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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through January 12, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.050 (346th)
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0.595 (148th)
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0.421 (234th)
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0.502 (130th)
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-0.378 (344th)
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-0.071 (209th)
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331.66 (341st)
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175.41 (174th)
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0.30 (156th)
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7.17 (1st)
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-8.46 (104th)
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-10.23 (282nd)
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-0.96 (215th)
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1.56 (104th)
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64.92 (293rd)
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63.75 (345th)
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IN POSSESSION
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SBRK
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DUQ
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
97.80 |
318 |
105.75 |
147 |
FTAR |
26.62 |
202 |
32.72 |
330 |
FT% |
75.69 |
72 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
85.98 |
189 |
84.41 |
88 |
FG% |
39.12 |
342 |
42.39 |
113 |
3P% |
31.47 |
272 |
36.79 |
313 |
MR% |
37.91 |
287 |
40.88 |
171 |
NP% |
50.10 |
340 |
50.53 |
28 |
PPSt |
8.39 |
344 |
12.20 |
176 |
SCC% |
5.69 |
188 |
4.35 |
49 |
Prox |
2.08 |
263 |
2.05 |
158 |
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IN POSSESSION
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DUQ
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SBRK
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
106.86 |
174 |
118.38 |
350 |
FTAR |
26.53 |
208 |
27.64 |
198 |
FT% |
61.26 |
356 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
90.70 |
32 |
88.01 |
259 |
FG% |
42.46 |
236 |
48.82 |
348 |
3P% |
34.83 |
116 |
38.06 |
345 |
MR% |
42.70 |
119 |
42.74 |
230 |
NP% |
54.78 |
245 |
64.93 |
351 |
PPSt |
11.95 |
198 |
13.54 |
260 |
SCC% |
4.84 |
268 |
9.52 |
360 |
Prox |
2.17 |
347 |
2.06 |
128 |
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STONY BROOK IN POSSESSION: The Duquesne defense will very likely have a solid upper hand on the Stony Brook offense in this particular matchup. The Duquesne defense is ranked #147 in Division I, while Stony Brook comes in nationally at #318 on offense. | SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. The Stony Brook offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Duquesne defense similarly surrenders more opportunities from the outside. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Stony Brook offense will be 34.7% three-pointers (3.9% below the D1 average), 39.6% mid-range jumpers (13.1% above the D1 average), and 25.7% near-proximity twos (9.2% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Stony Brook has consistently failed to convert field goals this season (#342 nationally in overall field goal percentage). The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #113 team nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Stony Brook offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects Stony Brook to shoot 34.0% from three (0.5% above the D1 average), 38.0% from the mid-range (3.0% below the D1 average), 39.3% from near-proximity locations (18.0% below the D1 average), and 37.0% overall (6.9% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne would appear to have a comfortable rebounding advantage on this end. Stony Brook has the fingerprint of a team whose offensive rebounding abilities are a bit worse than the D1 norm. As for converting their second-chance opportunities, they're run-of-the-mill by D1 standards (nationally rated 188th in that category). The opposition here, Duquesne, appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, and they've likewise effectively prevented opponents from scoring via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked #49 in defensive second-chance conversion percentage). | | TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. On offense, Stony Brook has plenty of room for improvement when it comes to securing the basketball. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals needs improvement, as the team places 260th in the nation in that category. As for the opposition, the Duquesne defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive. | | FREE THROWS: We expect an above-average number of free throw opportunities for the Stony Brook offense here. They're usually a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (202nd in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're pretty good at converting their foul shots (75.7%, 72nd in the country). Meanwhile, the Duquesne D sends opposing offenses to the foul line non-stop and ranks 330th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION: When on offense, Duquesne should have a fairly sizeable advantage on Stony Brook. Duquesne is currently 174th in the country in offensive efficiency, while Stony Brook nationally comes in at #350 in defensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams are somewhat similar on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense exhibits a strong preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Stony Brook defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Stony Brook defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 46.9% three-pointers (8.3% above the D1 average), 25.5% mid-range jumpers (1.0% below the D1 average), and 27.7% near-proximity twos (7.3% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #236 in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Stony Brook defense is one of the worst in the country in defensive field goal percentage (ranked 348th in that category). The Duquesne offense sports a comfortable advantage at all three levels on this end of the floor. We expect Duquesne to shoot 38.9% from behind the arc (5.4% above the D1 average), 44.8% from mid-range locations (3.7% above the D1 average), 65.6% from near-proximity (8.2% above the D1 average), and 47.8% overall (3.9% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne should comfortably win the rebounding battle on this end. Duquesne appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #268 in that department). Their opponent in this matchup, Stony Brook, is altogether terrible cleaning the defensive glass, and they're similarly pathetic in defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #360 in that category). | | TURNOVERS: Duquesne will likely keep the basketball very secure against this Stony Brook defense. When in possession, Duquesne is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the Stony Brook defense won't typically generate ball-security issues for opposing offenses. Our analytics rate them as deficient in both potential quick points scored off steals (ranked #344 in the nation) and defensive field goal attempt rate (#259 in the nation). | | FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. The Duquesne offense obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #208 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (61.3%, ranked #356 in Division I). As for the opposition, the conservative Stony Brook defense sports a relatively mediocre defensive free throw attempt rate, one that rates 198th in the NCAA this season. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: There will be no hurry to push the ball up the floor here. Both squads have a preference for slow-down basketball. Duquesne is 345th nationally in game pace, while Stony Brook currently ranks 293rd. | | AWAY/HOME COURT: Duquesne may exceed expectations here, as their performances at home have been, on average, superior to their performances away from home. | | MOMENTUM: Duquesne has the momentum edge here. They've been playing some better basketball recently and are presently ranked first in the country in positive momentum. | | CONSISTENCY: Stony Brook is one of the NCAA's more consistent teams (104th nationally in consistency), while Duquesne (282nd in consistency) is definitely more on the erratic side. |
THE VERDICT: An upset is not a complete impossibility, but Duquesne should have this one well in hand. Duquesne 75.53, Stony Brook 58.55. |
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