|
|
Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
|
|
|
Includes games through April 3, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
|
0.650 (128th)
|
|
0.634 (133rd)
|
0.436 (168th)
|
|
0.536 (111th)
|
0.075 (136th)
|
|
-0.061 (212th)
|
113.30 (111th)
|
|
157.35 (153rd)
|
-6.95 (361st)
|
|
2.90 (59th)
|
-9.07 (123rd)
|
|
-10.28 (281st)
|
-1.76 (297th)
|
|
-0.35 (191st)
|
68.56 (60th)
|
|
64.81 (298th)
|
|
|
 IN POSSESSION
|
SDST
|
DUQ
|
| Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
| Eff |
111.30 |
107 |
105.62 |
118 |
| FTAR |
25.31 |
254 |
30.81 |
310 |
| FT% |
75.46 |
68 |
-- |
-- |
| FGAR |
89.60 |
74 |
83.22 |
32 |
| FG% |
44.54 |
141 |
43.74 |
153 |
| 3P% |
34.57 |
145 |
37.08 |
326 |
| MR% |
42.43 |
31 |
36.32 |
127 |
| NP% |
57.10 |
235 |
55.95 |
78 |
| PPSt |
7.81 |
353 |
12.71 |
220 |
| SCC% |
6.49 |
127 |
5.71 |
141 |
| Prox |
2.04 |
228 |
1.97 |
289 |
|
|
 IN POSSESSION
|
DUQ
|
SDST
|
| Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
| Eff |
108.01 |
170 |
108.73 |
187 |
| FTAR |
27.18 |
180 |
23.60 |
55 |
| FT% |
63.55 |
357 |
-- |
-- |
| FGAR |
88.55 |
106 |
88.54 |
245 |
| FG% |
43.76 |
179 |
43.69 |
151 |
| 3P% |
34.14 |
168 |
33.77 |
155 |
| MR% |
39.36 |
104 |
39.43 |
259 |
| NP% |
60.83 |
109 |
62.54 |
309 |
| PPSt |
13.57 |
106 |
13.48 |
273 |
| SCC% |
5.28 |
253 |
4.33 |
25 |
| Prox |
2.13 |
338 |
2.15 |
11 |
|
|
SOUTH DAKOTA ST. IN POSSESSION:
There isn't much of an advantage either way here when South Dakota St. is in possession of the basketball. The South Dakota St. offense is ranked #107 in Division I, while Duquesne comes in nationally at #118 on defense.  | SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams contrast somewhat on this end of the floor. The South Dakota St. offense leans slightly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Duquesne defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the South Dakota St. offense will be 35.4% three-pointers (3.4% below the D1 average), 28.9% mid-range jumpers (4.3% above the D1 average), and 35.7% near-proximity twos (0.9% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: South Dakota St. rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #141 in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Duquesne defense has been unexceptional in defensive field goal percentage, rated 153rd nationally in that category. On this end of the court, the South Dakota St. offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting. This site expects South Dakota St. to shoot 37.4% from three (3.3% above the D1 average), 40.7% from the mid-range (3.2% above the D1 average), 54.2% from near-proximity locations (4.7% below the D1 average), and 44.3% overall (0.4% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: The rebounding edge doesn't significantly go to either team in this contest. South Dakota St. lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. When it comes to converting second-chance opportunities, they're similarly unremarkable, coming in at #127 nationally in our ratings there. Duquesne, meanwhile, appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, but they're slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #141 in the country in that department). | | TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense will likely force a fair share of turnovers against this South Dakota St. offense. When in possession, South Dakota St. rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals needs improvement, as the team places 273rd in the nation in that category. As for the opposition, the Duquesne D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #106 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #32 in defensive field goal attempt rate. | | FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. South Dakota St. isn't all that great at getting to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #254 in free throw attempt rate), though they're pretty good at converting their foul shots (75.5%, ranked #68 in Division I). Meanwhile, the contentious Duquesne defense predictably commits a significant number of fouls, ranking 310th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
The Duquesne offense and the South Dakota St. defense are very evenly matched on this end of the floor. Duquesne is currently 170th in the country in offensive efficiency, while South Dakota St. nationally comes in at #187 in defensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense exhibits a solid preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the South Dakota St. defense similarly surrenders several more opportunities from the outside. Against the South Dakota St. defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 49.1% three-pointers (10.4% above the D1 average), 26.8% mid-range jumpers (2.1% above the D1 average), and 24.0% near-proximity twos (12.6% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 179th nationally in that category this year. The South Dakota St. defense, meanwhile, rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #151 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has an analytical edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the two opposing units are rated fairly evenly in three-point shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 33.8% from behind the arc (0.3% below the D1 average), 41.1% from mid-range locations (3.6% above the D1 average), 65.8% from near-proximity (7.0% above the D1 average), and 43.5% overall (0.5% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: South Dakota St. would appear to have a comfortable rebounding advantage on this end. Duquesne appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 253rd nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). The opposition here, South Dakota St., has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, and they're likewise top-notch in the category of defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #25 in the country there). | | TURNOVERS: Duquesne will likely keep the basketball very secure against this South Dakota St. defense. Offensively, Duquesne is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the South Dakota St. defense is extremely conservative and will place an extraordinarily low priority on forcing turnovers. Our analytics rate them as deficient in both potential quick points scored off steals (ranked #353 in the nation) and defensive field goal attempt rate (#245 in the nation). | | FREE THROWS: We expect a below-average number of foul line opportunities for the Duquesne offense here. They're typically a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (180th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (63.5%, eighth from the bottom in the country). As for the opposition, the ultra-conservative South Dakota St. defense, as expected, keeps opposing offenses off the free throw line, ranking 55th in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. There are contrasting tastes between these two units. South Dakota St. (60th in the country in game pace) prefers more of an up-and-down game, while Duquesne (298th) is happy to put the brakes on if need be. | | AWAY-FROM-HOME: South Dakota St. may perform worse than expected here, as their efforts away from home, on average, have been more inferior than their performances at home. | | MOMENTUM: Duquesne appears to have a noteworthy momentum advantage. They come into this game playing above their norm (59th in the country in positive momentum), while South Dakota St. (fourth from the bottom) has been more inefficient than normal in recent contests. | | CONSISTENCY: South Dakota St. is one of the NCAA's more consistent teams (123rd nationally in consistency), while Duquesne (281st in consistency) is definitely more on the erratic side. |
THE VERDICT:
This contest should be exceptionally close. An extra five minutes might be required to settle things here. South Dakota St. 72.49, Duquesne 72.36. |
|
|
|
