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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through December 1, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.793 (75th)
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0.758 (89th)
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0.635 (34th)
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0.573 (73rd)
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0.498 (19th)
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0.244 (76th)
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106.34 (105th)
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81.76 (80th)
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0.26 (91st)
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N/A (N/A)
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-5.55 (21st)
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-7.47 (112th)
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0.00 (128th)
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-0.22 (185th)
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65.26 (349th)
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70.04 (74th)
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IN POSSESSION
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LIB
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OKSU
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
107.36 |
126 |
102.42 |
107 |
FTAR |
26.20 |
201 |
27.31 |
217 |
FT% |
61.61 |
344 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
84.75 |
242 |
83.41 |
61 |
FG% |
46.40 |
69 |
44.00 |
184 |
3P% |
34.67 |
126 |
33.38 |
156 |
MR% |
43.27 |
55 |
42.71 |
288 |
NP% |
60.75 |
82 |
56.59 |
127 |
PPSt |
10.27 |
280 |
9.38 |
24 |
SCC% |
4.89 |
244 |
6.14 |
263 |
Prox |
2.04 |
202 |
2.03 |
184 |
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IN POSSESSION
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OKSU
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LIB
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
110.18 |
85 |
96.82 |
42 |
FTAR |
31.41 |
29 |
20.89 |
11 |
FT% |
74.68 |
105 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
86.56 |
120 |
85.09 |
147 |
FG% |
43.92 |
153 |
42.82 |
128 |
3P% |
33.61 |
183 |
31.12 |
45 |
MR% |
39.21 |
201 |
40.96 |
230 |
NP% |
59.04 |
128 |
55.64 |
92 |
PPSt |
13.26 |
112 |
10.37 |
64 |
SCC% |
5.39 |
196 |
5.21 |
153 |
Prox |
2.03 |
168 |
1.99 |
287 |
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LIBERTY IN POSSESSION: There isn't much of an advantage either way here when Liberty is in possession of the basketball. The Oklahoma State defense is ranked #107 in Division I, while Liberty comes in nationally at #126 on offense. | SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams are somewhat similar on this end of the floor. The Liberty offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Oklahoma State defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Oklahoma State defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Liberty offense will be 41.6% three-pointers (3.4% above the D1 average), 20.5% mid-range jumpers (6.2% below the D1 average), and 37.9% near-proximity twos (2.8% above the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Liberty does a pretty good job to convert shots each possession, ranking 69th in the country in overall field goal percentage. The Oklahoma State defense, meanwhile, has been unexceptional in defensive field goal percentage, rated 184th nationally in that category. The Liberty offense has a noticeable advantage at all three levels on this end of the floor. This site expects Liberty to shoot 34.4% from three (0.7% above the D1 average), 47.3% from the mid-range (7.6% above the D1 average), 59.9% from near-proximity locations (2.2% above the D1 average), and 46.7% overall (3.0% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: There's no major advantage for either ball-club here. Liberty is really nothing special on the offensive glass. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #244 in that department). Their opponent in this matchup, Oklahoma State, has the look of a team that is pretty mediocre on the defensive boards, but they've been a bit worse stopping opponents from converting on second-chance putbacks (rated 263rd in the country in that category). | | TURNOVERS: There shouldn't be much of an advantage for either team in this department. When in possession, Liberty exemplifies ball-security to a degree slightly superior to the average NCAA team. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is particularly solid, as the squad places 64th in the country in that category. As for the opposition, the Oklahoma State D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #112 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #61 in defensive field goal attempt rate. | | FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. The Liberty offense obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #201 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (61.6%, ranked #344 in Division I). Meanwhile, the contentious Oklahoma State defense sports a fairly mediocre defensive free throw attempt rate, one that rates 217th in the NCAA this season. |
OKLAHOMA STATE IN POSSESSION: The Liberty defense appears to have a small advantage on the Oklahoma State offense at this end of the court. Liberty is currently 42nd in the country in defensive efficiency, while Oklahoma State nationally comes in at #85 in offensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: The Oklahoma State offense leans slightly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the Liberty defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the Liberty defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Oklahoma State offense will be 32.8% three-pointers (5.4% below the D1 average), 32.7% mid-range jumpers (6.0% above the D1 average), and 34.6% near-proximity twos (0.6% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Oklahoma State has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 153rd nationally in that category this year. Meanwhile, the Liberty defense rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #128 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Oklahoma State offense has a notable advantage in mid-range shooting, while the Liberty defense has the edge in both three-point shooting and near-proximity shooting. We expect Oklahoma State to shoot 30.9% from behind the arc (2.8% below the D1 average), 40.4% from mid-range locations (0.7% above the D1 average), 56.9% from near-proximity (0.8% below the D1 average), and 43.0% overall (0.7% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Liberty may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. Oklahoma State has the fingerprint of a team that's above-average, yet not outstanding, on the offensive glass. As far as turning offensive rebounds into fast points, they're a relatively average unit, rated 196th in the country in second-chance conversion rate. Meanwhile, Liberty appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, but they're slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #153 in the country in that department). | | TURNOVERS: Oklahoma State should not have any turnover concerns whatsoever vs. the Liberty defense. Offensively, Oklahoma State exhibits fairly good ball-control and limits turnovers. Their field goal attempt rate is very respectable (rated 120th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is almost spotless (24th in the country). Meanwhile, the Liberty D is a tad more conservative than most D1 units. Furthermore, they'll rarely convert takeaways into quick points, evidenced by their #280 ranking in that category. | | FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. Oklahoma State is a team that likes to get to the charity stripe frequently (29th in the country in free throw attempt rate), and they're above-average shooters from there (74.7%, 105th in the country). As for the opposition, the more reserved Liberty defense predictably does a superb job to keep opponents off the foul line, ranking 11th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: The projected tempo for this contest is fairly average by D1 standards. There are contrasting tastes between these two units. Oklahoma State (74th in the NCAA in game pace) enjoys things at a faster clip, while Liberty (349th) is content with slowing down the gameplay. | | AWAY-FROM-HOME: The analytics fail to reveal a significant advantage for either team in this category. | | CONSISTENCY: Both of these squads are pretty consistent from an efficiency perspective. Liberty ranks 21st in the country in consistency, while Oklahoma State is presently 112th in that category. |
THE VERDICT: Our analytics have these two squads separated by less than a single bucket. Every possession counts. Liberty 69.94, Oklahoma State 68.29. |
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