Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 FGCU 21-14 (0.600) | Atlantic Sun

All-Play Percentage: 0.503 (176^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.379 (289^th)	Record Quality: -0.048 (194^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 185.35 (184^th)
Pace: 68.74 (240^th)	Momentum: 4.91 (14^th)	Off. Momentum: 3.28 (34^th)	Def. Momentum: 1.64 (53^rd)
Consistency: -9.10 (204^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.81 (261^st)	Away From Home: 0.26 (138^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.99 (43^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.45

29.54

64.14

81.35

45.31

20.47

33.10

25.24

36.96

35.64

58.23

10.71

15.27

7.45

25.16

31.03

43.81

1.81

RANK:

193^rd

133^rd

333^rd

206^th

87^th

349^th

261^st

133^rd

102^nd

7^th

183^rd

170^th

155^th

103^rd

349^th

128^th

5^th

3^rd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.04

30.57

84.48

42.01

29.58

29.85

20.28

35.31

34.62

56.32

12.02

15.77

7.53

35.01

24.01

40.98

1.94

RANK:

144^th

244^th

270^th

91^st

217^th

5^th

47^th

143^rd

330^th

82^nd

271^st

220^th

239^th

173^rd

19^th

323^rd

292^nd

ANALYSIS:
While not an atrocious team by any means, FGCU is not exactly one that should appear in many top-100 rankings either. Haslametrics has them ranked 176th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 21-14. Of the eight schools in the Atlantic Sun (average ranking 243.1), they're currently ranked as our #2 team in the conference.

Based on their performances this year, FGCU will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 101 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #144 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. FGCU does an outstanding job shutting down the opposition from behind the arc. They rank fifth in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 29.9% of their attempts from afar.

FGCU is not quite as good on the offensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 193rd in offensive efficiency, scoring about 99 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. FGCU has had serious struggles making their free throws this year. Converting just 64.1% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #333 overall in free throw percentage.

