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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through December 28, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.573 (156th)
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0.485 (189th)
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0.494 (132nd)
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0.466 (177th)
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-0.141 (242nd)
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0.011 (172nd)
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183.11 (185th)
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296.30 (308th)
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4.78 (11th)
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2.59 (43rd)
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-8.28 (114th)
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-7.90 (88th)
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-0.91 (223rd)
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0.12 (130th)
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64.16 (340th)
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64.91 (307th)
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IN POSSESSION
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DUQ
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HAMP
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
104.61 |
207 |
107.92 |
184 |
FTAR |
26.83 |
173 |
32.78 |
340 |
FT% |
61.79 |
358 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
88.89 |
72 |
82.34 |
43 |
FG% |
41.58 |
290 |
45.66 |
229 |
3P% |
35.59 |
118 |
35.39 |
228 |
MR% |
42.30 |
149 |
36.64 |
58 |
NP% |
51.12 |
331 |
61.80 |
296 |
PPSt |
12.77 |
170 |
10.56 |
70 |
SCC% |
3.99 |
314 |
7.58 |
325 |
Prox |
2.19 |
353 |
2.00 |
266 |
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IN POSSESSION
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HAMP
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DUQ
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
105.90 |
192 |
104.79 |
131 |
FTAR |
28.19 |
119 |
31.82 |
329 |
FT% |
79.21 |
24 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
91.14 |
28 |
84.81 |
113 |
FG% |
39.10 |
351 |
41.85 |
78 |
3P% |
33.38 |
212 |
36.96 |
293 |
MR% |
34.92 |
343 |
41.02 |
164 |
NP% |
51.63 |
323 |
48.03 |
10 |
PPSt |
14.90 |
80 |
13.70 |
260 |
SCC% |
4.52 |
285 |
3.86 |
31 |
Prox |
2.12 |
300 |
2.03 |
195 |
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DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION: These two squads are very evenly matched when Duquesne is on offense. Hampton is currently 184th in the country in defensive efficiency, while Duquesne nationally comes in at #207 in offensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: The Duquesne offense leans strongly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the Hampton defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the Hampton defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Duquesne offense will be 43.2% three-pointers (4.2% above the D1 average), 28.8% mid-range jumpers (2.7% above the D1 average), and 28.0% near-proximity twos (6.9% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has certainly not converted field goals at a solid clip this season (rated our #290 team in overall field goal percentage). Meanwhile, the Hampton defense rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #229 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Hampton defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects Duquesne to shoot 36.7% from three (2.5% above the D1 average), 38.3% from the mid-range (3.1% below the D1 average), 56.7% from near-proximity locations (1.1% below the D1 average), and 42.8% overall (1.5% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a slight rebounding advantage on this end. Duquesne lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. However, they're one of the weaker D1 teams at converting second-chance opportunities into points, ranking #314 in the country in that category. Their opponent in this matchup, Hampton, should be considered slightly inferior in the category of defensive rebounding, and they've likewise been very ineffective stopping opponents from scoring on offensive putbacks (ranked #325 in defensive second-chance conversion rate). | | TURNOVERS: Duquesne may struggle with turnovers against this Hampton defense. Offensively, Duquesne has plenty of room for improvement when it comes to securing the basketball. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals needs improvement, as the team places 260th in the nation in that category. Meanwhile, the Hampton defense exhibits a fair amount of pressure, which can occasionally create havoc for opposing offenses. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #80 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #43 in defensive field goal attempt rate. | | FREE THROWS: We expect an above-average number of free throw opportunities for the Duquesne offense here. They're usually a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #173 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (61.8%, ranked #358 in Division I). Meanwhile, the aggressive Hampton defense, as expected, will be far more likely to foul than most other D1 squads, ranking 340th in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
HAMPTON IN POSSESSION: According to the numbers, the Duquesne D should have a modest advantage on Hampton at this particular end of the floor. The Duquesne defense is ranked #131 in Division I, while Hampton comes in nationally at #192 on offense. | SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. The Hampton offense exhibits a solid preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Duquesne defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Duquesne defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Hampton offense will be 36.6% three-pointers (2.4% below the D1 average), 37.5% mid-range jumpers (11.4% above the D1 average), and 25.9% near-proximity twos (9.0% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Hampton has consistently failed to convert field goals this season (#351 nationally in overall field goal percentage). The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, has been doing a fairly decent job to defend opposing shooters, ranking 78th in the NCAA in defensive field goal conversion rate. On this end of the court, the Hampton offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. We expect Hampton to shoot 35.8% from behind the arc (1.6% above the D1 average), 35.6% from mid-range locations (5.8% below the D1 average), 39.5% from near-proximity (18.2% below the D1 average), and 36.7% overall (7.6% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne has an enormous rebounding advantage at this end. Hampton appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 285th nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). Meanwhile, Duquesne appears to be one of the better defensive rebounding units in Division I, and they've similarly done great work curbing points via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked 31st in defensive second-chance conversion rate). | | TURNOVERS: The Hampton offense has a small advantage over the Duquesne defense in the turnover game on this end. On offense, Hampton exhibits better ball-control skills than the average D1 squad. Their field goal attempt rate is well above-average (rated 28th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is very solid (70th in the country). As for the opposition, the Duquesne defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive. | | FREE THROWS: Hampton will probably acquire more foul line chances than normal in this contest. They're typically a team that is fairly decent at booking trips to the charity stripe (119th in the country in free throw attempt rate), and they're capable of inflicting loads of damage from there (79.2%, 24th in the country). As for the opposition, the Duquesne D sends opposing offenses to the foul line non-stop and ranks 329th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: There will be no hurry to push the ball up the floor here. Both squads have a preference for slow-down basketball. Duquesne is 340th in the country in game pace, while Hampton presently ranks 307th. | | AWAY-FROM-HOME: The analytics fail to reveal a significant advantage for either team in this category. | | MOMENTUM: Both teams come into this contest playing some of their best basketball this year. Duquesne is 11th in the country in positive momentum, while Hampton currently ranks 43rd. | | CONSISTENCY: Both of these squads are pretty consistent from an efficiency perspective. Hampton ranks 88th nationally in consistency, while Duquesne is currently 114th in that category. |
THE VERDICT: These teams are projected to be separated by less than two points. This one should be a nailbiter. Duquesne 65.75, Hampton 64.21. |
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