Haslametrics.com

Automated 2024-25 Game Preview

DePaul 14-20 (0.412) | Big East
-- AT --
Duquesne 13-19 (0.406) | Atlantic 10

Includes games through April 3, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.

0.708 (107^th)

All-Play Percentage

0.634 (133^rd)

0.649 (67^th)

Schedule Strength

0.536 (111^th)

0.017 (168^th)

Record Quality

-0.061 (212^th)

101.03 (97^th)

Avg. Season Rank

157.35 (153^rd)

-0.01 (177^th)

Momentum

2.90 (59^th)

-10.56 (309^th)

Consistency

-10.28 (281^st)

-2.37 (329^th)

Away/Home Court

0.35 (174^th)

65.95 (227^th)

Pace

64.81 (298^th)

IN POSSESSION

	DEP		DUQ
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	111.50	104	105.62	118
FTAR	24.37	296	30.81	310
FT%	72.87	157	--	--
FGAR	86.93	192	83.22	32
FG%	46.00	82	43.74	153
3P%	34.56	148	37.08	326
MR%	36.87	202	36.32	127
NP%	66.67	10	55.95	78
PPSt	11.41	225	12.71	220
SCC%	5.62	218	5.71	141
Prox	2.12	334	1.97	289

IN POSSESSION

	DUQ		DEP
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	108.01	170	104.72	105
FTAR	27.18	180	24.43	80
FT%	63.55	357	--	--
FGAR	88.55	106	88.19	232
FG%	43.76	179	43.87	162
3P%	34.14	168	33.75	152
MR%	39.36	104	36.78	145
NP%	60.83	109	58.17	151
PPSt	13.57	106	14.05	305
SCC%	5.28	253	7.14	311
Prox	2.13	338	1.97	307

DEPAUL IN POSSESSION:
These two squads are very evenly matched when DePaul is on offense. DePaul is currently 104th in the country in offensive efficiency, while Duquesne nationally comes in at #118 in defensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: These two teams exhibit contrasting shot preferences on this end of the court. The DePaul offense leans solidly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Duquesne defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the DePaul offense will be 41.1% three-pointers (2.3% above the D1 average), 25.0% mid-range jumpers (0.3% above the D1 average), and 33.9% near-proximity twos (2.7% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: DePaul is fairly decent at draining shots from the floor, ranking 82nd nationally in overall field goal conversion rate. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, has been unexceptional in defensive field goal percentage, rated 153rd nationally in that category. On this end of the court, the DePaul offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in mid-range shooting. This site expects DePaul to shoot 36.7% from three (2.6% above the D1 average), 35.2% from the mid-range (2.3% below the D1 average), 63.0% from near-proximity locations (4.2% above the D1 average), and 45.2% overall (1.3% above the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a small rebounding edge on this end of the court. DePaul appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. As for converting their second-chance opportunities, they're similarly run-of-the-mill by D1 standards (nationally rated 218th in that category). Duquesne, meanwhile, has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, but they're slightly worse in defensive putback conversion percentage (ranked 141st in the country there).
	TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense will likely force a fair share of turnovers against this DePaul offense. On offense, DePaul isn't the sloppiest team in the world, but they've definitely got some ball-security issues. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is particularly inadequate, as the team places 305th in the nation in that category. As for the opposition, the Duquesne defense leans more on the aggressive side when it comes to pressure. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #106 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #32 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
	FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. DePaul won't get to the charity stripe very often (nationally ranked #296 in free throw attempt rate), though they're more mediocre converting their shots from there (72.9%, ranked #157 in Division I). As for the opposition, the contentious Duquesne defense predictably commits a significant number of fouls, ranking 310th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
According to the numbers, the DePaul D should have a modest advantage on Duquesne at this particular end of the floor. This site rates DePaul to be 105th in the nation in defensive efficiency, while Duquesne is currently our #170 squad in offensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams contrast somewhat on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense leans solidly toward putting up more outside shots, while the DePaul defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the DePaul defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 39.9% three-pointers (1.2% above the D1 average), 27.4% mid-range jumpers (2.7% above the D1 average), and 32.7% near-proximity twos (3.9% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #179 in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the DePaul defense rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #162 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has an analytical edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the two opposing units are rated fairly evenly in three-point shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 34.2% from behind the arc (0.1% above the D1 average), 38.9% from mid-range locations (1.4% above the D1 average), 60.9% from near-proximity (2.1% above the D1 average), and 44.2% overall (0.2% above the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a slight rebounding advantage on this end. Duquesne is really nothing special on the offensive glass. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #253 in that department). The opposition here, DePaul, is fairly average when it comes to preventing second-chance opportunities, but they have been worse keeping their opponents' putback conversion percentages down (ranked 311th in the nation in defensive second-chance conversion rate).
	TURNOVERS: There shouldn't be much of an advantage for either team in this department. When in possession, Duquesne rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Meanwhile, the DePaul defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive.
	FREE THROWS: These two squads are matched fairly evenly in this department. The Duquesne offense obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (180th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (63.5%, eighth from the bottom in the country). Meanwhile, the DePaul D has been solid at minimizing opponents' free throw opportunities, ranking 80th in the NCAA in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:

	PACE: Expect a slightly slower tempo here when these two ball-clubs meet. DePaul (227th nationally in game pace) likes a fairly average tempo, but Duquesne (298th) would rather maintain a slower pace.
	AWAY/HOME COURT: DePaul may perform worse than expected here, as their efforts away from home, on average, have been more inferior than their performances at home.
	MOMENTUM: Duquesne has the momentum edge here. They've been playing some better basketball recently and are presently ranked 59th in the country in positive momentum.
	CONSISTENCY: This contest features two of the NCAA's more erratic teams. DePaul ranks 309th in the country in consistency, while Duquesne is currently 281st in that category.

THE VERDICT:
We have these two teams separated by less than a single point. Don't be surprised if we see a little overtime here. Duquesne 69.29, DePaul 68.36.