Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 FGCU 22-11 (0.667) | Atlantic Sun

All-Play Percentage: 0.446 (194^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.373 (310^th)	Record Quality: 0.074 (131^st)	Avg. Season Rank: 155.10 (150^th)
Pace: 65.80 (160^th)	Momentum: -5.56 (347^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.06 (145^th)	Def. Momentum: -6.62 (350^th)
Consistency: -10.21 (288^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.73 (250^th)	Away From Home: 0.70 (87^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.82 (42^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.19

26.54

66.29

85.25

41.58

26.32

33.07

23.01

32.88

35.92

53.39

11.96

17.38

6.61

30.88

26.99

42.13

1.89

RANK:

230^th

268^th

272^nd

43^rd

242^nd

233^rd

238^th

259^th

279^th

5^th

301^st

125^th

66^th

181^st

265^th

291^st

7^th

20^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.62

30.39

85.14

41.57

28.19

31.46

23.56

36.56

33.39

53.65

11.39

17.47

6.98

33.11

27.67

39.22

1.94

RANK:

163^rd

230^th

302^nd

98^th

189^th

31^st

96^th

214^th

323^rd

43^rd

163^rd

308^th

199^th

134^th

59^th

309^th

282^nd

ANALYSIS:
Regardless of what the win percentage says, FGCU isn't a very good team this year. They have a record of 22-11 and are ranked 194th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of eight) in the Atlantic Sun (average ranking 260.8).

Based on their performances this year, FGCU will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 101 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #163 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. FGCU has done a very good job to prevent opponents from draining threes this year. They rank 31st in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 31.5% of their attempts from afar. FGCU has also done a really good job this year to prevent opponents from making shots from the inside. They are ranked 43rd in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 53.6% of their attempts from close-up. And to capitalize on that weakness, this team will make AO shoot from the inside more than they usually would. Of AO's total field goals, a big portion of them (39.2%) will be from short-distance. If FGCU does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's difficulties stopping opponents from obtaining second-chance opportunities via offensive rebounds. The squad has a rating of 17.47 in potential points allowed off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks 44th-worst in college hoops.

FGCU doesn't perform as well offensively as they do defensively. The team is ranked 230th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. FGCU fares worse than most teams when it comes to converting from locations close to the hoop. The team is ranked 301st in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 53.4% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. If FGCU does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to successfully get off shots each possession. The squad has a field goal attempt rate of 85.25 vs. AO, which ranks #43 in college basketball.

