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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through January 10, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.592 (149th)
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0.391 (222nd)
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0.502 (129th)
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0.452 (199th)
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-0.076 (213th)
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-0.164 (253rd)
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176.20 (173rd)
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193.43 (197th)
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6.94 (3rd)
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2.19 (71st)
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-9.91 (270th)
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-9.08 (193rd)
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-1.43 (256th)
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0.93 (69th)
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63.79 (345th)
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65.44 (272nd)
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IN POSSESSION
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DUQ
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RICH
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
106.48 |
176 |
109.83 |
240 |
FTAR |
26.18 |
215 |
31.08 |
306 |
FT% |
61.26 |
356 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
90.86 |
30 |
85.29 |
126 |
FG% |
42.36 |
241 |
42.81 |
131 |
3P% |
34.58 |
126 |
36.08 |
295 |
MR% |
42.55 |
121 |
36.56 |
53 |
NP% |
54.90 |
241 |
58.28 |
200 |
PPSt |
12.13 |
195 |
10.75 |
73 |
SCC% |
4.78 |
273 |
6.43 |
254 |
Prox |
2.17 |
347 |
2.14 |
20 |
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IN POSSESSION
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RICH
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DUQ
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
104.02 |
214 |
105.69 |
155 |
FTAR |
30.65 |
70 |
32.49 |
328 |
FT% |
80.14 |
14 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
82.82 |
321 |
84.24 |
87 |
FG% |
40.84 |
307 |
42.55 |
122 |
3P% |
30.70 |
292 |
36.86 |
317 |
MR% |
37.54 |
295 |
41.21 |
178 |
NP% |
62.01 |
70 |
50.60 |
27 |
PPSt |
10.39 |
289 |
12.38 |
176 |
SCC% |
3.55 |
340 |
4.27 |
50 |
Prox |
2.20 |
359 |
2.05 |
159 |
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DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION: The Duquesne offense appears to have a bit of an edge on the Richmond defense at this end of the floor. This site rates Duquesne to be 176th in the nation in offensive efficiency, while Richmond is currently our #240 squad in defensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. The Duquesne offense exhibits a strong preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Richmond defense similarly surrenders several more opportunities from the outside. Against the Richmond defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Duquesne offense will be 48.1% three-pointers (9.6% above the D1 average), 30.7% mid-range jumpers (4.0% above the D1 average), and 21.2% near-proximity twos (13.6% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne hasn't been one of the better shooting D1 teams this season, ranking 241st nationally in overall field goal percentage. The Richmond defense, meanwhile, rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #131 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Richmond defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects Duquesne to shoot 36.7% from three (3.2% above the D1 average), 39.0% from the mid-range (2.0% below the D1 average), 55.5% from near-proximity locations (1.9% below the D1 average), and 41.4% overall (2.4% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: There's no major advantage for either ball-club here. Duquesne lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #273 in that department). The opposition here, Richmond, has the look of a team that is pretty mediocre on the defensive boards, but they've been a bit worse stopping opponents from converting on second-chance putbacks (rated 254th in the country in that category). | | TURNOVERS: The Duquesne offense has a small advantage over the Richmond defense in the turnover game on this end. Offensively, Duquesne rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Meanwhile, the Richmond D is a tad more conservative than most D1 units. Furthermore, they'll rarely convert takeaways into quick points, evidenced by their #289 ranking in that category. | | FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. Duquesne obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #215 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (61.3%, ninth from the bottom in the country). As for the opposition, the more reserved Richmond defense surprisingly commits more fouls than you'd expect and places 306th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
RICHMOND IN POSSESSION: According to the numbers, the Duquesne D should have a modest advantage on Richmond at this particular end of the floor. The Duquesne defense is ranked #155 in Division I, while Richmond comes in nationally at #214 on offense. | SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams are somewhat similar on this end of the floor. The Richmond offense exhibits a strong preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Duquesne defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Duquesne defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Richmond offense will be 43.2% three-pointers (4.7% above the D1 average), 35.0% mid-range jumpers (8.3% above the D1 average), and 21.8% near-proximity twos (13.0% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Richmond has struggled to consistently convert field goals this year, ranking 307th nationally in overall field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the Duquesne defense has been doing a fairly decent job to defend opposing shooters, ranking 122nd in the NCAA in defensive field goal conversion rate. On this end of the court, the Richmond offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. We expect Richmond to shoot 33.3% from behind the arc (0.2% below the D1 average), 38.5% from mid-range locations (2.5% below the D1 average), 53.2% from near-proximity (4.1% below the D1 average), and 39.4% overall (4.4% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne should easily control the boards on this end of the floor. Richmond has the look of a unit that is flat-out inferior on the offensive glass. To boot, they are atrocious at scoring quickly off of any second-chance opportunities they obtain (nationally rated #340 in that department). Their opponent in this matchup, Duquesne, has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, and they've likewise effectively prevented opponents from scoring via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked #50 in defensive second-chance conversion percentage). | | TURNOVERS: The Richmond offense should keep the ball fairly secure here against the Duquesne defense. On offense, Richmond exhibits better ball-control skills than the average D1 squad. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is particularly solid, as the squad places 73rd in the country in that category. As for the opposition, the Duquesne D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective. | | FREE THROWS: Richmond should obtain a fairly healthy number of free throw attempts in this matchup. They're typically a team that has a nose for getting to the charity stripe (70th in the country in free throw attempt rate), and they're capable of inflicting loads of damage from there (80.1%, ranked #14 in Division I). Meanwhile, the Duquesne D appears to commit far too many fouls by NCAA standards and nationally ranks 328th in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: Nobody will be in a huge rush to score in a contest such as this one. Both squads have a preference for slow-down basketball. Duquesne is 345th in the country in game pace, while Richmond presently ranks 272nd. | | AWAY-FROM-HOME: We would expect a potential performance bump for Richmond here. They've fared better away from home this year than they have at home. Additionally, they're playing against Duquesne, who's been performing more inefficiently away from home this season. | | MOMENTUM: Both teams come into this contest playing some of their best basketball this year. Duquesne is third in the country in positive momentum, while Richmond currently ranks 71st. | | CONSISTENCY: Duquesne is one of the NCAA's more inconsistent teams, ranking 270th nationally in consistency. Richmond rates closer to the D1 average. |
THE VERDICT: Don't be shocked if this one goes right down to the wire. Our call is that Duquesne beats Richmond by a small margin. Duquesne 67.84, Richmond 64.13. |
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