Haslametrics.com

Automated 2024-25 Game Preview

Towson 22-11 (0.667) | CAA
-- VS. --
Duquesne 13-19 (0.406) | Atlantic 10

Includes games through April 3, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.

0.537 (169^th)

All-Play Percentage

0.634 (133^rd)

0.418 (189^th)

Schedule Strength

0.536 (111^th)

0.123 (114^th)

Record Quality

-0.061 (212^th)

184.84 (178^th)

Avg. Season Rank

157.35 (153^rd)

0.77 (143^rd)

Momentum

2.90 (59^th)

-9.26 (156^th)

Consistency

-10.28 (281^st)

-0.39 (193^rd)

Away-From-Home

-0.35 (191^st)

63.75 (344^th)

Pace

64.81 (298^th)

IN POSSESSION

	TOW		DUQ
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	107.73	173	105.62	118
FTAR	25.80	234	30.81	310
FT%	68.11	316	--	--
FGAR	92.75	13	83.22	32
FG%	41.98	271	43.74	153
3P%	34.50	151	37.08	326
MR%	37.42	178	36.32	127
NP%	53.66	329	55.95	78
PPSt	12.85	141	12.71	220
SCC%	5.81	196	5.71	141
Prox	2.03	210	1.97	289

IN POSSESSION

	DUQ		TOW
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	108.01	170	108.67	184
FTAR	27.18	180	26.93	168
FT%	63.55	357	--	--
FGAR	88.55	106	87.05	180
FG%	43.76	179	44.60	198
3P%	34.14	168	34.32	194
MR%	39.36	104	38.92	239
NP%	60.83	109	58.45	166
PPSt	13.57	106	12.23	187
SCC%	5.28	253	6.48	241
Prox	2.13	338	2.01	199

TOWSON IN POSSESSION:
The Duquesne defense appears to have a small advantage on the Towson offense at this end of the court. This site rates Duquesne to be 118th in the nation in defensive efficiency, while Towson is currently our #173 squad in offensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: These two teams exhibit contrasting shot preferences on this end of the court. The Towson offense leans slightly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Duquesne defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Towson offense will be 33.9% three-pointers (4.8% below the D1 average), 31.3% mid-range jumpers (6.6% above the D1 average), and 34.8% near-proximity twos (1.8% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Towson hasn't been one of the better shooting D1 teams this season, ranking 271st nationally in overall field goal percentage. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, has been unexceptional in defensive field goal percentage, rated 153rd nationally in that category. On this end of the court, the Towson offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects Towson to shoot 37.4% from three (3.3% above the D1 average), 36.4% from the mid-range (1.1% below the D1 average), 50.6% from near-proximity locations (8.2% below the D1 average), and 41.7% overall (2.3% below the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a small rebounding edge on this end of the court. Towson appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. As for converting their second-chance opportunities, they're similarly run-of-the-mill by D1 standards (nationally rated 196th in that category). Duquesne, meanwhile, has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, but they're slightly worse in defensive putback conversion percentage (ranked 141st in the country there).
	TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense has a small advantage over the Towson offense in the turnover battle on this end. On offense, Towson rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. As for the opposition, the Duquesne D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #106 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #32 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
	FREE THROWS: These two squads are matched fairly evenly in this department. Towson obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (234th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're quite terrible at sinking their foul shots (68.1%, 316th in the country). As for the opposition, the contentious Duquesne defense, as expected, will be more likely to foul than most other D1 squads, ranking 310th in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
There isn't much of an advantage either way here when Duquesne is in possession of the basketball. The Duquesne offense is ranked #170 in Division I, while Towson comes in nationally at #184 on defense.

	SHOT SELECTION: The Duquesne offense leans solidly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the Towson defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the Towson defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 44.5% three-pointers (5.8% above the D1 average), 22.6% mid-range jumpers (2.1% below the D1 average), and 32.9% near-proximity twos (3.7% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #179 in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Towson defense rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #198 nationally in that category). The Duquesne offense has a noticeable advantage at all three levels on this end of the floor. We expect Duquesne to shoot 34.3% from behind the arc (0.2% above the D1 average), 41.0% from mid-range locations (3.5% above the D1 average), 60.3% from near-proximity (1.5% above the D1 average), and 44.4% overall (0.4% above the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: The rebounding edge doesn't significantly go to either team in this contest. Duquesne is really nothing special on the offensive glass. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #253 in that department). The opposition here, Towson, is fairly average when it comes to preventing second-chance opportunities, but they've been a bit worse stopping opponents from converting on second-chance putbacks (rated 241st in the country in that category).
	TURNOVERS: The Towson defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. When in possession, Duquesne is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the Towson D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective.
	FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. The Duquesne offense obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #180 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (63.5%, ranked #357 in Division I). Meanwhile, the Towson D is pretty average in defensive free throw attempt rate, ranking 168th in the country in that category.

THE X-FACTORS:

	PACE: There will be no hurry to push the ball up the floor here. Both squads have a preference for slow-down basketball. Towson is 344th in the country in game pace, while Duquesne presently ranks 298th.
	AWAY-FROM-HOME: The analytics fail to reveal a significant advantage for either team in this category.
	MOMENTUM: Duquesne has the momentum edge here. They've been playing some better basketball recently and are presently ranked 59th in the country in positive momentum.
	CONSISTENCY: Duquesne is one of Division I's more erratic squads, ranking 281st in the country in consistency. Towson places closer to the middle of the pack in this category.

THE VERDICT:
Expect this to come down to the last few possessions. Duquesne gets the victory by a narrow margin. Duquesne 67.60, Towson 65.03.