TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
Gonzaga  5-0 (1.000)  |  West Coast
-- VS. --
Iowa  5-0 (1.000)  |  Big Ten
Includes games through November 21, 2024.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
0.997 (2nd)
   All-Play Percentage
  
0.901 (37th)
0.670 (41st)
   Schedule Strength
  
0.261 (327th)
0.708 (2nd)
   Record Quality
  
0.387 (37th)
5.00 (4th)
   Avg. Season Rank
  
47.11 (47th)
N/A (N/A)
   Momentum
  
N/A (N/A)
-7.40 (96th)
   Consistency
  
-6.69 (74th)
-3.06 (208th)
   Away-From-Home   
1.64 (43rd)
70.53 (100th)
Pace
  
72.54 (22nd)
IN POSSESSION
GONZ
IOWA
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 123.94 1 96.49 35
FTAR 29.20 72 21.16 4
FT% 78.00 42 -- --
FGAR 89.29 12 86.30 250
FG% 49.73 3 42.02 79
3P% 37.39 13 29.88 10
MR% 44.64 13 40.30 231
NP% 66.75 4 55.09 66
PPSt 13.62 82 11.18 106
SCC% 6.66 54 5.28 159
Prox 2.02 173 1.99 274
IN POSSESSION
IOWA
GONZ
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 113.61 45 93.28 11
FTAR 27.91 123 20.98 3
FT% 69.32 228 -- --
FGAR 86.59 92 86.45 257
FG% 47.36 29 39.67 18
3P% 36.96 25 28.68 1
MR% 39.72 156 32.06 1
NP% 64.19 23 58.87 218
PPSt 13.30 99 8.86 3
SCC% 4.92 244 4.45 40
Prox 2.03 194 2.04 102
GONZAGA IN POSSESSION:
Analytically speaking, Gonzaga should come out ahead by a modest margin on this end of the court. Gonzaga is currently first in the country in offensive efficiency, while Iowa nationally comes in at #35 in defensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. Both schemes are relatively balanced, and neither the outside shot nor the inside shot will be consistently employed/allowed by either ball-club. Against the Iowa defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Gonzaga offense will be 36.3% three-pointers (1.4% below the D1 average), 26.5% mid-range jumpers (0.2% below the D1 average), and 37.2% near-proximity twos (1.6% above the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Gonzaga has been absolutely outstanding converting shots from the floor this season (#3 in overall field goal percentage). The Iowa defense, meanwhile, has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #79 team nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Gonzaga offense has an analytical edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the two opposing units are rated fairly evenly in three-point shooting. This site expects Gonzaga to shoot 33.6% from three (0.2% below the D1 average), 45.8% from the mid-range (6.6% above the D1 average), 63.6% from near-proximity locations (5.8% above the D1 average), and 48.0% overall (4.2% above the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Gonzaga may have a modest rebounding edge on this end of the floor. Gonzaga has to be considered a legitimate force on the offensive glass. They're also quite proficient at scoring quickly off of their second-chance opportunities (rated 54th in the country in second-chance conversion percentage). Their opponent in this matchup, Iowa, appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, but they're slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #159 in the country in that department).
TURNOVERS: The Gonzaga offense has a small advantage over the Iowa defense in the turnover game on this end. When in possession, Gonzaga does a really solid job to protect the basketball and minimize silly turnovers. Their ratings for field goal attempt rate (ranked 12th in the country) and potential quick points allowed off of steals (third) can both be considered exquisite. As for the opposition, the Iowa defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive. They are accomplished to a degree at converting turnovers into quick points on the scoreboard (nationally ranked 99th in that category).
FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. Gonzaga has a nose for getting to the charity stripe (72nd in the country in free throw attempt rate), and they're very impressive converting from there (78.0%, ranked #42 in Division I). As for the opposition, the Iowa D has been excellent at minimizing opponents' free throw opportunities, ranking fourth in the NCAA in defensive free throw attempt rate.

IOWA IN POSSESSION:
The Gonzaga defense appears to have a small advantage on the Iowa offense at this end of the court. The Gonzaga defense is ranked #11 in Division I, while Iowa comes in nationally at #45 on offense.
SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The Iowa offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Gonzaga defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Gonzaga defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Iowa offense will be 38.1% three-pointers (0.4% above the D1 average), 28.7% mid-range jumpers (2.0% above the D1 average), and 33.2% near-proximity twos (2.4% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Iowa has been converting field goals at a solid rate and is rated our #29 team in overall field goal percentage this season. Meanwhile, the Gonzaga defense has done exceptional work to keep opponents' shooting percentages in check (nationally ranked #18 in defensive field goal conversion rate). On this end of the court, the Iowa offense has the ratings advantage in near-proximity shooting, the Gonzaga defense has the edge in mid-range shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in three-point shooting. We expect Iowa to shoot 31.9% from behind the arc (1.9% below the D1 average), 32.5% from mid-range locations (6.8% below the D1 average), 65.6% from near-proximity (7.9% above the D1 average), and 43.3% overall (0.5% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Gonzaga will very likely win the rebound battle on this end of the court. Iowa appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #244 in that department). Meanwhile, Gonzaga is absolutely fabulous hammering the defensive boards, and they've similarly done great work curbing points via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked 40th in defensive second-chance conversion rate).
TURNOVERS: The Iowa offense should keep the ball fairly secure here against the Gonzaga defense. Offensively, Iowa exhibits better ball-control skills than the average D1 squad. Their field goal attempt rate is very respectable (rated 92nd in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is more than satisfactory (106th in the country). Meanwhile, the Gonzaga D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective. They are accomplished to a degree at converting turnovers into quick points on the scoreboard (nationally ranked 82nd in that category).
FREE THROWS: We expect a below-average number of foul line opportunities for the Iowa offense here. They're typically a team that is fairly decent at booking trips to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #123 in free throw attempt rate), though they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (69.3%, 228th in the country). Meanwhile, the Gonzaga D does an exceptional job keeping foes off the foul line and ranks third in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:
PACE: There should be a fairly lively tempo when these two teams meet. Neither of these squads has an issue with running in transition. Iowa is 22nd nationally in game pace, while Gonzaga presently ranks 100th.
AWAY-FROM-HOME: Iowa may fare better than expected here, as their efforts away from home, on average, have been far superior to their performances at home.
CONSISTENCY: Both of these squads are pretty consistent from an efficiency perspective. Iowa ranks 74th nationally in consistency, while Gonzaga is currently 96th in that category.

THE VERDICT:
Gonzaga gets the nod in this matchup. They are comfortably the better team on this day. Gonzaga 85.23, Iowa 74.74.