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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through December 3, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.672 (120th)
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0.391 (222nd)
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0.465 (188th)
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0.473 (172nd)
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0.184 (96th)
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-0.362 (332nd)
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117.26 (112th)
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170.55 (169th)
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0.44 (106th)
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0.12 (131st)
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-8.68 (198th)
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-6.45 (47th)
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1.52 (55th)
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0.54 (98th)
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67.82 (217th)
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67.64 (231st)
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IN POSSESSION
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PRIN
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DUQ
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
112.64 |
63 |
104.74 |
155 |
FTAR |
25.19 |
239 |
32.80 |
348 |
FT% |
69.72 |
233 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
86.88 |
109 |
81.85 |
23 |
FG% |
46.15 |
81 |
43.38 |
157 |
3P% |
38.27 |
19 |
35.76 |
291 |
MR% |
37.49 |
267 |
41.08 |
223 |
NP% |
61.24 |
71 |
54.85 |
73 |
PPSt |
10.57 |
261 |
11.50 |
132 |
SCC% |
4.42 |
296 |
4.81 |
96 |
Prox |
2.10 |
313 |
2.06 |
108 |
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IN POSSESSION
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DUQ
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PRIN
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
98.91 |
283 |
106.75 |
195 |
FTAR |
28.86 |
98 |
24.77 |
94 |
FT% |
58.60 |
354 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
85.14 |
213 |
85.32 |
163 |
FG% |
41.91 |
262 |
45.26 |
252 |
3P% |
31.38 |
283 |
34.44 |
225 |
MR% |
42.73 |
75 |
38.01 |
110 |
NP% |
55.78 |
233 |
63.29 |
347 |
PPSt |
14.86 |
44 |
9.29 |
22 |
SCC% |
4.25 |
311 |
6.04 |
253 |
Prox |
2.12 |
332 |
2.05 |
118 |
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PRINCETON IN POSSESSION: Analytically speaking, Princeton should come out ahead by a modest margin on this end of the court. This site rates Princeton to be 63rd in the nation in offensive efficiency, while Duquesne is currently our #155 squad in defensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams are somewhat similar on this end of the floor. The Princeton offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Duquesne defense similarly surrenders more opportunities from the outside. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Princeton offense will be 43.9% three-pointers (5.7% above the D1 average), 25.1% mid-range jumpers (1.6% below the D1 average), and 31.0% near-proximity twos (4.1% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Princeton has been a bit above the D1 average in floor shooting this year and is rated our #81 team in overall field goal percentage. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, has been unexceptional in defensive field goal percentage, rated 157th nationally in that category. On this end of the court, the Princeton offense has the ratings advantage in three-point shooting, the Duquesne defense has the edge in mid-range shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in near-proximity shooting. This site expects Princeton to shoot 40.3% from three (6.7% above the D1 average), 39.4% from the mid-range (0.5% below the D1 average), 59.1% from near-proximity locations (1.5% above the D1 average), and 45.9% overall (2.2% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne would appear to have a comfortable rebounding advantage on this end. Princeton is really nothing special on the offensive glass. However, they're quite incapable of scoring quickly off of their second-chance opportunities (rated 296th in the country in second-chance conversion percentage). Meanwhile, Duquesne has the look of a team that is pretty mediocre on the defensive boards, but they have been a wee bit better containing foes' conversion rates off of second chances (nationally ranking #96 in that department). | | TURNOVERS: The Princeton offense has a small advantage over the Duquesne defense in the turnover game on this end. When in possession, Princeton routinely handles the ball with care. Their field goal attempt rate is very respectable (rated 109th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is almost spotless (22nd in the country). As for the opposition, the Duquesne D is fairly aggressive and is certainly capable of coming away with their fair share of steals. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #44 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #23 in defensive field goal attempt rate. | | FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. Princeton is a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (239th in the country in free throw attempt rate), and they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (69.7%, 233rd in the country). As for the opposition, the aggressive Duquesne defense predictably commits a ridiculous number of fouls, ranking 348th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION: When analytically matched up against the Princeton defense, this Duquesne offense stands to be at somewhat of a disadvantage. The Princeton defense is ranked #195 in Division I, while Duquesne comes in nationally at #283 on offense. | SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense exhibits a solid preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Princeton defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Princeton defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 41.4% three-pointers (3.2% above the D1 average), 31.1% mid-range jumpers (4.4% above the D1 average), and 27.5% near-proximity twos (7.6% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been a below-average team in floor shooting this season and is ranked #262 in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Princeton defense is currently rated a bit worse than the D1 average in defensive field goal percentage (#252 in the country). On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the Princeton defense has the edge in three-point shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 32.2% from behind the arc (1.4% below the D1 average), 41.3% from mid-range locations (1.4% above the D1 average), 62.8% from near-proximity (5.2% above the D1 average), and 43.4% overall (0.3% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Princeton may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. Duquesne lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. However, they're one of the weaker D1 teams at converting second-chance opportunities into points, ranking #311 in the country in that category. Princeton, meanwhile, is relatively mediocre when it comes to eliminating second-chance opportunities, but they've been a bit worse stopping opponents from converting on second-chance putbacks (rated 253rd in the country in that category). | | TURNOVERS: The Duquesne offense should keep the ball fairly secure here against the Princeton defense. Offensively, Duquesne rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Meanwhile, the Princeton D is a tad more conservative than most D1 units. Furthermore, they'll rarely convert takeaways into quick points, evidenced by their #261 ranking in that category. | | FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. Duquesne is fairly decent at booking trips to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #98 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (58.6%, ranked #354 in Division I). Meanwhile, the more reserved Princeton defense, as expected, keeps opposing offenses off the free throw line, ranking 94th in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. Princeton is 217th in the country in game pace, while Duquesne nationally ranks 231st in the same category. | | AWAY-FROM-HOME: The analytics offset here. Both Princeton and Duquesne have performed superior to their respective norms when they've played away from home this season. | | MOMENTUM: Princeton has the advantage in this department. They've been playing better ball as of late and are currently ranked 106th in the country in positive momentum. | | CONSISTENCY: Duquesne is one of college basketball's more consistent teams, ranking 47th in the country in consistency. Princeton rates more in the middle. |
THE VERDICT: Duquesne certainly has a shot to win here, but the numbers tell us that Princeton is the right choice. Princeton 74.50, Duquesne 68.33. |
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