Haslametrics.com

Automated 2024-25 Game Preview

Duquesne 13-19 (0.406) | Atlantic 10
-- VS. --
Hampton 17-16 (0.515) | CAA

Includes games through April 7, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.

0.631 (134^th)

All-Play Percentage

0.449 (201^st)

0.535 (111^th)

Schedule Strength

0.385 (238^th)

-0.061 (212^th)

Record Quality

-0.074 (218^th)

156.74 (154^th)

Avg. Season Rank

251.52 (251^st)

2.89 (58^th)

Momentum

5.02 (15^th)

-10.28 (282^nd)

Consistency

-9.76 (217^th)

-0.35 (191^st)

Away-From-Home

-0.65 (219^th)

64.81 (298^th)

Pace

64.89 (294^th)

IN POSSESSION

	DUQ		HAMP
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	108.01	170	109.55	206
FTAR	27.21	182	33.00	344
FT%	63.55	357	--	--
FGAR	88.59	106	83.08	27
FG%	43.73	181	45.99	278
3P%	34.13	170	33.80	156
MR%	39.31	102	35.28	92
NP%	60.81	109	61.91	293
PPSt	13.56	106	11.71	144
SCC%	5.29	252	6.29	219
Prox	2.13	338	1.92	350

IN POSSESSION

	HAMP		DUQ
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	105.17	223	105.64	117
FTAR	26.56	201	30.82	310
FT%	70.86	235	--	--
FGAR	91.81	22	83.24	33
FG%	41.21	304	43.73	153
3P%	32.18	279	37.12	326
MR%	37.03	189	36.26	127
NP%	56.56	250	55.94	81
PPSt	11.95	194	12.69	221
SCC%	5.86	189	5.71	140
Prox	2.06	250	1.97	288

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
When pitted against the Hampton defense, the Duquesne offense appears to have somewhat of an advantage. Duquesne is currently 170th in the country in offensive efficiency, while Hampton nationally comes in at #206 in defensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams contrast somewhat on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense leans solidly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Hampton defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Hampton defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Duquesne offense will be 39.3% three-pointers (0.6% above the D1 average), 24.3% mid-range jumpers (0.4% below the D1 average), and 36.3% near-proximity twos (0.2% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 181st nationally in that category this year. Meanwhile, the Hampton defense has not done particularly well to shut down opponents' shooters, ranking 278th in the NCAA in defensive field goal percentage. On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has an analytical edge in near-proximity shooting, while the two opposing units are rated fairly evenly in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting. This site expects Duquesne to shoot 33.9% from three (0.2% below the D1 average), 37.4% from the mid-range (a touch below the D1 average), 64.1% from near-proximity locations (5.3% above the D1 average), and 45.7% overall (1.8% above the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: The rebounding edge doesn't significantly go to either team in this contest. Duquesne lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 252nd nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). Meanwhile, Hampton has the look of a team that is pretty mediocre on the defensive boards, and they likewise rate right around the average in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked #219 in that category).
	TURNOVERS: The Hampton defense has a small advantage over the Duquesne offense in the turnover battle on this end. Offensively, Duquesne is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. As for the opposition, the Hampton defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive.
	FREE THROWS: Duquesne will probably acquire more foul line chances than normal in this contest. They're usually a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (182nd in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (63.5%, eighth from the bottom in the country). As for the opposition, the Hampton D sends opposing offenses to the foul line non-stop and ranks 344th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate.

HAMPTON IN POSSESSION:
The Hampton offense appears to be at an analytical disadvantage when matched up against the Duquesne defense. The Duquesne defense is ranked #117 in Division I, while Hampton comes in nationally at #223 on offense.

	SHOT SELECTION: These two teams exhibit contrasting shot preferences on this end of the court. The Hampton offense leans slightly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Duquesne defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Hampton offense will be 31.5% three-pointers (7.3% below the D1 average), 38.5% mid-range jumpers (13.8% above the D1 average), and 30.0% near-proximity twos (6.5% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Hampton has certainly not converted field goals at a solid clip this season (rated our #304 team in overall field goal percentage). The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #153 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Hampton offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. We expect Hampton to shoot 34.9% from behind the arc (0.7% above the D1 average), 36.2% from mid-range locations (1.2% below the D1 average), 53.1% from near-proximity (5.7% below the D1 average), and 40.9% overall (3.1% below the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a small rebounding edge on this end of the court. Hampton appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. As for converting their second-chance opportunities, they're similarly run-of-the-mill by D1 standards (nationally rated 189th in that category). Duquesne, meanwhile, appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, but they're slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #140 in the country in that department).
	TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. On offense, Hampton rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Meanwhile, the Duquesne D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #106 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #33 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
	FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. Hampton obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #201 in free throw attempt rate), and they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (70.9%, ranked #235 in Division I). Meanwhile, the contentious Duquesne defense, as expected, will be more likely to foul than most other D1 squads, ranking 310th in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:

	PACE: Nobody will be in a huge rush to score in a contest such as this one. Both squads have a preference for slow-down basketball. Duquesne is 298th in the country in game pace, while Hampton presently ranks 294th.
	AWAY-FROM-HOME: The analytics fail to reveal a significant advantage for either team in this category.
	MOMENTUM: Both teams come into this contest playing some of their best basketball this year. Hampton is 15th nationally in positive momentum, while Duquesne presently ranks 58th.
	CONSISTENCY: Duquesne is one of the NCAA's more inconsistent teams, ranking 282nd nationally in consistency. Hampton rates closer to the D1 average.

THE VERDICT:
These squads should be pretty competitive with one another. The analytics are picking Duquesne in a fairly tight contest. Duquesne 68.99, Hampton 64.80.