Haslametrics.com

Automated 2024-25 Game Preview

Milwaukee 21-11 (0.656) | Horizon
-- AT --
Duquesne 13-19 (0.406) | Atlantic 10

Includes games through April 3, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.

0.601 (146^th)

All-Play Percentage

0.634 (133^rd)

0.395 (217^th)

Schedule Strength

0.536 (111^th)

0.116 (119^th)

Record Quality

-0.061 (212^th)

156.87 (152^nd)

Avg. Season Rank

157.35 (153^rd)

-2.25 (282^nd)

Momentum

2.90 (59^th)

-9.63 (203^rd)

Consistency

-10.28 (281^st)

-0.51 (207^th)

Away/Home Court

0.35 (174^th)

67.92 (97^th)

Pace

64.81 (298^th)

IN POSSESSION

	MILW		DUQ
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	108.11	165	105.62	118
FTAR	31.17	52	30.81	310
FT%	68.39	309	--	--
FGAR	88.11	130	83.22	32
FG%	44.40	150	43.74	153
3P%	30.02	350	37.08	326
MR%	42.64	29	36.32	127
NP%	55.78	277	55.95	78
PPSt	13.13	130	12.71	220
SCC%	8.52	12	5.71	141
Prox	1.88	12	1.97	289

IN POSSESSION

	DUQ		MILW
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	108.01	170	107.19	151
FTAR	27.18	180	26.45	144
FT%	63.55	357	--	--
FGAR	88.55	106	83.76	40
FG%	43.76	179	45.93	275
3P%	34.14	168	35.57	266
MR%	39.36	104	39.68	271
NP%	60.83	109	58.86	180
PPSt	13.57	106	12.24	190
SCC%	5.28	253	6.80	280
Prox	2.13	338	1.96	312

MILWAUKEE IN POSSESSION:
The Duquesne defense appears to have a small advantage on the Milwaukee offense at this end of the court. Duquesne is currently 118th in the country in defensive efficiency, while Milwaukee nationally comes in at #165 in offensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The Milwaukee offense leans solidly in favor of an inside attack, while the Duquesne defense similarly surrenders more chances from inside the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Milwaukee offense will be 27.1% three-pointers (11.7% below the D1 average), 28.3% mid-range jumpers (3.6% above the D1 average), and 44.7% near-proximity twos (8.1% above the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Milwaukee has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 150th nationally in that category this year. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, has been unexceptional in defensive field goal percentage, rated 153rd nationally in that category. On this end of the court, the Milwaukee offense has the ratings advantage in mid-range shooting, the Duquesne defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in three-point shooting. This site expects Milwaukee to shoot 32.1% from three (2.0% below the D1 average), 40.3% from the mid-range (2.8% above the D1 average), 52.6% from near-proximity locations (6.2% below the D1 average), and 43.6% overall (0.4% below the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Milwaukee may have a slight rebounding advantage on this end. Milwaukee seems to be a bit better than the D1 norm when it comes to offensive rebounding. To boot, they are sensational at scoring quickly off of any second-chance opportunities they obtain (nationally rated #12 in that department). Meanwhile, Duquesne appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, but they perform slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked #141 in that category).
	TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. When in possession, Milwaukee rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. As for the opposition, the Duquesne D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #106 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #32 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
	FREE THROWS: The Milwaukee offense will likely find their way to the free throw line quite a bit here. They're usually a team that has a nose for getting to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #52 in free throw attempt rate), though they're not one of the better shooting teams from there (68.4%, ranked #309 in Division I). As for the opposition, the contentious Duquesne defense, as expected, will be more likely to foul than most other D1 squads, ranking 310th in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
The Duquesne offense and the Milwaukee defense are very evenly matched on this end of the floor. This site rates Milwaukee to be 151st in the nation in defensive efficiency, while Duquesne is currently our #170 squad in offensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: These two teams exhibit contrasting shot preferences on this end of the court. The Duquesne offense leans solidly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Milwaukee defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Milwaukee defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 42.1% three-pointers (3.4% above the D1 average), 23.1% mid-range jumpers (1.6% below the D1 average), and 34.8% near-proximity twos (1.8% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #179 in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Milwaukee defense is currently rated a bit worse than the D1 average in defensive field goal percentage (#275 in the country). The Duquesne offense has a noticeable advantage at all three levels on this end of the floor. We expect Duquesne to shoot 35.8% from behind the arc (1.7% above the D1 average), 42.2% from mid-range locations (4.8% above the D1 average), 61.6% from near-proximity (2.8% above the D1 average), and 46.3% overall (2.3% above the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a modest rebounding edge on this end of the floor. Duquesne lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #253 in that department). Milwaukee, meanwhile, has the look of a team that is pretty mediocre on the defensive boards, but they've been a bit worse stopping opponents from converting on second-chance putbacks (rated 280th in the country in that category).
	TURNOVERS: The Milwaukee defense has a small advantage over the Duquesne offense in the turnover battle on this end. Offensively, Duquesne is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the Milwaukee D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective.
	FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. Duquesne is a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (180th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (63.5%, eighth from the bottom in the country). Meanwhile, the Milwaukee D is pretty average in defensive free throw attempt rate, ranking 144th in the country in that category.

THE X-FACTORS:

	PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. There are contrasting tastes between these two units. Milwaukee (97th in the country in game pace) prefers more of an up-and-down game, while Duquesne (298th) is happy to put the brakes on if need be.
	AWAY/HOME COURT: The analytics fail to reveal a significant advantage for either team in this category.
	MOMENTUM: Duquesne appears to have a noteworthy momentum advantage. They come into this game playing above their norm (59th in the country in positive momentum), while Milwaukee (282nd) has been more inefficient than normal in recent contests.
	CONSISTENCY: Duquesne is one of Division I's more erratic squads, ranking 281st in the country in consistency. Milwaukee places closer to the middle of the pack in this category.

THE VERDICT:
Don't be shocked if this one goes right down to the wire. Our call is that Duquesne beats Milwaukee by a small margin. Duquesne 72.10, Milwaukee 68.43.