|
Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
|
|
Includes games through January 2, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
|
0.521 (175th)
|
|
0.614 (141st)
|
0.404 (276th)
|
|
0.489 (143rd)
|
-0.027 (187th)
|
|
-0.094 (214th)
|
252.25 (253rd)
|
|
180.31 (178th)
|
4.19 (20th)
|
|
6.20 (4th)
|
-11.50 (338th)
|
|
-9.02 (183rd)
|
0.42 (114th)
|
|
1.64 (105th)
|
66.36 (244th)
|
|
63.83 (348th)
|
|
|
IN POSSESSION
|
CLST
|
DUQ
|
Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
103.79 |
223 |
103.90 |
116 |
FTAR |
27.27 |
158 |
31.91 |
324 |
FT% |
74.09 |
120 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
86.25 |
166 |
84.59 |
109 |
FG% |
43.07 |
228 |
41.52 |
68 |
3P% |
32.09 |
247 |
36.54 |
288 |
MR% |
38.91 |
259 |
40.48 |
149 |
NP% |
57.96 |
182 |
48.46 |
11 |
PPSt |
14.98 |
82 |
14.31 |
281 |
SCC% |
6.02 |
153 |
3.82 |
31 |
Prox |
2.00 |
114 |
2.05 |
156 |
|
|
IN POSSESSION
|
DUQ
|
CLST
|
Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
105.16 |
196 |
105.79 |
145 |
FTAR |
27.71 |
140 |
29.47 |
270 |
FT% |
60.85 |
358 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
88.67 |
73 |
80.30 |
18 |
FG% |
41.96 |
272 |
45.63 |
236 |
3P% |
35.16 |
124 |
35.46 |
242 |
MR% |
42.42 |
137 |
41.02 |
170 |
NP% |
53.59 |
283 |
59.96 |
234 |
PPSt |
12.32 |
190 |
14.59 |
293 |
SCC% |
4.31 |
294 |
8.35 |
348 |
Prox |
2.20 |
357 |
2.04 |
179 |
|
|
CLEVELAND STATE IN POSSESSION: The Cleveland State offense appears to be at an analytical disadvantage when matched up against the Duquesne defense. The Duquesne defense is ranked #116 in Division I, while Cleveland State comes in nationally at #223 on offense. | SHOT SELECTION: The Cleveland State offense demonstrates a balance of outside and inside attempts, while the Duquesne defense typically allows a few more chances from the perimeter than from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Cleveland State offense will be 29.6% three-pointers (9.4% below the D1 average), 41.0% mid-range jumpers (15.0% above the D1 average), and 29.3% near-proximity twos (5.6% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Cleveland State rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #228 in overall field goal conversion rate. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, sports one of college basketball's better defensive field goal percentages, ranking 68th in the country in that category. On this end of the court, the Cleveland State offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects Cleveland State to shoot 34.3% from three (0.4% above the D1 average), 38.4% from the mid-range (2.9% below the D1 average), 47.1% from near-proximity locations (10.9% below the D1 average), and 39.7% overall (4.5% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a small rebounding edge on this end of the court. Cleveland State lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. When it comes to converting second-chance opportunities, they're similarly unremarkable, coming in at #153 nationally in our ratings there. Their opponent in this matchup, Duquesne, has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, and they've similarly done great work curbing points via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked 31st in defensive second-chance conversion rate). | | TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. On offense, Cleveland State has plenty of room for improvement when it comes to securing the basketball. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is particularly inadequate, as the team places 293rd in the nation in that category. As for the opposition, the Duquesne defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive. | | FREE THROWS: Cleveland State will probably acquire more foul line chances than normal in this contest. They're usually a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (158th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're above-average shooters from there (74.1%, 120th in the country). Meanwhile, the Duquesne D appears to commit far too many fouls by NCAA standards and nationally ranks 324th in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION: The Cleveland State defense appears to have a small advantage on the Duquesne offense at this end of the court. Cleveland State is currently 145th in the country in defensive efficiency, while Duquesne nationally comes in at #196 in offensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense exhibits a strong preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Cleveland State defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Cleveland State defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 45.8% three-pointers (6.8% above the D1 average), 28.9% mid-range jumpers (2.9% above the D1 average), and 25.2% near-proximity twos (9.7% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne hasn't been one of the better shooting D1 teams this season, ranking 272nd nationally in overall field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the Cleveland State defense rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #236 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the Cleveland State defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 36.8% from behind the arc (2.9% above the D1 average), 42.8% from mid-range locations (1.5% above the D1 average), 57.4% from near-proximity (0.5% below the D1 average), and 43.8% overall (0.5% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a slight rebounding advantage on this end. Duquesne appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. However, they're quite incapable of scoring quickly off of their second-chance opportunities (rated 294th in the country in second-chance conversion percentage). Meanwhile, Cleveland State is fairly average when it comes to preventing second-chance opportunities, but they are far, far worse when rating defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked 348th in D1 there). | | TURNOVERS: The Cleveland State defense will likely force a fair share of turnovers against this Duquesne offense. When in possession, Duquesne isn't the sloppiest team in the world, but they've definitely got some ball-security issues. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals needs improvement, as the team places 281st in the nation in that category. Meanwhile, the Cleveland State defense leans more on the aggressive side when it comes to pressure. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #82 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #18 in defensive field goal attempt rate. | | FREE THROWS: We expect an above-average number of free throw opportunities for the Duquesne offense here. They're typically a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #140 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (60.9%, ranked #358 in Division I). As for the opposition, the contentious Cleveland State defense predictably commits a significant number of fouls, ranking 270th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: Nobody will be in a huge rush to score in a contest such as this one. Both squads have a preference for slow-down basketball. Duquesne is 348th nationally in game pace, while Cleveland State currently ranks 244th. | | AWAY/HOME COURT: Cleveland State has performed better away from home this year than they have at home. Unfortunately for them, they face Duquesne, who has played their best basketball this season in front of their home crowd. | | MOMENTUM: Both teams come into this contest playing some of their best basketball this year. Duquesne is fourth nationally in positive momentum, while Cleveland State presently ranks 20th. | | CONSISTENCY: Cleveland State is one of the NCAA's more inconsistent teams, ranking 338th nationally in consistency. Duquesne rates closer to the D1 average. |
THE VERDICT: There isn't a large gap separating the abilities of these two squads. Cleveland State will put up a fight, but Duquesne gets the win. Duquesne 66.38, Cleveland State 61.94. |
|
|
|