TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
Milwaukee  2-2 (0.500)  |  Horizon
-- AT --
Duquesne  0-4 (0.000)  |  Atlantic 10
Includes games through November 21, 2024.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
0.364 (232nd)
   All-Play Percentage
  
0.488 (187th)
0.570 (95th)
   Schedule Strength
  
0.505 (142nd)
-0.078 (215th)
   Record Quality
  
-0.458 (337th)
214.74 (218th)
   Avg. Season Rank
  
145.63 (145th)
N/A (N/A)
   Momentum
  
N/A (N/A)
N/A (N/A)
   Consistency
  
N/A (N/A)
N/A (N/A)
   Away/Home Court   
N/A (N/A)
71.64 (44th)
  Pace
68.94 (224th)
IN POSSESSION
MILW
DUQ
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 102.79 209 103.90 135
FTAR 28.67 91 30.37 324
FT% 68.74 244 -- --
FGAR 86.35 111 82.76 38
FG% 42.60 238 44.09 177
3P% 30.83 327 35.97 315
MR% 41.08 91 41.86 285
NP% 54.61 277 54.47 51
PPSt 13.30 100 9.35 9
SCC% 6.37 72 6.31 315
Prox 1.97 55 2.02 179
IN POSSESSION
DUQ
MILW
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 102.49 216 107.83 232
FTAR 28.26 109 28.70 266
FT% 59.49 347 -- --
FGAR 86.62 89 85.29 180
FG% 43.04 207 45.07 241
3P% 33.33 206 34.93 255
MR% 41.16 83 41.83 283
NP% 55.44 249 58.42 199
PPSt 14.14 51 12.17 180
SCC% 3.67 358 6.39 320
Prox 2.04 249 2.03 153
MILWAUKEE IN POSSESSION:
When analytically matched up against the Duquesne defense, this Milwaukee offense stands to be at somewhat of a disadvantage. The Duquesne defense is ranked #135 in Division I, while Milwaukee comes in nationally at #209 on offense.
SHOT SELECTION: The Milwaukee offense exhibits a slight preference for inside shots over those from longer-distance, while the Duquesne defense is more balanced, allowing a mixture of shots from both the paint and the perimeter. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Milwaukee offense will be 35.0% three-pointers (2.7% below the D1 average), 27.2% mid-range jumpers (0.5% above the D1 average), and 37.8% near-proximity twos (2.3% above the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Milwaukee rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #238 in overall field goal conversion rate. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #177 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Milwaukee offense has the ratings advantage in mid-range shooting, the Duquesne defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in three-point shooting. This site expects Milwaukee to shoot 32.5% from three (1.3% below the D1 average), 43.3% from the mid-range (4.0% above the D1 average), 50.6% from near-proximity locations (7.2% below the D1 average), and 42.3% overall (1.5% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Milwaukee appears to hold a significant rebounding edge on this end of the court. Milwaukee appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. However, they are one of the better NCAA teams at converting second-chance opportunities into points, ranking #72 in the country in that category. Duquesne, meanwhile, is relatively mediocre when it comes to eliminating second-chance opportunities, but they've performed far worse attempting to limit foes' putback conversion rates (ranked 315th in defensive second-chance conversion percentage).
TURNOVERS: Milwaukee may struggle with turnovers against this Duquesne defense. On offense, Milwaukee is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the Duquesne D is fairly aggressive and is certainly capable of coming away with their fair share of steals. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #51 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #38 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
FREE THROWS: Milwaukee should obtain a fairly healthy number of free throw attempts in this matchup. They're usually a team that is fairly decent at booking trips to the charity stripe (91st in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're a below-average unit at converting their foul shots (68.7%, 244th in the country). Meanwhile, the aggressive Duquesne defense predictably commits a ridiculous number of fouls, ranking 324th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
There isn't much of an advantage either way here when Duquesne is in possession of the basketball. Duquesne is currently 216th in the country in offensive efficiency, while Milwaukee nationally comes in at #232 in defensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Milwaukee defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Milwaukee defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 39.3% three-pointers (1.6% above the D1 average), 26.4% mid-range jumpers (0.3% below the D1 average), and 34.2% near-proximity twos (1.3% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 207th nationally in that category this year. Meanwhile, the Milwaukee defense has not done particularly well to shut down opponents' shooters, ranking 241st in the NCAA in defensive field goal percentage. On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the Milwaukee defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 34.8% from behind the arc (1.0% above the D1 average), 44.2% from mid-range locations (5.0% above the D1 average), 57.0% from near-proximity (0.8% below the D1 average), and 44.9% overall (1.1% above the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: The rebounding edge doesn't significantly go to either team in this contest. Duquesne appears to be a unit that is below-average by NCAA standards on the offensive glass. To boot, they are atrocious at scoring quickly off of any second-chance opportunities they obtain (nationally rated #358 in that department). The opposition here, Milwaukee, should be considered slightly inferior in the category of defensive rebounding, and they've likewise been very ineffective stopping opponents from scoring on offensive putbacks (ranked #320 in defensive second-chance conversion rate).
TURNOVERS: The Duquesne offense should keep the ball fairly secure here against the Milwaukee defense. When in possession, Duquesne does a really solid job to protect the basketball and minimize silly turnovers. Their field goal attempt rate is very respectable (rated 89th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is almost spotless (ninth in the country). As for the opposition, the Milwaukee D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They are accomplished to a degree at converting turnovers into quick points on the scoreboard (nationally ranked 100th in that category).
FREE THROWS: We expect an above-average number of free throw opportunities for the Duquesne offense here. They're typically a team that is fairly decent at booking trips to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #109 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (59.5%, ranked #347 in Division I). As for the opposition, the contentious Milwaukee defense, as expected, will be more likely to foul than most other D1 squads, ranking 266th in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:
PACE: The projected tempo for this contest is fairly average by D1 standards. Milwaukee (44th nationally in game pace) prefers a faster tempo, while Duquesne (224th) likes more of an in-between game speed.

THE VERDICT:
There isn't a large gap separating the abilities of these two squads. Milwaukee will put up a fight, but Duquesne gets the win. Duquesne 77.13, Milwaukee 71.77.