TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
Wisconsin  7-0 (1.000)  |  Big Ten
-- AT --
Nebraska  4-1 (0.800)  |  Big Ten
Includes games through November 24, 2024.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
0.967 (13th)
   All-Play Percentage
  
0.890 (41st)
0.557 (92nd)
   Schedule Strength
  
0.468 (176th)
0.604 (7th)
   Record Quality
  
0.344 (45th)
24.45 (22nd)
   Avg. Season Rank
  
55.55 (58th)
N/A (N/A)
   Momentum
  
N/A (N/A)
-6.72 (94th)
   Consistency
  
-8.30 (157th)
3.78 (24th)
   Away/Home Court   
-5.94 (358th)
68.64 (225th)
Pace
70.10 (113th)
IN POSSESSION
WISC
NEB
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 121.61 6 94.90 21
FTAR 31.98 11 23.39 29
FT% 86.06 1 -- --
FGAR 83.98 280 87.24 293
FG% 48.70 14 38.59 4
3P% 36.54 37 32.42 90
MR% 42.58 41 35.94 51
NP% 65.80 8 50.63 8
PPSt 11.56 199 10.70 77
SCC% 5.25 199 4.66 55
Prox 2.03 211 2.15 1
IN POSSESSION
NEB
WISC
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 111.57 62 96.67 37
FTAR 32.69 6 22.55 14
FT% 77.86 39 -- --
FGAR 84.08 273 85.50 185
FG% 44.84 114 41.63 62
3P% 32.28 267 31.63 48
MR% 39.63 159 38.19 132
NP% 61.71 61 58.09 182
PPSt 12.51 139 8.59 1
SCC% 5.77 125 3.84 6
Prox 2.03 195 2.08 39
WISCONSIN IN POSSESSION:
These two squads are very evenly matched when Wisconsin is on offense. This site rates Wisconsin to be sixth in the nation in offensive efficiency, while Nebraska is currently our #21 squad in defensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. The Wisconsin offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Nebraska defense similarly surrenders significantly more opportunities from the outside. Against the Nebraska defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Wisconsin offense will be 45.7% three-pointers (7.9% above the D1 average), 24.9% mid-range jumpers (1.7% below the D1 average), and 29.4% near-proximity twos (6.2% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Wisconsin is one of the best ball-clubs in the country when it comes to floor shooting, nationally rated 14th in overall field goal conversion rate. The Nebraska defense, meanwhile, has shown no mercy to opposing shooters, rating fourth in the country in defensive field goal percentage. On this end of the court, the Wisconsin offense has an analytical edge in three-point shooting, while the two opposing units are rated fairly evenly in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects Wisconsin to shoot 34.5% from three (0.7% above the D1 average), 37.9% from the mid-range (1.4% below the D1 average), 59.6% from near-proximity locations (1.9% above the D1 average), and 42.7% overall (1.0% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Nebraska may have a small rebounding edge on this end of the court. Wisconsin is really nothing special on the offensive glass. As far as turning offensive rebounds into fast points, they're similarly a relatively average unit, rated 199th in the country in second-chance conversion rate. Meanwhile, Nebraska is relatively mediocre when it comes to eliminating second-chance opportunities, but they have been better squashing opponents' putback conversion rates (nationally ranked 55th in that category).
TURNOVERS: Wisconsin will likely keep the basketball very secure against this Nebraska defense. When in possession, Wisconsin routinely handles the ball with care. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is particularly stellar, as the squad places first in the country in that category. As for the opposition, the Nebraska D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective.
FREE THROWS: These two squads are matched fairly evenly in this department. Wisconsin is a team that heavily relies on obtaining chances from the charity stripe (11th in the country in free throw attempt rate), and they're capable of inflicting loads of damage from there (86.1%, first in the country). As for the opposition, the Nebraska D has been excellent at minimizing opponents' free throw opportunities, ranking 29th in the NCAA in defensive free throw attempt rate.

NEBRASKA IN POSSESSION:
According to the numbers, the Wisconsin D should have a modest advantage on Nebraska at this particular end of the floor. The Wisconsin defense is ranked #37 in Division I, while Nebraska comes in nationally at #62 on offense.
SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams are somewhat similar on this end of the floor. The Nebraska offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Wisconsin defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Wisconsin defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Nebraska offense will be 39.2% three-pointers (1.4% above the D1 average), 30.0% mid-range jumpers (3.4% above the D1 average), and 30.7% near-proximity twos (4.9% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Nebraska has been a bit above the D1 average in floor shooting this year and is rated our #114 team in overall field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the Wisconsin defense has done well to keep their opponents' shooting percentages down (rated our #62 team in defensive field goal percentage this year). On this end of the court, the Nebraska offense has a notable advantage in near-proximity shooting, while the Wisconsin defense has the edge in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting. We expect Nebraska to shoot 30.6% from behind the arc (3.1% below the D1 average), 38.7% from mid-range locations (0.7% below the D1 average), 63.9% from near-proximity (6.3% above the D1 average), and 43.3% overall (0.5% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Wisconsin may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. Nebraska has the fingerprint of a team that's above-average, yet not outstanding, on the offensive glass. They are also considered to be somewhat above-average when gauging second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #125 in that department). Wisconsin, meanwhile, is extremely stout on the defensive glass, and they're likewise top-notch in the category of defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #6 in the country there).
TURNOVERS: The Nebraska offense should keep the ball fairly secure here against the Wisconsin defense. Offensively, Nebraska rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is respectable, as the squad places 77th in the country in that category. Meanwhile, the Wisconsin defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive.
FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. Nebraska heavily relies on obtaining chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #6 in free throw attempt rate), and they're very impressive converting from there (77.9%, ranked #39 in Division I). Meanwhile, the Wisconsin D does an exceptional job keeping foes off the foul line and ranks 14th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:
PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. Nebraska (113th in the NCAA in game pace) favors a brisk tempo, while Wisconsin (225th) likes things at more of an average clip.
AWAY/HOME COURT: We expect a potential performance bump for visiting Wisconsin here. They have performed far better away from home this year than they have at home. To boot, they are facing Nebraska, a team that has played their very worst basketball this season while in front of their home crowd.
CONSISTENCY: Wisconsin is one of the NCAA's more consistent teams, ranking 94th nationally in consistency. Nebraska rates more in the middle of the pack.

THE VERDICT:
Expect this to come down to the last few possessions. Wisconsin gets the victory by a narrow margin. Wisconsin 76.67, Nebraska 73.43.