 28.48
Sat 12/6/2014	@ Illinois₄₄	L 50.70 - 65.61	L 55-70	5-4	89.52	86.29	▼ 3.23	108.65	104.25	▲ 4.40	▲ 1.17
Tue 12/16/2014	@ La Salle₉₆	L 50.66 - 60.95	W 68-66 (OT)	6-4	88.75	98.13	▲ 9.38	99.87	93.75	▲ 6.12	▲ 15.50
Sat 12/20/2014	vs Mt. St. Mary's₂₆₀	W 58.84 - 53.30	W 46-45	7-4	99.33	89.03	▼ 10.30	95.62	91.21	▲ 4.41	▼ 5.89
Tue 12/23/2014	@ Stony Brook₁₄₇	L 53.44 - 60.43	L 47-59	7-5	94.62	100.89	▲ 6.27	99.82	113.36	▼ 13.54	▼ 7.27
Wed 12/31/2014	@ Bucknell₂₀₃	L 57.27 - 61.00	L 47-57	7-6	100.95	87.59	▼ 13.36	101.34	100.80	▲ 0.54	▼ 12.82
Sat 1/3/2015	vs Holy Cross₂₃₅	W 59.75 - 55.22	W 53-49	8-6	99.48	87.89	▼ 11.59	97.64	85.98	▲ 11.66	▲ 0.07
Wed 1/7/2015	@ Loyola (MD)₃₁₅	W 57.24 - 54.43	L 53-56 (OT)	8-7	101.68	88.43	▼ 13.25	91.05	82.48	▲ 8.57	▼ 4.68
Sat 1/10/2015	vs Colgate₁₇₈	W 58.59 - 56.73	W 71-69 (2OT)	9-7	101.41	95.21	▼ 6.20	104.23	101.15	▲ 3.08	▼ 3.12
Wed 1/14/2015	vs Lehigh₁₉₉	W 60.71 - 57.71	W 62-59	10-7	97.39	103.39	▲ 6.00	98.18	103.18	▼ 5.00	▲ 1.00
Sat 1/17/2015	@ Lafayette₁₉₇	L 61.86 - 65.97	W 78-76	11-7	107.94	122.97	▲ 15.03	108.83	115.78	▼ 6.95	▲ 8.08
Wed 1/21/2015	@ Boston U₂₃₆	L 60.10 - 62.37	L 54-59	11-8	105.39	102.97	▼ 2.42	103.41	102.58	▲ 0.83	▼ 1.59
Mon 1/26/2015	vs Army₂₇₆	W 66.75 - 59.68	L 66-68	11-9	103.22	97.03	▼ 6.19	97.21	104.46	▼ 7.25	▼ 13.44
Wed 1/28/2015	@ Navy₂₈₃	W 55.56 - 55.55	L 54-64	11-10	101.84	102.97	▲ 1.13	95.36	120.11	▼ 24.75	▼ 23.62
Mon 2/2/2015	@ Holy Cross₂₃₅	L 56.32 - 58.63	W 57-50	12-10	99.48	115.35	▲ 15.87	97.64	96.58	▲ 1.06	▲ 16.93
Wed 2/4/2015	vs Loyola (MD)₃₁₅	W 60.65 - 51.09	W 64-49	13-10	101.68	107.74	▲ 6.06	91.05	90.47	▲ 0.58	▲ 6.64
Sat 2/7/2015	@ Colgate₁₇₈	L 55.28 - 60.00	L 43-59	13-11	101.41	72.02	▼ 29.39	104.23	125.60	▼ 21.37	▼ 50.76
Thu 2/12/2015	@ Lehigh₁₉₉	L 57.16 - 61.29	L 58-65	13-12	97.39	91.30	▼ 6.09	98.18	100.31	▼ 2.13	▼ 8.22
Sat 2/14/2015	vs Lafayette₁₉₇	W 65.34 - 62.43	W 88-77	14-12	107.94	134.53	▲ 26.59	108.83	120.16	▼ 11.33	▲ 15.26
Wed 2/18/2015	vs Boston U₂₃₆	W 63.55 - 59.00	L 53-61	14-13	105.39	84.96	▼ 20.43	103.41	104.64	▼ 1.23	▼ 21.66
Sun 2/22/2015	@ Army₂₇₆	L 63.06 - 63.29	L 63-72	14-14	103.22	104.58	▲ 1.36	97.21	113.16	▼ 15.95	▼ 14.59
Wed 2/25/2015	vs Navy₂₈₃	W 58.87 - 52.31	W 68-49	15-14	101.84	119.67	▲ 17.83	95.36	95.42	▼ 0.06	▲ 17.77
Sat 2/28/2015	vs Bucknell₂₀₃	W 60.71 - 57.64	L 69-71	15-15	100.95	106.55	▲ 5.60	101.34	117.49	▼ 16.15	▼ 10.55
Thu 3/5/2015	@ Lehigh₁₉₉	L 57.16 - 61.29	W 68-62	16-15	97.39	102.97	▲ 5.58	98.18	92.41	▲ 5.77	▲ 11.35
Sun 3/8/2015	@ Colgate₁₇₈	L 55.28 - 60.00	W 73-62	17-15	101.41	129.29	▲ 27.88	104.23	103.93	▲ 0.30	▲ 28.18
Wed 3/11/2015	@ Lafayette₁₉₇	L 61.86 - 65.97	L 63-65	17-16	107.94	111.99	▲ 4.05	108.83	110.57	▼ 1.74	▲ 2.31
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, American often performs better than normal. American is more efficient than usual 82% of the time when facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 69.80%. In their other contests, American performs better than the norm 36% of the time.
	American does better vs. clubs that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. When playing squads that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.91, American performs above average 65% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
	American performs better against squads that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.59%, American is more efficient than normal 64% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 27% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox