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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through January 3, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.975 (10th)
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0.879 (45th)
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0.662 (18th)
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0.692 (11th)
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0.556 (6th)
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0.240 (72nd)
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12.05 (8th)
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29.87 (27th)
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0.59 (140th)
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-2.25 (304th)
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-8.21 (112th)
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-9.81 (250th)
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0.95 (69th)
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4.73 (21st)
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67.34 (186th)
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Pace
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68.54 (120th)
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IN POSSESSION
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MARQ
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CREI
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
123.92 |
8 |
95.87 |
32 |
FTAR |
24.60 |
254 |
17.41 |
1 |
FT% |
75.23 |
91 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
92.56 |
15 |
94.56 |
361 |
FG% |
49.04 |
23 |
38.79 |
19 |
3P% |
35.02 |
126 |
31.95 |
105 |
MR% |
48.81 |
15 |
37.23 |
67 |
NP% |
64.71 |
36 |
47.83 |
7 |
PPSt |
18.15 |
18 |
13.12 |
219 |
SCC% |
6.70 |
90 |
5.17 |
130 |
Prox |
2.05 |
186 |
2.02 |
223 |
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IN POSSESSION
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CREI
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MARQ
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
115.37 |
56 |
95.74 |
31 |
FTAR |
23.67 |
280 |
22.35 |
48 |
FT% |
78.97 |
25 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
84.04 |
272 |
84.03 |
89 |
FG% |
48.41 |
38 |
41.55 |
72 |
3P% |
37.53 |
52 |
28.99 |
20 |
MR% |
44.84 |
76 |
41.20 |
172 |
NP% |
65.68 |
24 |
55.53 |
109 |
PPSt |
9.55 |
312 |
12.45 |
175 |
SCC% |
6.31 |
121 |
4.79 |
94 |
Prox |
2.14 |
333 |
2.04 |
184 |
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MARQUETTE IN POSSESSION: There isn't much of an advantage either way here when Marquette is in possession of the basketball. The Marquette offense is ranked #8 in Division I, while Creighton comes in nationally at #32 on defense. | SHOT SELECTION: The Marquette offense leans slightly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the Creighton defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the Creighton defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Marquette offense will be 39.2% three-pointers (0.2% above the D1 average), 24.1% mid-range jumpers (2.0% below the D1 average), and 36.7% near-proximity twos (1.8% above the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Marquette is one of the best ball-clubs in the country when it comes to floor shooting, nationally rated 23rd in overall field goal conversion rate. The Creighton defense, meanwhile, has done exceptional work to keep opponents' shooting percentages in check (nationally ranked #19 in defensive field goal conversion rate). On this end of the court, the Marquette offense has the ratings advantage in mid-range shooting, the Creighton defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in three-point shooting. This site expects Marquette to shoot 33.2% from three (0.7% below the D1 average), 39.4% from the mid-range (1.9% below the D1 average), 56.0% from near-proximity locations (2.0% below the D1 average), and 43.0% overall (1.2% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: There's no major advantage for either ball-club here. Marquette appears to do a pretty decent job on the offensive boards. They are also considered to be somewhat above-average when gauging second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #90 in that department). Meanwhile, Creighton appears to be one of the better defensive rebounding units in Division I, but they're slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #130 in the country in that department). | | TURNOVERS: Marquette will likely keep the basketball very secure against this Creighton defense. When in possession, Marquette is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the Creighton defense won't typically generate ball-security issues for opposing offenses. Our analytics rate them as deficient in both potential quick points scored off steals (ranked #312 in the nation) and defensive field goal attempt rate (#361 in the nation). | | FREE THROWS: Marquette should obtain a meager number of free throw attempts in this matchup. They're usually a team that isn't all that great at getting to the charity stripe (254th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're above-average shooters from there (75.2%, 91st in the country). As for the opposition, the conservative Creighton defense predictably does a superb job to keep opponents off the foul line, ranking first in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
CREIGHTON IN POSSESSION: The Marquette defense appears to have a small advantage on the Creighton offense at this end of the court. Marquette is currently 31st in the country in defensive efficiency, while Creighton nationally comes in at #56 in offensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. The Creighton offense exhibits a solid preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Marquette defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Marquette defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Creighton offense will be 50.4% three-pointers (11.4% above the D1 average), 13.4% mid-range jumpers (12.6% below the D1 average), and 36.2% near-proximity twos (1.2% above the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Creighton does a pretty good job to convert shots each possession, ranking 38th in the country in overall field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the Marquette defense sports one of college basketball's better defensive field goal percentages, ranking 72nd in the country in that category. On this end of the court, the Creighton offense has a notable advantage in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the Marquette defense has the edge in three-point shooting. We expect Creighton to shoot 33.8% from behind the arc (0.1% below the D1 average), 46.8% from mid-range locations (5.5% above the D1 average), 63.8% from near-proximity (5.9% above the D1 average), and 46.4% overall (2.2% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Marquette may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. Creighton lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. They are somewhat above-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 121st nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). Marquette, meanwhile, has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, and they've likewise done fairly acceptable work containing foes' conversion rates off of second chances (nationally ranking #94 in that department). | | TURNOVERS: Creighton may struggle with turnovers against this Marquette defense. Offensively, Creighton rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. As for the opposition, the Marquette defense exhibits a fair amount of pressure, which can occasionally create havoc for opposing offenses. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #18 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #89 in defensive field goal attempt rate. | | FREE THROWS: The Creighton offense won't see the free throw line very often in this contest. They're typically a team that isn't all that great at getting to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #280 in free throw attempt rate), though they're capable of inflicting loads of damage from there (79.0%, ranked #25 in Division I). Meanwhile, the aggressive Marquette defense won't foul as much as you'd expect, ranking 48th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. Creighton (120th in the NCAA in game pace) favors a brisk tempo, while Marquette (186th) likes things at more of an average clip. | | AWAY/HOME COURT: Marquette has performed better away from home this year than they have at home. Unfortunately for them, they face Creighton, who has played their very best basketball this season in front of their home crowd. | | MOMENTUM: Marquette has the advantage in this category, as Creighton has not been playing up to their norm as of late (nationally ranked 304th in positive momentum). | | CONSISTENCY: Marquette is one of the NCAA's more consistent teams (112th nationally in consistency), while Creighton (250th in consistency) is definitely more on the erratic side. |
THE VERDICT: Two very evenly matched teams here. A basket or two is all that separates them. Marquette 75.93, Creighton 72.29. |
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