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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through November 23, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.777 (81st)
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0.989 (5th)
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0.444 (202nd)
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0.582 (80th)
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0.086 (151st)
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0.630 (4th)
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86.00 (89th)
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3.10 (2nd)
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N/A (N/A)
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N/A (N/A)
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-5.73 (60th)
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N/A (N/A)
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-2.74 (266th)
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N/A (N/A)
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66.18 (347th)
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70.82 (80th)
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IN POSSESSION
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SC
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AUB
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
111.58 |
66 |
92.80 |
10 |
FTAR |
29.85 |
54 |
26.18 |
136 |
FT% |
69.70 |
215 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
87.95 |
46 |
83.94 |
87 |
FG% |
44.75 |
120 |
38.52 |
3 |
3P% |
34.41 |
135 |
29.29 |
6 |
MR% |
40.71 |
102 |
36.49 |
66 |
NP% |
58.62 |
134 |
49.16 |
1 |
PPSt |
10.46 |
286 |
8.85 |
3 |
SCC% |
6.02 |
95 |
4.25 |
33 |
Prox |
2.03 |
213 |
1.99 |
278 |
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IN POSSESSION
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AUB
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SC
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
122.61 |
4 |
101.73 |
101 |
FTAR |
28.99 |
82 |
28.44 |
256 |
FT% |
72.41 |
151 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
88.65 |
23 |
86.40 |
251 |
FG% |
50.00 |
5 |
41.82 |
72 |
3P% |
37.14 |
26 |
33.63 |
168 |
MR% |
48.96 |
2 |
37.56 |
96 |
NP% |
64.28 |
25 |
54.38 |
49 |
PPSt |
15.95 |
12 |
11.05 |
99 |
SCC% |
7.93 |
11 |
4.97 |
99 |
Prox |
2.02 |
184 |
2.01 |
209 |
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SOUTH CAROLINA IN POSSESSION: According to the numbers, the Auburn D should have a modest advantage on South Carolina at this particular end of the floor. The Auburn defense is ranked #10 in Division I, while South Carolina comes in nationally at #66 on offense. | SHOT SELECTION: The South Carolina offense leans slightly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the Auburn defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the Auburn defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the South Carolina offense will be 36.8% three-pointers (1.0% below the D1 average), 26.6% mid-range jumpers (a shade below the D1 average), and 36.6% near-proximity twos (1.0% above the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: South Carolina is fairly decent at draining shots from the floor, ranking 120th nationally in overall field goal conversion rate. The Auburn defense, meanwhile, has been ruthless and relentless, repeatedly shutting down opposing shooters and ranking as our #3 team in defensive field goal conversion rate. The Auburn defense appears to have a noteworthy advantage at all three levels on this end. This site expects South Carolina to shoot 30.3% from three (3.5% below the D1 average), 37.6% from the mid-range (1.7% below the D1 average), 50.6% from near-proximity locations (7.1% below the D1 average), and 39.7% overall (4.1% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Auburn may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. South Carolina has the fingerprint of a team that's above-average, yet not outstanding, on the offensive glass. They are also considered to be somewhat above-average when gauging second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #95 in that department). The opposition here, Auburn, cleans the defensive glass at an extremely high level, and they've similarly done great work curbing points via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked 33rd in defensive second-chance conversion rate). | | TURNOVERS: The Auburn defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. On offense, South Carolina exhibits better ball-control skills than the average D1 squad. Their field goal attempt rate is well above-average (rated 46th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is more than satisfactory (99th in the country). As for the opposition, the Auburn defense exhibits a fair amount of pressure, which can occasionally create havoc for opposing offenses. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #12 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #87 in defensive field goal attempt rate. | | FREE THROWS: These two squads are matched fairly evenly in this department. The South Carolina offense has a nose for getting to the charity stripe (54th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (69.7%, 215th in the country). As for the opposition, the aggressive Auburn defense is relatively average in defensive free throw attempt rate, ranking 136th in the country in that category. |
AUBURN IN POSSESSION: When pitted against the South Carolina defense, the Auburn offense appears to have somewhat of an advantage. Auburn is currently fourth in the country in offensive efficiency, while South Carolina nationally comes in at #101 in defensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams are somewhat similar on this end of the floor. Both schemes are relatively balanced, and neither the outside shot nor the inside shot will be consistently employed/allowed by either ball-club. Against the South Carolina defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Auburn offense will be 36.4% three-pointers (1.4% below the D1 average), 28.6% mid-range jumpers (1.9% above the D1 average), and 35.0% near-proximity twos (0.6% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Auburn is a superbly efficient team when it comes to shooting, as the unit is ranked fifth in the country in overall field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the South Carolina defense has done well to keep their opponents' shooting percentages down (rated our #72 team in defensive field goal percentage this year). On this end of the court, the Auburn offense has an analytical edge in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the two opposing units are rated fairly evenly in near-proximity shooting. We expect Auburn to shoot 37.2% from behind the arc (3.4% above the D1 average), 45.3% from mid-range locations (6.0% above the D1 average), 61.6% from near-proximity (3.9% above the D1 average), and 48.0% overall (4.3% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Auburn may have a modest rebounding edge on this end of the floor. Auburn has to be considered a legitimate force on the offensive glass. To boot, they are sensational at scoring quickly off of any second-chance opportunities they obtain (nationally rated #11 in that department). Their opponent in this matchup, South Carolina, appears to be one of the better defensive rebounding units in Division I, and they've likewise done fairly acceptable work containing foes' conversion rates off of second chances (nationally ranking #99 in that department). | | TURNOVERS: Auburn should not have any turnover concerns whatsoever vs. the South Carolina defense. When in possession, Auburn does a really solid job to protect the basketball and minimize silly turnovers. Their ratings for field goal attempt rate (ranked 23rd in the country) and potential quick points allowed off of steals (third) can both be considered exquisite. Meanwhile, the South Carolina defense appears to be more on the conservative side when you look at turnovers forced. Our analytics rate them as deficient in both potential quick points scored off steals (ranked #286 in the nation) and defensive field goal attempt rate (#251 in the nation). | | FREE THROWS: Auburn will probably acquire more foul line chances than normal in this contest. They're typically a team that is fairly decent at booking trips to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #82 in free throw attempt rate), though they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (72.4%, ranked #151 in Division I). Meanwhile, the more reserved South Carolina defense sends opposing offenses to the free throw line more often than one would expect, ranking 256th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. There are contrasting tastes between these two units. Auburn (80th in the NCAA in game pace) enjoys things at a faster clip, while South Carolina (347th) is content with slowing down the gameplay. |
THE VERDICT: South Carolina might stick around for a while, but Auburn should ultimately pull away down the stretch. Auburn 81.63, South Carolina 66.38. |
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