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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through November 25, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.421 (211th)
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0.763 (88th)
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0.493 (146th)
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0.363 (280th)
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-0.491 (353rd)
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0.474 (20th)
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153.78 (152nd)
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91.96 (93rd)
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N/A (N/A)
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N/A (N/A)
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-5.51 (45th)
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-12.40 (318th)
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0.04 (103rd)
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0.70 (76th)
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68.37 (239th)
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Pace
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70.02 (120th)
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IN POSSESSION
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DUQ
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UCI
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
100.95 |
247 |
100.71 |
84 |
FTAR |
28.77 |
96 |
25.27 |
94 |
FT% |
56.30 |
360 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
86.22 |
116 |
85.59 |
196 |
FG% |
42.71 |
223 |
42.68 |
114 |
3P% |
32.49 |
257 |
35.03 |
258 |
MR% |
42.22 |
57 |
37.72 |
108 |
NP% |
56.08 |
227 |
54.88 |
61 |
PPSt |
15.29 |
27 |
10.48 |
65 |
SCC% |
4.31 |
318 |
4.85 |
80 |
Prox |
2.08 |
320 |
2.01 |
238 |
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IN POSSESSION
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UCI
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DUQ
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
110.46 |
83 |
105.26 |
170 |
FTAR |
26.91 |
185 |
32.23 |
347 |
FT% |
82.73 |
9 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
85.49 |
165 |
80.39 |
5 |
FG% |
45.65 |
93 |
44.62 |
214 |
3P% |
35.28 |
91 |
36.91 |
336 |
MR% |
39.41 |
183 |
43.43 |
331 |
NP% |
59.21 |
121 |
54.94 |
65 |
PPSt |
9.47 |
336 |
10.24 |
48 |
SCC% |
6.87 |
45 |
4.91 |
91 |
Prox |
1.95 |
28 |
2.06 |
76 |
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DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION: The Duquesne offense appears to be at an analytical disadvantage when matched up against the UC Irvine defense. This site rates UC Irvine to be 84th in the nation in defensive efficiency, while Duquesne is currently our #247 squad in offensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: The Duquesne offense leans slightly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the UC Irvine defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the UC Irvine defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Duquesne offense will be 36.8% three-pointers (1.0% below the D1 average), 33.0% mid-range jumpers (6.4% above the D1 average), and 30.2% near-proximity twos (5.3% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 223rd nationally in that category this year. Meanwhile, the UC Irvine defense has been doing a fairly decent job to defend opposing shooters, ranking 114th in the NCAA in defensive field goal conversion rate. On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has the ratings advantage in mid-range shooting, the UC Irvine defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in three-point shooting. This site expects Duquesne to shoot 33.6% from three (0.2% below the D1 average), 40.3% from the mid-range (0.9% above the D1 average), 52.8% from near-proximity locations (4.9% below the D1 average), and 41.6% overall (2.2% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: UC Irvine will very likely win the rebound battle on this end of the court. Duquesne appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. On the other hand, they are actually well below-average at scoring quickly off of second-chance opportunities (nationally rated 318th in that category). Their opponent in this matchup, UC Irvine, appears to be one of the better defensive rebounding units in Division I, and they've likewise done fairly acceptable work containing foes' conversion rates off of second chances (nationally ranking #80 in that department). | | TURNOVERS: Duquesne should not have any turnover concerns whatsoever vs. the UC Irvine defense. On offense, Duquesne exhibits fairly good ball-control and limits turnovers. Their field goal attempt rate is very respectable (rated 116th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is very solid (48th in the country). As for the opposition, the conservative UC Irvine defense is not likely to come away with many turnovers against most D1 foes. Furthermore, they'll rarely convert takeaways into quick points, evidenced by their #336 ranking in that category. | | FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. Duquesne is fairly decent at booking trips to the charity stripe (96th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (56.3%, fifth from the bottom in the country). As for the opposition, the conservative UC Irvine defense, as expected, keeps opposing offenses off the free throw line, ranking 94th in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
UC IRVINE IN POSSESSION: When pitted against the Duquesne defense, the UC Irvine offense appears to have somewhat of an advantage. UC Irvine is currently 83rd in the country in offensive efficiency, while Duquesne nationally comes in at #170 in defensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: There are conflicting shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The UC Irvine offense has a slight preference for inside shots over those from longer-distance, while the Duquesne defense conversely tends to allow marginally more opportunities from the outside. Against the Duquesne defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the UC Irvine offense will be 33.7% three-pointers (4.1% below the D1 average), 31.1% mid-range jumpers (4.4% above the D1 average), and 35.2% near-proximity twos (0.4% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: UC Irvine has been a bit above the D1 average in floor shooting this year and is rated our #93 team in overall field goal percentage. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #214 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the UC Irvine offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting. We expect UC Irvine to shoot 38.9% from behind the arc (5.2% above the D1 average), 43.3% from mid-range locations (3.9% above the D1 average), 56.9% from near-proximity (0.8% below the D1 average), and 46.6% overall (2.8% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: UC Irvine may have a modest rebounding edge on this end of the floor. UC Irvine seems to be a bit better than the D1 norm when it comes to offensive rebounding. Additionally, they are very solid at converting their second chance opportunities, ranking 45th nationally in that category. Meanwhile, Duquesne is fairly average when it comes to preventing second-chance opportunities, but they have been a bit better in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked 91st in the nation in that category). | | TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. When in possession, UC Irvine exemplifies ball-security to a degree slightly superior to the average NCAA team. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is particularly solid, as the squad places 65th in the country in that category. Meanwhile, the Duquesne D is fairly aggressive and is certainly capable of coming away with their fair share of steals. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #27 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #5 in defensive field goal attempt rate. | | FREE THROWS: We expect an above-average number of free throw opportunities for the UC Irvine offense here. They're typically a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #185 in free throw attempt rate), though they're capable of inflicting loads of damage from there (82.7%, ranked #9 in Division I). Meanwhile, the aggressive Duquesne defense predictably commits a ridiculous number of fouls, ranking 347th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. UC Irvine (120th in the NCAA in game pace) favors a brisk tempo, while Duquesne (239th) likes things at more of an average clip. | | AWAY-FROM-HOME: The analytics offset here. Both Duquesne and UC Irvine have performed superior to their respective norms when they've played away from home this season. | | CONSISTENCY: Duquesne is one of the NCAA's more consistent teams (45th nationally in consistency), while UC Irvine (318th in consistency) is definitely more on the erratic side. |
THE VERDICT: Duquesne definitely has a chance, but UC Irvine is the right pick here. UC Irvine 77.25, Duquesne 67.87. |
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