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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through April 3, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.628 (136th)
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0.799 (74th)
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0.454 (159th)
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0.523 (122nd)
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0.032 (160th)
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0.307 (44th)
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132.51 (127th)
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75.13 (75th)
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1.79 (105th)
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-1.68 (253rd)
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-10.09 (260th)
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-8.74 (81st)
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-3.11 (352nd)
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-0.33 (257th)
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66.01 (222nd)
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61.06 (362nd)
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 IN POSSESSION
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TUL
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UNT
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| Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
| Eff |
110.31 |
129 |
100.77 |
61 |
| FTAR |
28.65 |
124 |
26.84 |
163 |
| FT% |
74.91 |
88 |
-- |
-- |
| FGAR |
86.38 |
215 |
84.67 |
70 |
| FG% |
45.00 |
122 |
41.49 |
72 |
| 3P% |
33.89 |
183 |
32.12 |
66 |
| MR% |
38.49 |
133 |
33.52 |
47 |
| NP% |
60.12 |
124 |
59.23 |
190 |
| PPSt |
14.52 |
57 |
11.12 |
104 |
| SCC% |
7.04 |
77 |
5.42 |
108 |
| Prox |
2.00 |
133 |
2.06 |
91 |
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 IN POSSESSION
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UNT
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TUL
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| Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
| Eff |
111.10 |
111 |
107.31 |
157 |
| FTAR |
29.74 |
87 |
25.95 |
120 |
| FT% |
77.00 |
41 |
-- |
-- |
| FGAR |
87.22 |
180 |
89.08 |
268 |
| FG% |
44.10 |
163 |
42.15 |
91 |
| 3P% |
35.94 |
80 |
33.50 |
136 |
| MR% |
39.57 |
96 |
36.19 |
124 |
| NP% |
57.49 |
215 |
57.03 |
107 |
| PPSt |
11.71 |
211 |
11.33 |
119 |
| SCC% |
5.74 |
203 |
6.19 |
206 |
| Prox |
2.03 |
209 |
2.10 |
44 |
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TULANE IN POSSESSION:
When analytically matched up against the North Texas defense, this Tulane offense stands to be at somewhat of a disadvantage. The North Texas defense is ranked #61 in Division I, while Tulane comes in nationally at #129 on offense.  | SHOT SELECTION: The Tulane offense demonstrates a balance of outside and inside attempts, while the North Texas defense typically allows a few more chances from the perimeter than from the paint. Against the North Texas defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Tulane offense will be 37.9% three-pointers (0.8% below the D1 average), 27.5% mid-range jumpers (2.8% above the D1 average), and 34.6% near-proximity twos (2.0% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Tulane has been a bit above the D1 average in floor shooting this year and is rated our #122 team in overall field goal percentage. The North Texas defense, meanwhile, has done well to keep their opponents' shooting percentages down (rated our #72 team in defensive field goal percentage this year). On this end of the court, the Tulane offense has a notable advantage in near-proximity shooting, while the North Texas defense has the edge in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting. This site expects Tulane to shoot 31.4% from three (2.7% below the D1 average), 33.9% from the mid-range (3.5% below the D1 average), 59.8% from near-proximity locations (0.9% above the D1 average), and 41.9% overall (2.1% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: The rebounding edge doesn't significantly go to either team in this contest. Tulane lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. They are somewhat above-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 77th nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). The opposition here, North Texas, is relatively mediocre when it comes to eliminating second-chance opportunities, but they have been a wee bit better containing foes' conversion rates off of second chances (nationally ranking #108 in that department). | | TURNOVERS: The Tulane offense has a small advantage over the North Texas defense in the turnover game on this end. When in possession, Tulane rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is respectable, as the squad places 119th in the country in that category. Meanwhile, the North Texas D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective. | | FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. The Tulane offense is fairly decent at booking trips to the charity stripe (124th in the country in free throw attempt rate), and they're above-average shooters from there (74.9%, 88th in the country). Meanwhile, the North Texas D has a defensive free throw attempt rate that lands somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack (ranked 163rd nationally in that category). |
NORTH TEXAS IN POSSESSION:
The North Texas offense appears to have a bit of an edge on the Tulane defense at this end of the floor. North Texas is currently 111th in the country in offensive efficiency, while Tulane nationally comes in at #157 in defensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The North Texas offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Tulane defense similarly surrenders more opportunities from the outside. Against the Tulane defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the North Texas offense will be 41.7% three-pointers (3.0% above the D1 average), 27.9% mid-range jumpers (3.2% above the D1 average), and 30.4% near-proximity twos (6.2% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: North Texas rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #163 in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Tulane defense has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #91 team nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the North Texas offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the Tulane defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting. We expect North Texas to shoot 35.4% from behind the arc (1.3% above the D1 average), 39.2% from mid-range locations (1.7% above the D1 average), 56.4% from near-proximity (2.4% below the D1 average), and 42.8% overall (1.1% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: North Texas may have a modest rebounding edge on this end of the floor. North Texas appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. As for converting their second-chance opportunities, they're similarly run-of-the-mill by D1 standards (nationally rated 203rd in that category). Their opponent in this matchup, Tulane, is fairly average when it comes to preventing second-chance opportunities, and they likewise rate right around the average in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked #206 in that category). | | TURNOVERS: The Tulane defense has a small advantage over the North Texas offense in the turnover battle on this end. Offensively, North Texas is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is respectable, as the squad places 104th in the country in that category. As for the opposition, the Tulane defense leans more on the aggressive side when it comes to pressure. They are accomplished to a degree at converting turnovers into quick points on the scoreboard (nationally ranked 57th in that category). | | FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. North Texas is a team that is fairly decent at booking trips to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #87 in free throw attempt rate), and they're very impressive converting from there (77.0%, ranked #41 in Division I). As for the opposition, the contentious Tulane defense surprisingly won't commit that many personal fouls and ranks 120th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: There will be no hurry to push the ball up the floor here. Tulane (222nd nationally in game pace) likes a fairly average tempo, but North Texas (third from the bottom) would rather maintain a slower pace. | | AWAY/HOME COURT: Tulane has performed far worse away from home this year than they have at home. Luckily for them, they are facing North Texas, who has played their most inefficient basketball this season when competing on their home floor. | | MOMENTUM: Tulane has a sizeable momentum edge here. They come into this contest playing above their norm (105th in the country in positive momentum), while North Texas (253rd) has performed a bit below their own standards recently. | | CONSISTENCY: North Texas appears to be one of college basketball's more consistent units (81st in the nation in consistency), while Tulane (260th in consistency) has been much more erratic. |
THE VERDICT:
Tulane certainly has a shot to win here, but the numbers tell us that North Texas is the right choice. North Texas 68.24, Tulane 60.39. |
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