FGCU has been playing much better basketball as of late and is presently ranked 14th in positive momentum because of it.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/14/2015	@ Ohio₁₃₆	L 69.62 - 76.22	L 75-85	0-1	101.95	104.27	▲ 2.32	105.54	110.60	▼ 5.06	▼ 2.74
Mon 11/16/2015	vs Texas Wesleyan	---	W 85-62	1-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/21/2015	vs Youngstown St.₂₉₇	W 81.22 - 68.46	W 104-101 (3OT)	2-1	110.03	89.08	▼ 20.95	97.96	96.16	▲ 1.80	▼ 19.15
Sun 11/22/2015	vs North Dakota₂₄₉	W 73.90 - 65.10	W 73-60	3-1	100.86	106.04	▲ 5.18	93.76	90.80	▲ 2.96	▲ 8.14
Mon 11/23/2015	vs Bowling Green₂₃₈	W 72.67 - 64.85	L 77-82	3-2	102.30	108.68	▲ 6.38	96.17	120.06	▼ 23.89	▼ 17.51
Fri 11/27/2015	@ Florida₃₉	L 60.11 - 76.22	L 50-70	3-3	89.20	78.68	▼ 10.52	106.22	95.59	▲ 10.63	▲ 0.11
Sun 11/29/2015	vs Ave Maria	---	W 91-34	4-3	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 12/2/2015	@ Texas A&M₂₂	L 57.85 - 76.61	L 65-75	4-4	88.30	88.05	▼ 0.25	109.93	98.43	▲ 11.50	▲ 11.25
Sun 12/6/2015	@ FIU₂₁₃	L 66.58 - 67.69	W 84-76 (OT)	5-4	103.76	110.49	▲ 6.73	99.47	103.05	▼ 3.58	▲ 3.15
Sun 12/13/2015	vs UMass₁₅₀	W 70.96 - 68.79	W 77-76	6-4	97.73	95.80	▼ 1.93	100.31	105.62	▼ 5.31	▼ 7.24
Sat 12/19/2015	vs South Dakota St.₇₀	L 68.14 - 73.32	L 52-56	6-5	96.51	75.87	▼ 20.64	109.33	87.77	▲ 21.56	▲ 0.92
Tue 12/22/2015	vs LA Tech₁₆₉	W 73.04 - 69.25	L 63-66	6-6	99.45	87.08	▼ 12.37	99.43	95.88	▲ 3.55	▼ 8.82
Mon 12/28/2015	vs South Dakota₂₁₈ *	W 74.16 - 71.42	L 81-89 (OT)	6-7	104.99	94.75	▼ 10.24	100.93	104.11	▼ 3.18	▼ 13.42
Thu 12/31/2015	vs La Salle₂₆₂	W 71.33 - 62.04	W 86-77	7-7	103.41	113.30	▲ 9.89	95.16	102.92	▼ 7.76	▲ 2.13
Sat 1/2/2016	vs Eckerd	---	W 68-57	8-7	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 1/5/2016	vs Webber Int.	---	W 104-59	9-7	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 1/9/2016	vs Stetson₂₈₄	W 79.15 - 67.48	W 82-53	10-7	109.13	117.84	▲ 8.71	98.17	67.07	▲ 31.10	▲ 39.81
Thu 1/14/2016	vs NJIT₁₉₇	W 72.28 - 66.76	W 82-78 (OT)	11-7	101.79	97.08	▼ 4.71	99.25	101.53	▼ 2.28	▼ 6.99
Sat 1/16/2016	vs USC Upstate₃₂₀	W 76.56 - 62.46	W 85-56	12-7	109.80	117.08	▲ 7.28	94.36	65.66	▲ 28.70	▲ 35.98
Thu 1/21/2016	@ Kennesaw State₂₆₇	W 70.72 - 68.63	W 79-74	13-7	104.02	119.09	▲ 15.07	95.84	105.91	▼ 10.07	▲ 5.00
Sun 1/24/2016	@ Lipscomb₂₅₈	W 74.61 - 73.02	L 75-91	13-8	105.34	108.00	▲ 2.66	97.67	125.63	▼ 27.96	▼ 25.30
Wed 1/27/2016	vs Jacksonville₂₈₉	W 76.76 - 64.96	L 69-78	13-9	106.23	84.77	▼ 21.46	94.96	110.49	▼ 15.53	▼ 36.99
Sat 1/30/2016	@ North Florida₁₅₄	L 75.13 - 80.30	L 76-82	13-10	108.77	111.49	▲ 2.72	110.31	115.92	▼ 5.61	▼ 2.89
Mon 2/1/2016	@ Jacksonville₂₈₉	W 72.92 - 68.82	L 80-83	13-11	106.23	122.32	▲ 16.09	94.96	120.96	▼ 26.00	▼ 9.91
Sat 2/6/2016	vs North Florida₁₅₄	W 79.00 - 76.21	W 81-65	14-11	108.77	121.86	▲ 13.09	110.31	102.20	▲ 8.11	▲ 21.20
Thu 2/11/2016	@ USC Upstate₃₂₀	W 72.84 - 66.17	W 71-64	15-11	109.80	98.86	▼ 10.94	94.36	81.29	▲ 13.07	▲ 2.13
Sat 2/13/2016	@ NJIT₁₉₇	L 68.51 - 70.76	L 59-68	15-12	101.79	93.24	▼ 8.55	99.25	103.53	▼ 4.28	▼ 12.83
Thu 2/18/2016	vs Lipscomb₂₅₈	W 78.57 - 68.96	W 82-67	16-12	105.34	111.79	▲ 6.45	97.67	93.06	▲ 4.61	▲ 11.06
Sat 2/20/2016	vs Kennesaw State₂₆₇	W 74.52 - 64.74	W 68-63	17-12	104.02	94.23	▼ 9.79	95.84	95.56	▲ 0.28	▼ 9.51
Thu 2/25/2016	@ Stetson₂₈₄	W 75.30 - 71.50	L 73-80	17-13	109.13	107.40	▼ 1.73	98.17	114.73	▼ 16.56	▼ 18.29
Tue 3/1/2016	vs Kennesaw State₂₆₇	W 74.52 - 64.74	W 74-64	18-13	104.02	116.44	▲ 12.42	95.84	96.57	▼ 0.73	▲ 11.69
Thu 3/3/2016	@ North Florida₁₅₄	L 75.13 - 80.30	W 89-56	19-13	108.77	146.05	▲ 37.28	110.31	85.08	▲ 25.23	▲ 62.51
Sun 3/6/2016	vs Stetson₂₈₄	W 79.15 - 67.48	W 80-78 (OT)	20-13	109.13	103.24	▼ 5.89	98.17	110.73	▼ 12.56	▼ 18.45
Tue 3/15/2016	vs Fair. Dickinson₂₇₂ *	W 77.36 - 70.98	W 96-65	21-13	108.07	117.91	▲ 9.84	99.81	80.30	▲ 19.51	▲ 29.35
Thu 3/17/2016	vs North Carolina₅ *	L 63.82 - 85.42	L 67-83	21-14	90.73	93.94	▲ 3.21	119.67	119.40	▲ 0.27	▲ 3.48
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	FGCU does worse vs. clubs that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. When playing squads that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.20%, FGCU performs above average 18% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 60% of the time.
	FGCU performs better against squads that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass. When facing teams that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 7.18%, FGCU is more efficient than normal 61% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 23% of the time.
	When playing teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds, FGCU usually performs better than average. FGCU is more efficient than normal 67% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 17.49. In all other contests, FGCU performs better than average 32% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox