TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
Lipscomb  11-6 (0.647)  |  Atlantic Sun
-- AT --
Duquesne  7-9 (0.438)  |  Atlantic 10
Includes games through January 12, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
0.733 (98th)
   All-Play Percentage
  
0.595 (148th)
0.454 (196th)
   Schedule Strength
  
0.502 (130th)
0.100 (124th)
   Record Quality
  
-0.071 (209th)
117.90 (115th)
   Avg. Season Rank
  
175.41 (174th)
1.80 (86th)
   Momentum
  
7.17 (1st)
-9.09 (173rd)
   Consistency
  
-10.23 (282nd)
0.76 (76th)
   Away/Home Court   
1.56 (104th)
66.16 (229th)
Pace
  
63.75 (345th)
IN POSSESSION
LIP
DUQ
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 108.94 138 105.75 147
FTAR 25.28 252 32.72 330
FT% 75.12 91 -- --
FGAR 85.65 205 84.41 88
FG% 45.53 103 42.39 113
3P% 34.00 157 36.79 313
MR% 43.27 106 40.88 171
NP% 60.92 85 50.53 28
PPSt 13.47 126 12.20 176
SCC% 5.15 237 4.35 49
Prox 2.07 233 2.05 158
IN POSSESSION
DUQ
LIP
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 106.86 174 98.43 60
FTAR 26.53 208 21.98 24
FT% 61.26 356 -- --
FGAR 90.70 32 89.70 324
FG% 42.46 236 42.27 106
3P% 34.83 116 30.63 58
MR% 42.70 119 43.11 244
NP% 54.78 245 53.30 73
PPSt 11.95 198 9.60 31
SCC% 4.84 268 6.57 267
Prox 2.17 347 2.01 235
LIPSCOMB IN POSSESSION:
There isn't much of an advantage either way here when Lipscomb is in possession of the basketball. This site rates Lipscomb to be 138th in the nation in offensive efficiency, while Duquesne is currently our #147 squad in defensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. The Lipscomb offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Duquesne defense similarly surrenders more opportunities from the outside. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Lipscomb offense will be 37.5% three-pointers (1.1% below the D1 average), 32.6% mid-range jumpers (6.1% above the D1 average), and 29.9% near-proximity twos (5.0% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Lipscomb is fairly decent at draining shots from the floor, ranking 103rd nationally in overall field goal conversion rate. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, has been doing a fairly decent job to defend opposing shooters, ranking 113th in the NCAA in defensive field goal conversion rate. On this end of the court, the Lipscomb offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting. This site expects Lipscomb to shoot 36.7% from three (3.1% above the D1 average), 42.2% from the mid-range (1.1% above the D1 average), 53.5% from near-proximity locations (3.9% below the D1 average), and 43.5% overall (0.3% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Duquesne will very likely win the rebound battle on this end of the court. Lipscomb lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. When it comes to converting second-chance opportunities, they're similarly unremarkable, coming in at #237 nationally in our ratings there. Duquesne, meanwhile, appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, and they've likewise effectively prevented opponents from scoring via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked #49 in defensive second-chance conversion percentage).
TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense likely won't force many turnovers against the Lipscomb offense. When in possession, Lipscomb exhibits fairly good ball-control and limits turnovers. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is particularly solid, as the squad places 31st in the country in that category. Meanwhile, the Duquesne D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective.
FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. Lipscomb isn't all that great at getting to the charity stripe (252nd in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're above-average shooters from there (75.1%, 91st in the country). As for the opposition, the Duquesne D sends opposing offenses to the foul line non-stop and ranks 330th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
The Duquesne offense appears to be at an analytical disadvantage when matched up against the Lipscomb defense. The Lipscomb defense is ranked #60 in Division I, while Duquesne comes in nationally at #174 on offense.
SHOT SELECTION: The Duquesne offense leans strongly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the Lipscomb defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the Lipscomb defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 38.4% three-pointers (0.2% below the D1 average), 36.9% mid-range jumpers (10.4% above the D1 average), and 24.7% near-proximity twos (10.2% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #236 in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Lipscomb defense has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #106 team nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in mid-range shooting, while the Lipscomb defense has the edge in both three-point shooting and near-proximity shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 32.9% from behind the arc (0.7% below the D1 average), 44.4% from mid-range locations (3.4% above the D1 average), 50.7% from near-proximity (6.6% below the D1 average), and 41.5% overall (2.3% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: There's no major advantage for either ball-club here. Duquesne appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #268 in that department). The opposition here, Lipscomb, is relatively mediocre when it comes to eliminating second-chance opportunities, but they've been a bit worse stopping opponents from converting on second-chance putbacks (rated 267th in the country in that category).
TURNOVERS: The Lipscomb defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. Offensively, Duquesne rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. As for the opposition, the Lipscomb defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive.
FREE THROWS: We expect a below-average number of foul line opportunities for the Duquesne offense here. They're typically a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #208 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (61.3%, ranked #356 in Division I). Meanwhile, the Lipscomb D has been excellent at minimizing opponents' free throw opportunities, ranking 24th in the NCAA in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:
PACE: Expect a slightly slower tempo here when these two ball-clubs meet. Lipscomb (229th nationally in game pace) likes a fairly average tempo, but Duquesne (345th) would rather maintain a slower pace.
AWAY/HOME COURT: Lipscomb has performed better away from home this year than they have at home. Unfortunately for them, they face Duquesne, who has played their best basketball this season in front of their home crowd.
MOMENTUM: Both teams come into this contest playing some of their best basketball this year. Duquesne is first nationally in positive momentum, while Lipscomb presently ranks 86th.
CONSISTENCY: Duquesne is one of Division I's more erratic squads, ranking 282nd in the country in consistency. Lipscomb places closer to the middle of the pack in this category.

THE VERDICT:
Our analytics have these two squads separated by less than a single bucket. Every possession counts. Lipscomb 66.67, Duquesne 65.38.