Haslametrics.com

Automated 2024-25 Game Preview

Duquesne 13-19 (0.406) | Atlantic 10
-- VS. --
Richmond 10-22 (0.313) | Atlantic 10

Includes games through April 3, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.

0.634 (133^rd)

All-Play Percentage

0.366 (232^nd)

0.536 (111^th)

Schedule Strength

0.525 (121^st)

-0.061 (212^th)

Record Quality

-0.194 (279^th)

157.35 (153^rd)

Avg. Season Rank

210.34 (211^th)

2.90 (59^th)

Momentum

2.01 (96^th)

-10.28 (281^st)

Consistency

-9.48 (189^th)

-0.35 (191^st)

Away-From-Home

-0.49 (204^th)

64.81 (298^th)

Pace

63.47 (348^th)

IN POSSESSION

	DUQ		RICH
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	108.01	170	109.74	211
FTAR	27.18	180	27.76	202
FT%	63.55	357	--	--
FGAR	88.55	106	87.40	199
FG%	43.76	179	43.31	131
3P%	34.14	168	35.88	280
MR%	39.36	104	34.56	73
NP%	60.83	109	60.28	233
PPSt	13.57	106	11.99	166
SCC%	5.28	253	5.48	114
Prox	2.13	338	2.13	16

IN POSSESSION

	RICH		DUQ
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	103.77	239	105.62	118
FTAR	23.35	326	30.81	310
FT%	80.55	2	--	--
FGAR	85.68	250	83.22	32
FG%	42.11	261	43.74	153
3P%	32.69	252	37.08	326
MR%	37.92	155	36.32	127
NP%	63.09	59	55.95	78
PPSt	7.68	356	12.71	220
SCC%	3.17	359	5.71	141
Prox	2.20	363	1.97	289

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
When pitted against the Richmond defense, the Duquesne offense appears to have somewhat of an advantage. Duquesne is currently 170th in the country in offensive efficiency, while Richmond nationally comes in at #211 in defensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense exhibits a solid preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Richmond defense similarly surrenders several more opportunities from the outside. Against the Richmond defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Duquesne offense will be 49.6% three-pointers (10.9% above the D1 average), 24.0% mid-range jumpers (0.7% below the D1 average), and 26.4% near-proximity twos (10.2% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 179th nationally in that category this year. The Richmond defense, meanwhile, has been unexceptional in defensive field goal percentage, rated 131st nationally in that category. On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the Richmond defense has the edge in mid-range shooting. This site expects Duquesne to shoot 35.7% from three (1.6% above the D1 average), 36.6% from the mid-range (0.9% below the D1 average), 62.9% from near-proximity locations (4.1% above the D1 average), and 43.1% overall (0.9% below the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Richmond may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. Duquesne is really nothing special on the offensive glass. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 253rd nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). Their opponent in this matchup, Richmond, is fairly average when it comes to preventing second-chance opportunities, but they have been a wee bit better containing foes' conversion rates off of second chances (nationally ranking #114 in that department).
	TURNOVERS: The Richmond defense likely won't force many turnovers against the Duquesne offense. When in possession, Duquesne is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. As for the opposition, the conservative Richmond defense is not likely to come away with many turnovers against most D1 foes. Furthermore, they never convert takeaways into quick points, as is evidenced by their #356 ranking in that category.
	FREE THROWS: These two squads are matched fairly evenly in this department. Duquesne is a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (180th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (63.5%, ranked #357 in Division I). Meanwhile, the conservative Richmond defense sports a relatively mediocre defensive free throw attempt rate, one that rates 202nd in the NCAA this season.

RICHMOND IN POSSESSION:
The Richmond offense appears to be at an analytical disadvantage when matched up against the Duquesne defense. This site rates Duquesne to be 118th in the nation in defensive efficiency, while Richmond is currently our #239 squad in offensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: These two teams exhibit contrasting shot preferences on this end of the court. The Richmond offense leans strongly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Duquesne defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Richmond offense will be 41.2% three-pointers (2.4% above the D1 average), 33.3% mid-range jumpers (8.6% above the D1 average), and 25.6% near-proximity twos (11.0% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Richmond hasn't been one of the better shooting D1 teams this season, ranking 261st nationally in overall field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the Duquesne defense rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #153 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Richmond offense has the ratings advantage in three-point shooting, the Duquesne defense has the edge in mid-range shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in near-proximity shooting. We expect Richmond to shoot 35.0% from behind the arc (0.9% above the D1 average), 36.8% from mid-range locations (0.7% below the D1 average), 59.2% from near-proximity (0.4% above the D1 average), and 41.8% overall (2.2% below the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Duquesne has an enormous rebounding advantage at this end. Richmond appears to be a team that will struggle most nights on the offensive boards. To boot, they are horrible when it comes to converting their second chance opportunities, ranking sixth from the bottom nationally in that category. Meanwhile, Duquesne appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, but they perform slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked #141 in that category).
	TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense has a small advantage over the Richmond offense in the turnover battle on this end. Offensively, Richmond rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Meanwhile, the Duquesne D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #106 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #32 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
	FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. Richmond won't see many opportunities at the charity stripe (nationally ranked #326 in free throw attempt rate), though they're capable of inflicting loads of damage from there (80.5%, second in the country). As for the opposition, the contentious Duquesne defense predictably commits a significant number of fouls, ranking 310th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:

	PACE: There will be no hurry to push the ball up the floor here. Both squads have a preference for slow-down basketball. Richmond is 348th nationally in game pace, while Duquesne currently ranks 298th.
	AWAY-FROM-HOME: The analytics fail to reveal a significant advantage for either team in this category.
	MOMENTUM: Both teams come into this contest playing some of their best basketball this year. Duquesne is 59th in the country in positive momentum, while Richmond currently ranks 96th.
	CONSISTENCY: Duquesne is one of the NCAA's more inconsistent teams, ranking 281st nationally in consistency. Richmond rates closer to the D1 average.

THE VERDICT:
These squads should be pretty competitive with one another. The analytics are picking Duquesne in a fairly tight contest. Duquesne 67.90, Richmond 62.47.