TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
Bradley  14-3 (0.824)  |  Missouri Valley
-- VS. --
Duquesne  7-9 (0.438)  |  Atlantic 10
Includes games through January 12, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
0.719 (103rd)
   All-Play Percentage
  
0.595 (148th)
0.436 (217th)
   Schedule Strength
  
0.502 (130th)
0.313 (46th)
   Record Quality
  
-0.071 (209th)
82.28 (80th)
   Avg. Season Rank
  
175.41 (174th)
-2.21 (295th)
   Momentum
  
7.17 (1st)
-9.39 (202nd)
   Consistency
  
-10.23 (282nd)
-0.20 (150th)
   Away-From-Home   
-1.56 (261st)
65.59 (260th)
Pace
  
63.75 (345th)
IN POSSESSION
BRAD
DUQ
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 109.03 135 105.75 147
FTAR 24.19 290 32.72 330
FT% 76.38 53 -- --
FGAR 83.98 287 84.41 88
FG% 45.11 120 42.39 113
3P% 39.80 6 36.79 313
MR% 40.35 210 40.88 171
NP% 60.17 104 50.53 28
PPSt 10.46 283 12.20 176
SCC% 3.59 335 4.35 49
Prox 2.19 355 2.05 158
IN POSSESSION
DUQ
BRAD
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 106.86 174 103.19 108
FTAR 26.53 208 31.19 301
FT% 61.26 356 -- --
FGAR 90.70 32 87.36 221
FG% 42.46 236 40.74 57
3P% 34.83 116 27.73 5
MR% 42.70 119 46.07 316
NP% 54.78 245 52.18 44
PPSt 11.95 198 12.80 215
SCC% 4.84 268 6.74 283
Prox 2.17 347 2.09 80
BRADLEY IN POSSESSION:
There isn't much of an advantage either way here when Bradley is in possession of the basketball. Bradley is currently 135th in the country in offensive efficiency, while Duquesne nationally comes in at #147 in defensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. The Bradley offense exhibits a strong preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Duquesne defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Bradley offense will be 40.9% three-pointers (2.3% above the D1 average), 38.5% mid-range jumpers (12.0% above the D1 average), and 20.6% near-proximity twos (14.3% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Bradley is fairly decent at draining shots from the floor, ranking 120th nationally in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Duquesne defense has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #113 team nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Bradley offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects Bradley to shoot 43.3% from three (9.8% above the D1 average), 40.3% from the mid-range (0.7% below the D1 average), 50.5% from near-proximity locations (6.8% below the D1 average), and 43.6% overall (0.2% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Duquesne should easily control the boards on this end of the floor. Bradley is really nothing special on the offensive glass. On the other hand, they are actually far from competent converting their second chance opportunities, ranking 335th nationally in that category. Duquesne, meanwhile, has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, and they've similarly done great work curbing points via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked 49th in defensive second-chance conversion rate).
TURNOVERS: Neither team has much of an advantage in this category. When in possession, Bradley is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. As for the opposition, the Duquesne D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective.
FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. Bradley won't get to the charity stripe very often (nationally ranked #290 in free throw attempt rate), though they're pretty good at converting their foul shots (76.4%, ranked #53 in Division I). As for the opposition, the Duquesne D appears to commit far too many fouls by NCAA standards and nationally ranks 330th in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
The Bradley defense appears to have a small advantage on the Duquesne offense at this end of the court. This site rates Bradley to be 108th in the nation in defensive efficiency, while Duquesne is currently our #174 squad in offensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams are somewhat similar on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense exhibits a strong preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Bradley defense similarly surrenders more opportunities from the outside. Against the Bradley defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 43.5% three-pointers (4.9% above the D1 average), 34.8% mid-range jumpers (8.3% above the D1 average), and 21.7% near-proximity twos (13.2% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 236th nationally in that category this year. The Bradley defense, meanwhile, has done well to keep their opponents' shooting percentages down (rated our #57 team in defensive field goal percentage this year). On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in mid-range shooting, while the Bradley defense has the edge in both three-point shooting and near-proximity shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 29.8% from behind the arc (3.7% below the D1 average), 46.7% from mid-range locations (5.6% above the D1 average), 47.5% from near-proximity (9.9% below the D1 average), and 39.5% overall (4.3% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: The rebounding edge doesn't significantly go to either team in this contest. Duquesne lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 268th nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). The opposition here, Bradley, has the look of a team that is pretty mediocre on the defensive boards, but they've been a little bit worse when trying to suppress foes' second-chance conversion rates (rated #283 in defensive second-chance conversion percentage).
TURNOVERS: The Duquesne offense should keep the ball fairly secure here against the Bradley defense. Offensively, Duquesne rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Meanwhile, the Bradley D is a tad more conservative than most D1 units. Furthermore, they'll rarely convert takeaways into quick points, evidenced by their #283 ranking in that category.
FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. The Duquesne offense obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (208th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (61.3%, ninth from the bottom in the country). Meanwhile, the more reserved Bradley defense surprisingly commits more fouls than you'd expect and places 301st nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:
PACE: There will be no hurry to push the ball up the floor here. Both squads have a preference for slow-down basketball. Duquesne is 345th nationally in game pace, while Bradley currently ranks 260th.
AWAY-FROM-HOME: Duquesne may fare worse than expected here, as their performances away from home, on average, have been more inferior than their performances in front of a home crowd.
MOMENTUM: Duquesne appears to have a noteworthy momentum advantage. They come into this game playing above their norm (first in the country in positive momentum), while Bradley (295th) has been more inefficient than normal in recent contests.
CONSISTENCY: Duquesne is one of Division I's more erratic squads, ranking 282nd in the country in consistency. Bradley places closer to the middle of the pack in this category.

THE VERDICT:
Duquesne will have a decent shot to come away with a victory, but we're still going with Bradley in a close one. Bradley 67.94, Duquesne 63.90.