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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through April 3, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.920 (30th)
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0.923 (29th)
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0.730 (31st)
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0.737 (25th)
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0.380 (27th)
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0.396 (24th)
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18.72 (18th)
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28.51 (25th)
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-3.90 (330th)
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0.21 (168th)
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-8.65 (68th)
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-8.70 (75th)
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-1.32 (269th)
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1.90 (56th)
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66.56 (187th)
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66.43 (192nd)
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 IN POSSESSION
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MARQ
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CREI
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| Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
| Eff |
119.87 |
30 |
97.45 |
32 |
| FTAR |
25.34 |
250 |
16.80 |
1 |
| FT% |
72.28 |
184 |
-- |
-- |
| FGAR |
93.83 |
6 |
95.23 |
363 |
| FG% |
46.23 |
78 |
39.79 |
29 |
| 3P% |
34.09 |
171 |
31.47 |
43 |
| MR% |
39.22 |
110 |
36.66 |
139 |
| NP% |
62.32 |
70 |
51.67 |
15 |
| PPSt |
16.56 |
20 |
12.59 |
214 |
| SCC% |
6.02 |
177 |
4.69 |
47 |
| Prox |
2.06 |
247 |
2.01 |
208 |
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 IN POSSESSION
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CREI
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MARQ
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| Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
| Eff |
120.68 |
24 |
97.39 |
31 |
| FTAR |
24.75 |
281 |
25.30 |
104 |
| FT% |
74.32 |
105 |
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-- |
| FGAR |
87.05 |
187 |
84.28 |
51 |
| FG% |
49.72 |
12 |
41.01 |
61 |
| 3P% |
37.00 |
44 |
30.76 |
29 |
| MR% |
42.82 |
24 |
33.24 |
43 |
| NP% |
70.96 |
1 |
55.51 |
64 |
| PPSt |
7.72 |
355 |
8.98 |
15 |
| SCC% |
6.76 |
98 |
4.49 |
36 |
| Prox |
2.14 |
346 |
1.98 |
269 |
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MARQUETTE IN POSSESSION:
The Marquette offense and the Creighton defense are very evenly matched on this end of the floor. Marquette is currently 30th in the country in offensive efficiency, while Creighton nationally comes in at #32 in defensive efficiency.  | SHOT SELECTION: The Marquette offense leans slightly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the Creighton defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the Creighton defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Marquette offense will be 40.0% three-pointers (1.3% above the D1 average), 23.8% mid-range jumpers (0.8% below the D1 average), and 36.2% near-proximity twos (0.4% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Marquette is fairly decent at draining shots from the floor, ranking 78th nationally in overall field goal conversion rate. The Creighton defense, meanwhile, sports one of college basketball's better defensive field goal percentages, ranking 29th in the country in that category. On this end of the court, the Marquette offense has a notable advantage in mid-range shooting, while the Creighton defense has the edge in both three-point shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects Marquette to shoot 31.7% from three (2.4% below the D1 average), 36.9% from the mid-range (0.6% below the D1 average), 55.8% from near-proximity locations (3.1% below the D1 average), and 41.6% overall (2.3% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Creighton will very likely win the rebound battle on this end of the court. Marquette lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. When it comes to converting second-chance opportunities, they're similarly unremarkable, coming in at #177 nationally in our ratings there. Creighton, meanwhile, is extremely stout on the defensive glass, and they've likewise effectively prevented opponents from scoring via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked #47 in defensive second-chance conversion percentage). | | TURNOVERS: Marquette should not have any turnover concerns whatsoever vs. the Creighton defense. Offensively, Marquette does a really solid job to protect the basketball and minimize silly turnovers. Their ratings for field goal attempt rate (ranked sixth in the country) and potential quick points allowed off of steals (15th) can both be considered exquisite. As for the opposition, the Creighton defense is extremely conservative and will place an extraordinarily low priority on forcing turnovers. They should be regarded as pitiful in both potential quick points scored off steals (ranked tenth from the bottom in D1) and defensive field goal attempt rate (second from the bottom in D1). | | FREE THROWS: The Marquette offense won't see the free throw line very often in this contest. They're usually a team that isn't all that great at getting to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #250 in free throw attempt rate), though they're more mediocre converting their shots from there (72.3%, ranked #184 in Division I). Meanwhile, the ultra-conservative Creighton defense, as expected, really keeps opposing offenses off the free throw line, ranking first in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
CREIGHTON IN POSSESSION:
These two squads are very evenly matched when Creighton is on offense. This site rates Creighton to be 24th in the nation in offensive efficiency, while Marquette is currently our #31 squad in defensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: The Creighton offense leans solidly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the Marquette defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the Marquette defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Creighton offense will be 47.9% three-pointers (9.2% above the D1 average), 15.0% mid-range jumpers (9.7% below the D1 average), and 37.1% near-proximity twos (0.5% above the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Creighton is one of the best ball-clubs in the country when it comes to floor shooting, nationally rated 12th in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Marquette defense has done well to keep their opponents' shooting percentages down (rated our #61 team in defensive field goal percentage this year). On this end of the court, the Creighton offense has an analytical edge in near-proximity shooting, while the two opposing units are rated fairly evenly in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting. We expect Creighton to shoot 34.9% from behind the arc (0.8% above the D1 average), 37.6% from mid-range locations (0.1% above the D1 average), 67.9% from near-proximity (9.1% above the D1 average), and 47.6% overall (3.6% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Marquette may have a small rebounding edge on this end of the court. Creighton appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. They are considered to be somewhat above-average when gauging second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #98 in that department). The opposition here, Marquette, appears to be one of the better defensive rebounding units in Division I, and they've similarly done great work curbing points via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked 36th in defensive second-chance conversion rate). | | TURNOVERS: The Marquette defense will likely force a fair share of turnovers against this Creighton offense. On offense, Creighton is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the Marquette D is fairly aggressive and is certainly capable of coming away with their fair share of steals. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #20 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #51 in defensive field goal attempt rate. | | FREE THROWS: Creighton will probably acquire fewer free throw attempts than normal in this encounter. They're typically a team that isn't all that great at getting to the charity stripe (281st in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're above-average shooters from there (74.3%, 105th in the country). As for the opposition, the aggressive Marquette defense surprisingly won't commit that many personal fouls and ranks 104th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: The projected tempo for this contest is fairly average by D1 standards. Marquette is 187th in the country in game pace, while Creighton nationally ranks 192nd in the same category. | | AWAY/HOME COURT: We would expect a potential performance bump for the home team here. Creighton has performed better at home than they have away from home this season. To boot, they are facing Marquette, a team that has played their worst basketball this year away from their home court. | | MOMENTUM: Creighton has the momentum edge here, as Marquette hasn't put together many great performances recently (nationally ranked 330th in positive momentum). | | CONSISTENCY: Both of these squads are pretty consistent from an efficiency perspective. Marquette ranks 68th in the country in consistency, while Creighton is presently 75th in that category. |
THE VERDICT:
Two very evenly matched teams here. A basket or two is all that separates them. Creighton 74.23, Marquette 71.42. |
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