Haslametrics.com

Automated 2024-25 Game Preview

Princeton 19-11 (0.633) | Ivy
-- VS. --
Duquesne 13-19 (0.406) | Atlantic 10

Includes games through April 3, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.

0.501 (182^nd)

All-Play Percentage

0.634 (133^rd)

0.481 (146^th)

Schedule Strength

0.536 (111^th)

0.120 (116^th)

Record Quality

-0.061 (212^th)

148.90 (148^th)

Avg. Season Rank

157.35 (153^rd)

-3.16 (311^th)

Momentum

2.90 (59^th)

-10.23 (274^th)

Consistency

-10.28 (281^st)

0.52 (86^th)

Away-From-Home

-0.35 (191^st)

66.30 (199^th)

Pace

64.81 (298^th)

IN POSSESSION

	PRIN		DUQ
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	105.41	219	105.62	118
FTAR	22.63	336	30.81	310
FT%	72.55	172	--	--
FGAR	88.14	126	83.22	32
FG%	41.87	279	43.74	153
3P%	34.72	135	37.08	326
MR%	35.06	265	36.32	127
NP%	54.63	309	55.95	78
PPSt	10.74	268	12.71	220
SCC%	3.69	345	5.71	141
Prox	2.14	344	1.97	289

IN POSSESSION

	DUQ		PRIN
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	108.01	170	108.19	170
FTAR	27.18	180	26.69	157
FT%	63.55	357	--	--
FGAR	88.55	106	84.51	60
FG%	43.76	179	45.51	255
3P%	34.14	168	34.51	205
MR%	39.36	104	37.13	162
NP%	60.83	109	61.67	283
PPSt	13.57	106	10.79	77
SCC%	5.28	253	5.88	157
Prox	2.13	338	2.00	237

PRINCETON IN POSSESSION:
The Princeton offense appears to be at an analytical disadvantage when matched up against the Duquesne defense. The Duquesne defense is ranked #118 in Division I, while Princeton comes in nationally at #219 on offense.

	SHOT SELECTION: There are conflicting shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The Princeton offense leans solidly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Duquesne defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Princeton offense will be 45.3% three-pointers (6.6% above the D1 average), 19.1% mid-range jumpers (5.6% below the D1 average), and 35.5% near-proximity twos (1.1% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Princeton has been a below-average team in floor shooting this season and is ranked #279 in overall field goal conversion rate. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #153 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Princeton offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects Princeton to shoot 37.0% from three (2.9% above the D1 average), 33.8% from the mid-range (3.7% below the D1 average), 51.5% from near-proximity locations (7.3% below the D1 average), and 41.5% overall (2.4% below the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Duquesne will very likely win the rebound battle on this end of the court. Princeton appears to be a team that will struggle most nights on the offensive boards. To boot, they are horrible when it comes to converting their second chance opportunities, ranking 345th nationally in that category. Duquesne, meanwhile, appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, but they're slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #141 in the country in that department).
	TURNOVERS: The Princeton offense should keep the ball fairly secure here against the Duquesne defense. Offensively, Princeton exemplifies ball-security to a degree slightly superior to the average NCAA team. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is respectable, as the squad places 77th in the country in that category. Meanwhile, the Duquesne D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #106 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #32 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
	FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. Princeton won't see many opportunities at the charity stripe (nationally ranked #336 in free throw attempt rate), though they're more mediocre converting their shots from there (72.5%, ranked #172 in Division I). Meanwhile, the contentious Duquesne defense, as expected, will be more likely to foul than most other D1 squads, ranking 310th in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
There isn't much of an advantage either way here when Duquesne is in possession of the basketball. This website respectively ranks each of the two teams #170 in the categories of offensive and defensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: The Duquesne offense leans solidly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the Princeton defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the Princeton defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 43.0% three-pointers (4.3% above the D1 average), 24.4% mid-range jumpers (0.3% below the D1 average), and 32.6% near-proximity twos (4.0% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 179th nationally in that category this year. Meanwhile, the Princeton defense has not done particularly well to shut down opponents' shooters, ranking 255th in the NCAA in defensive field goal percentage. The Duquesne offense has a noticeable advantage at all three levels on this end of the floor. We expect Duquesne to shoot 34.5% from behind the arc (0.4% above the D1 average), 39.1% from mid-range locations (1.7% above the D1 average), 64.1% from near-proximity (5.3% above the D1 average), and 45.3% overall (1.3% above the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Princeton may have a small rebounding edge on this end of the court. Duquesne appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 253rd nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). The opposition here, Princeton, is fairly average when it comes to preventing second-chance opportunities, and they're similarly only fair in defensive putback conversion percentage (ranked 157th in the country there).
	TURNOVERS: The Duquesne offense has a small advantage over the Princeton defense in the turnover game on this end. On offense, Duquesne is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. As for the opposition, the Princeton defense appears to be more on the conservative side when you look at turnovers forced. Furthermore, they'll rarely convert takeaways into quick points, evidenced by their #268 ranking in that category.
	FREE THROWS: These two squads are matched fairly evenly in this department. The Duquesne offense obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (180th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (63.5%, eighth from the bottom in the country). As for the opposition, the more reserved Princeton defense is fairly average in defensive free throw attempt rate, ranking 157th in the country in that category.

THE X-FACTORS:

	PACE: The tempo in this particular contest should be more on the slow side of things. Princeton (199th nationally in game pace) likes a fairly average tempo, but Duquesne (298th) would rather maintain a slower pace.
	AWAY-FROM-HOME: Princeton may fare better than expected here, as their performances away from home, on average, have been superior to their performances at home.
	MOMENTUM: Duquesne appears to have a noteworthy momentum advantage. They come into this game playing above their norm (59th in the country in positive momentum), while Princeton (311th) has been more inefficient than normal in recent contests.
	CONSISTENCY: This contest features two of the NCAA's more erratic teams. Duquesne ranks 281st nationally in consistency, while Princeton is presently 274th in that category.

THE VERDICT:
We foresee Duquesne getting the win here, but the margin of victory should not be excessive. Duquesne 69.43, Princeton 66.23.