Haslametrics.com

Automated 2024-25 Game Preview

St. Bonaventure 22-12 (0.647) | Atlantic 10
-- VS. --
Duquesne 13-19 (0.406) | Atlantic 10

Includes games through April 3, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.

0.678 (119^th)

All-Play Percentage

0.634 (133^rd)

0.510 (133^rd)

Schedule Strength

0.536 (111^th)

0.183 (84^th)

Record Quality

-0.061 (212^th)

85.45 (85^th)

Avg. Season Rank

157.35 (153^rd)

-5.39 (348^th)

Momentum

2.90 (59^th)

-10.19 (271^st)

Consistency

-10.28 (281^st)

0.97 (43^rd)

Away-From-Home

-0.35 (191^st)

64.93 (290^th)

Pace

64.81 (298^th)

IN POSSESSION

	BONA		DUQ
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	106.69	191	105.62	118
FTAR	24.97	270	30.81	310
FT%	73.13	145	--	--
FGAR	88.35	119	83.22	32
FG%	44.29	155	43.74	153
3P%	31.19	311	37.08	326
MR%	42.37	33	36.32	127
NP%	61.51	94	55.95	78
PPSt	14.57	56	12.71	220
SCC%	5.94	182	5.71	141
Prox	2.05	243	1.97	289

IN POSSESSION

	DUQ		BONA
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	108.01	170	101.98	76
FTAR	27.18	180	20.50	5
FT%	63.55	357	--	--
FGAR	88.55	106	87.15	187
FG%	43.76	179	42.74	107
3P%	34.14	168	33.54	139
MR%	39.36	104	35.66	103
NP%	60.83	109	60.96	262
PPSt	13.57	106	11.52	132
SCC%	5.28	253	6.05	189
Prox	2.13	338	2.11	24

ST. BONAVENTURE IN POSSESSION:
According to the numbers, the Duquesne D should have a modest advantage on St. Bonaventure at this particular end of the floor. The Duquesne defense is ranked #118 in Division I, while St. Bonaventure comes in nationally at #191 on offense.

	SHOT SELECTION: There are conflicting shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The St. Bonaventure offense leans slightly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Duquesne defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the St. Bonaventure offense will be 32.0% three-pointers (6.7% below the D1 average), 36.7% mid-range jumpers (12.0% above the D1 average), and 31.3% near-proximity twos (5.3% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: St. Bonaventure rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #155 in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Duquesne defense has been unexceptional in defensive field goal percentage, rated 153rd nationally in that category. On this end of the court, the St. Bonaventure offense has an analytical edge in mid-range shooting, while the two opposing units are rated fairly evenly in both three-point shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects St. Bonaventure to shoot 33.7% from three (0.4% below the D1 average), 41.0% from the mid-range (3.5% above the D1 average), 58.4% from near-proximity locations (0.5% below the D1 average), and 44.1% overall (0.1% above the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a small rebounding edge on this end of the court. St. Bonaventure lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. As for converting their second-chance opportunities, they're similarly run-of-the-mill by D1 standards (nationally rated 182nd in that category). Their opponent in this matchup, Duquesne, appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, but they're slightly worse in defensive putback conversion percentage (ranked 141st in the country there).
	TURNOVERS: There shouldn't be much of an advantage for either team in this department. Offensively, St. Bonaventure is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. As for the opposition, the Duquesne defense leans more on the aggressive side when it comes to pressure. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #106 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #32 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
	FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. The St. Bonaventure offense isn't all that great at getting to the charity stripe (270th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're more mediocre converting their shots from there (73.1%, 145th in the country). Meanwhile, the contentious Duquesne defense, as expected, will be more likely to foul than most other D1 squads, ranking 310th in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
When analytically matched up against the St. Bonaventure defense, this Duquesne offense stands to be at somewhat of a disadvantage. St. Bonaventure is currently 76th in the country in defensive efficiency, while Duquesne nationally comes in at #170 in offensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. The Duquesne offense exhibits a solid preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the St. Bonaventure defense similarly surrenders several more opportunities from the outside. Against the St. Bonaventure defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 48.0% three-pointers (9.3% above the D1 average), 25.8% mid-range jumpers (1.1% above the D1 average), and 26.2% near-proximity twos (10.4% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 179th nationally in that category this year. The St. Bonaventure defense, meanwhile, has been doing a fairly decent job to defend opposing shooters, ranking 107th in the NCAA in defensive field goal conversion rate. On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has the ratings advantage in near-proximity shooting, the St. Bonaventure defense has the edge in three-point shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in mid-range shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 33.6% from behind the arc (0.5% below the D1 average), 37.5% from mid-range locations (0.1% above the D1 average), 63.7% from near-proximity (4.9% above the D1 average), and 42.5% overall (1.4% below the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: St. Bonaventure may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. Duquesne appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 253rd nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). Meanwhile, St. Bonaventure is fairly average when it comes to preventing second-chance opportunities, and they likewise rate right around the average in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked #189 in that category).
	TURNOVERS: The St. Bonaventure defense will likely force a fair share of turnovers against this Duquesne offense. On offense, Duquesne rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Meanwhile, the St. Bonaventure D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They are accomplished to a degree at converting turnovers into quick points on the scoreboard (nationally ranked 56th in that category).
	FREE THROWS: Duquesne will probably acquire fewer free throw attempts than normal in this encounter. They're typically a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #180 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (63.5%, ranked #357 in Division I). As for the opposition, the contentious St. Bonaventure defense surprisingly won't commit that many personal fouls and ranks fifth in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:

	PACE: Nobody will be in a huge rush to score in a contest such as this one. Both squads have a preference for slow-down basketball. Duquesne is 298th nationally in game pace, while St. Bonaventure currently ranks 290th.
	AWAY-FROM-HOME: St. Bonaventure may fare better than expected here, as their performances away from home, on average, have been superior to their performances at home.
	MOMENTUM: Duquesne appears to have a noteworthy momentum advantage. They come into this game playing above their norm (59th in the country in positive momentum), while St. Bonaventure (348th) has been more inefficient than normal in recent contests.
	CONSISTENCY: This contest features two of the NCAA's more erratic teams. Duquesne ranks 281st nationally in consistency, while St. Bonaventure is presently 271st in that category.

THE VERDICT:
Our analytical projection has these two teams going right down to the wire. Very little separates them, so things may not be able to be resolved in regulation. St. Bonaventure 65.61, Duquesne 64.94.