TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
DePaul  9-4 (0.692)  |  Big East
-- AT --
Duquesne  5-8 (0.385)  |  Atlantic 10
Includes games through December 30, 2024.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
0.807 (71st)
   All-Play Percentage
  
0.565 (159th)
0.417 (246th)
   Schedule Strength
  
0.481 (159th)
0.157 (105th)
   Record Quality
  
-0.149 (245th)
86.41 (85th)
   Avg. Season Rank
  
182.34 (184th)
-4.41 (353rd)
   Momentum
  
4.85 (12th)
-12.88 (356th)
   Consistency
  
-8.47 (130th)
-9.74 (363rd)
   Away/Home Court   
0.86 (148th)
67.15 (204th)
Pace
  
64.28 (344th)
IN POSSESSION
DEP
DUQ
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 115.64 54 104.98 136
FTAR 22.98 296 31.76 327
FT% 73.81 125 -- --
FGAR 88.91 63 84.65 117
FG% 45.83 119 42.01 79
3P% 39.43 24 37.23 307
MR% 38.53 272 41.42 176
NP% 58.79 159 47.91 7
PPSt 11.21 236 13.79 258
SCC% 7.01 70 4.02 39
Prox 2.15 338 2.03 182
IN POSSESSION
DUQ
DEP
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 104.37 214 99.51 68
FTAR 26.55 182 21.35 33
FT% 61.79 357 -- --
FGAR 88.85 65 85.31 145
FG% 41.58 293 45.10 208
3P% 35.58 118 33.40 143
MR% 42.07 157 42.23 200
NP% 51.34 329 56.76 139
PPSt 13.00 164 15.70 324
SCC% 3.80 322 5.23 136
Prox 2.19 353 1.93 349
DEPAUL IN POSSESSION:
When pitted against the Duquesne defense, the DePaul offense appears to have somewhat of an advantage. The DePaul offense is ranked #54 in Division I, while Duquesne comes in nationally at #136 on defense.
SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The DePaul offense exhibits a strong preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Duquesne defense similarly surrenders more opportunities from the outside. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the DePaul offense will be 45.2% three-pointers (6.4% above the D1 average), 24.3% mid-range jumpers (1.6% below the D1 average), and 30.5% near-proximity twos (4.7% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: DePaul is fairly decent at draining shots from the floor, ranking 119th nationally in overall field goal conversion rate. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #79 team nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the DePaul offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects DePaul to shoot 41.9% from three (7.9% above the D1 average), 38.8% from the mid-range (2.6% below the D1 average), 47.9% from near-proximity locations (9.9% below the D1 average), and 43.0% overall (1.3% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a small rebounding edge on this end of the court. DePaul has the fingerprint of a team that's above-average, yet not outstanding, on the offensive glass. They're also quite proficient at scoring quickly off of their second-chance opportunities (rated 70th in the country in second-chance conversion percentage). Their opponent in this matchup, Duquesne, has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, and they've likewise effectively prevented opponents from scoring via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked #39 in defensive second-chance conversion percentage).
TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense will likely force a fair share of turnovers against this DePaul offense. Offensively, DePaul isn't the sloppiest team in the world, but they've definitely got some ball-security issues. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is particularly inadequate, as the team places 324th in the nation in that category. As for the opposition, the Duquesne D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective.
FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. DePaul is a team that won't get to the charity stripe very often (nationally ranked #296 in free throw attempt rate), though they're above-average shooters from there (73.8%, ranked #125 in Division I). As for the opposition, the Duquesne D sends opposing offenses to the foul line non-stop and ranks 327th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
The Duquesne offense appears to be at an analytical disadvantage when matched up against the DePaul defense. DePaul is currently 68th in the country in defensive efficiency, while Duquesne nationally comes in at #214 in offensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: These two teams exhibit contrasting shot preferences on this end of the court. The Duquesne offense leans strongly toward putting up more outside shots, while the DePaul defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the DePaul defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 38.3% three-pointers (0.6% below the D1 average), 31.9% mid-range jumpers (5.9% above the D1 average), and 29.9% near-proximity twos (5.3% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has certainly not converted field goals at a solid clip this season (rated our #293 team in overall field goal percentage). Meanwhile, the DePaul defense rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #208 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the DePaul defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 35.7% from behind the arc (1.6% above the D1 average), 43.1% from mid-range locations (1.6% above the D1 average), 51.8% from near-proximity (6.1% below the D1 average), and 42.9% overall (1.5% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: DePaul may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. Duquesne appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. On the other hand, they are actually far from competent converting their second chance opportunities, ranking 322nd nationally in that category. Meanwhile, DePaul is relatively mediocre when it comes to eliminating second-chance opportunities, and they're similarly only fair in defensive putback conversion percentage (ranked 136th in the country there).
TURNOVERS: There shouldn't be much of an advantage for either team in this department. On offense, Duquesne rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals needs improvement, as the team places 258th in the nation in that category. Meanwhile, the DePaul defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive.
FREE THROWS: We expect a below-average number of foul line opportunities for the Duquesne offense here. They're typically a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (182nd in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (61.8%, eighth from the bottom in the country). Meanwhile, the DePaul D has been excellent at minimizing opponents' free throw opportunities, ranking 33rd in the NCAA in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:
PACE: Expect a slightly slower tempo here when these two ball-clubs meet. DePaul (204th nationally in game pace) likes a fairly average tempo, but Duquesne (344th) would rather maintain a slower pace.
AWAY/HOME COURT: DePaul may perform worse than expected here, as their efforts away from home, on average, have been more inferior than their performances at home.
MOMENTUM: Duquesne appears to have a noteworthy momentum advantage. They come into this game playing above their norm (12th in the country in positive momentum), while DePaul (353rd) has been more inefficient than normal in recent contests.
CONSISTENCY: DePaul is one of the NCAA's more inconsistent teams, ranking ninth from the bottom nationally in consistency. Duquesne rates closer to the D1 average.

THE VERDICT:
Duquesne will have a decent shot to come away with a victory, but we're still going with DePaul in a close one. DePaul 70.99, Duquesne 65.21.