FGCU has been playing some of their worst basketball of the season as of late, and they're presently ranked fifth from the bottom in positive momentum because of it.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/15/2014	vs Nova SE	---	W 63-51	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/17/2014	vs UCSB₈₂	L 61.97 - 66.34	W 81-75 (OT)	2-0	94.05	97.03	▲ 2.98	105.80	99.94	▲ 5.86	▲ 8.84
Wed 11/19/2014	vs Ohio₂₂₀	W 69.72 - 64.54	W 79-62	3-0	100.62	111.30	▲ 10.68	98.24	91.73	▲ 6.51	▲ 17.19
Mon 11/24/2014	vs Marist₃₀₆ *	W 67.38 - 60.60	W 58-43	4-0	101.35	80.56	▼ 20.79	91.13	61.11	▲ 30.02	▲ 9.23
Tue 11/25/2014	vs San Francisco₁₃₄ *	L 64.91 - 68.90	W 62-47	5-0	96.95	89.26	▼ 7.69	102.00	67.66	▲ 34.34	▲ 26.65
Wed 11/26/2014	vs Green Bay₇₃ *	L 59.06 - 67.94	L 45-59	5-1	88.72	71.43	▼ 17.29	101.41	93.44	▲ 7.97	▼ 9.32
Sun 11/30/2014	vs South Dakota St.₁₀₇ *	L 64.93 - 71.10	W 71-58	6-1	97.27	106.25	▲ 8.98	105.67	84.85	▲ 20.82	▲ 29.80
Wed 12/3/2014	vs Florida Tech	---	W 77-58	7-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sun 12/7/2014	vs UMass₁₃₂ *	L 65.31 - 69.47	W 84-75	8-1	95.90	118.31	▲ 22.41	101.64	100.00	▲ 1.64	▲ 24.05
Sun 12/14/2014	vs FIU₂₆₈	W 66.98 - 59.05	L 63-69	8-2	98.87	79.12	▼ 19.75	92.03	104.49	▼ 12.46	▼ 32.21
Fri 12/19/2014	vs Furman₃₀₅	W 69.54 - 59.41	W 83-78	9-2	105.99	110.73	▲ 4.74	95.34	115.65	▼ 20.31	▼ 15.57
Tue 12/23/2014	@ Iona₁₁₀	L 69.25 - 79.18	L 67-86	9-3	101.14	99.69	▼ 1.45	109.34	126.06	▼ 16.72	▼ 18.17
Sun 12/28/2014	@ Xavier₂₂	L 58.82 - 77.31	L 57-71	9-4	91.84	83.85	▼ 7.99	113.49	98.50	▲ 14.99	▲ 7.00
Tue 12/30/2014	@ Pittsburgh₇₅	L 58.29 - 70.11	L 54-71	9-5	96.44	94.20	▼ 2.24	108.87	115.99	▼ 7.12	▼ 9.36
Fri 1/2/2015	vs Ave Maria	---	W 49-36	10-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 1/5/2015	@ UCSB₈₂	L 58.35 - 70.18	L 50-63	10-6	94.05	82.17	▼ 11.88	105.80	97.99	▲ 7.81	▼ 4.07
Sat 1/10/2015	vs Stetson₃₃₈	W 74.87 - 58.92	W 72-50	11-6	108.60	102.98	▼ 5.62	90.58	75.67	▲ 14.91	▲ 9.29
Wed 1/14/2015	@ North Florida₁₅₉	L 66.28 - 72.70	L 64-80	11-7	99.97	101.38	▲ 1.41	102.86	118.57	▼ 15.71	▼ 14.30
Sat 1/17/2015	vs Jacksonville₃₄₀	W 73.34 - 57.31	W 79-50	12-7	110.31	137.45	▲ 27.14	90.85	85.95	▲ 4.90	▲ 32.04
Thu 1/22/2015	@ USC Upstate₁₇₆	L 61.86 - 66.52	W 71-68	13-7	98.79	119.36	▲ 20.57	99.77	106.71	▼ 6.94	▲ 13.63
Sat 1/24/2015	@ Kennesaw State₃₄₅	W 70.46 - 60.56	W 54-48	14-7	107.45	90.07	▼ 17.38	86.91	74.45	▲ 12.46	▼ 4.92
Thu 1/29/2015	vs Lipscomb₃₀₀	W 74.47 - 63.94	W 78-62	15-7	105.30	109.15	▲ 3.85	95.68	87.82	▲ 7.86	▲ 11.71
Sat 1/31/2015	vs N. Kentucky₂₃₄	W 67.61 - 62.16	W 74-64	16-7	102.44	116.38	▲ 13.94	99.02	106.05	▼ 7.03	▲ 6.91
Sat 2/7/2015	@ Stetson₃₃₈	W 71.05 - 62.67	W 67-51	17-7	108.60	101.43	▼ 7.17	90.58	72.41	▲ 18.17	▲ 11.00
Thu 2/12/2015	@ N. Kentucky₂₃₄	L 63.96 - 65.80	W 65-59	18-7	102.44	97.17	▼ 5.27	99.02	82.54	▲ 16.48	▲ 11.21
Sat 2/14/2015	@ Lipscomb₃₀₀	W 70.56 - 67.92	W 76-74	19-7	105.30	108.53	▲ 3.23	95.68	99.81	▼ 4.13	▼ 0.90
Thu 2/19/2015	vs Kennesaw State₃₄₅	W 74.29 - 56.61	W 54-53	20-7	107.45	98.92	▼ 8.53	86.91	102.97	▼ 16.06	▼ 24.59
Sat 2/21/2015	vs USC Upstate₁₇₆	W 65.52 - 62.84	W 86-72	21-7	98.79	128.64	▲ 29.85	99.77	112.21	▼ 12.44	▲ 17.41
Wed 2/25/2015	vs North Florida₁₅₉	W 70.15 - 68.67	L 62-76	21-8	99.97	89.48	▼ 10.49	102.86	115.15	▼ 12.29	▼ 22.78
Sat 2/28/2015	@ Jacksonville₃₄₀	W 69.65 - 60.96	L 67-75	21-9	110.31	106.05	▼ 4.26	90.85	110.67	▼ 19.82	▼ 24.08
Tue 3/3/2015	vs Jacksonville₃₄₀	W 73.34 - 57.31	W 81-63	22-9	110.31	118.57	▲ 8.26	90.85	99.85	▼ 9.00	▼ 0.74
Thu 3/5/2015	vs USC Upstate₁₇₆	W 65.52 - 62.84	L 62-63	22-10	98.79	102.11	▲ 3.32	99.77	109.75	▼ 9.98	▼ 6.66
Wed 3/18/2015	vs Texas A&M-CC₂₄₆	W 66.06 - 59.97	L 69-75	22-11	100.09	103.18	▲ 3.09	95.67	114.91	▼ 19.24	▼ 16.15
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	FGCU is typically better vs. teams that tend to get off more shots. Against foes that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 78.97, FGCU performs above their norm 62% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 22% of the time.
	When facing teams that allow more chances at the line, FGCU often performs worse than normal. FGCU is more efficient than usual 38% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 28.39. In their other contests, FGCU performs better than the norm 78% of the time.
	FGCU does worse vs. clubs that find ways to get to the free throw line. When playing squads that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 26.57, FGCU performs above average 37% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 73% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox