Haslametrics.com

Automated 2024-25 Game Preview

St. Peter's 12-16 (0.429) | MAAC
-- AT --
Duquesne 13-19 (0.406) | Atlantic 10

Includes games through April 7, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.

0.182 (297^th)

All-Play Percentage

0.631 (134^th)

0.246 (357^th)

Schedule Strength

0.535 (111^th)

-0.246 (303^rd)

Record Quality

-0.061 (212^th)

258.47 (259^th)

Avg. Season Rank

156.74 (154^th)

0.77 (144^th)

Momentum

2.89 (58^th)

-8.58 (58^th)

Consistency

-10.28 (282^nd)

2.06 (9^th)

Away/Home Court

0.35 (174^th)

63.47 (349^th)

Pace

64.81 (298^th)

IN POSSESSION

	SPC		DUQ
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	96.45	342	105.64	117
FTAR	30.14	73	30.82	310
FT%	73.96	115	--	--
FGAR	87.67	156	83.24	33
FG%	36.42	364	43.73	153
3P%	30.36	342	37.12	326
MR%	32.56	334	36.26	127
NP%	46.27	364	55.94	81
PPSt	10.94	252	12.69	221
SCC%	5.62	220	5.71	140
Prox	2.04	230	1.97	288

IN POSSESSION

	DUQ		SPC
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	108.01	170	108.45	179
FTAR	27.21	182	31.19	319
FT%	63.55	357	--	--
FGAR	88.59	106	87.51	199
FG%	43.73	181	42.81	113
3P%	34.13	170	32.88	111
MR%	39.31	102	38.28	218
NP%	60.81	109	55.45	62
PPSt	13.56	106	12.19	185
SCC%	5.29	252	6.23	212
Prox	2.13	338	1.99	254

ST. PETER'S IN POSSESSION:
When in control of the ball, St. Peter's will most definitely have their hands full with the Duquesne defense. This site rates Duquesne to be 117th in the nation in defensive efficiency, while St. Peter's is currently our #342 squad in offensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams contrast somewhat on this end of the floor. The St. Peter's offense leans slightly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Duquesne defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the St. Peter's offense will be 33.7% three-pointers (5.0% below the D1 average), 32.2% mid-range jumpers (7.4% above the D1 average), and 34.1% near-proximity twos (2.4% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: St. Peter's has been an embarrassment when it comes to floor shooting, as the squad is ranked last in the country in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Duquesne defense has been unexceptional in defensive field goal percentage, rated 153rd nationally in that category. On this end of the court, the Duquesne defense gets the analytical nod in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in three-point shooting. This site expects St. Peter's to shoot 32.1% from three (2.0% below the D1 average), 31.8% from the mid-range (5.6% below the D1 average), 41.6% from near-proximity locations (17.2% below the D1 average), and 35.2% overall (8.7% below the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Duquesne may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. St. Peter's appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. As far as turning offensive rebounds into fast points, they're similarly a relatively average unit, rated 220th in the country in second-chance conversion rate. The opposition here, Duquesne, has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, but they perform slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked #140 in that category).
	TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense has a small advantage over the St. Peter's offense in the turnover battle on this end. When in possession, St. Peter's rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. As for the opposition, the Duquesne D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #106 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #33 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
	FREE THROWS: St. Peter's should obtain a fairly healthy number of free throw attempts in this matchup. They're usually a team that has a nose for getting to the charity stripe (73rd in the country in free throw attempt rate), and they're above-average shooters from there (74.0%, 115th in the country). Meanwhile, the contentious Duquesne defense predictably commits a significant number of fouls, ranking 310th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
There isn't much of an advantage either way here when Duquesne is in possession of the basketball. The Duquesne offense is ranked #170 in Division I, while St. Peter's comes in nationally at #179 on defense.

	SHOT SELECTION: The Duquesne offense leans solidly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the St. Peter's defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the St. Peter's defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 42.5% three-pointers (3.8% above the D1 average), 24.8% mid-range jumpers (0.1% above the D1 average), and 32.7% near-proximity twos (3.8% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #181 in overall field goal conversion rate. The St. Peter's defense, meanwhile, has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #113 team nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in mid-range shooting, while the St. Peter's defense has the edge in both three-point shooting and near-proximity shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 33.4% from behind the arc (0.7% below the D1 average), 40.6% from mid-range locations (3.2% above the D1 average), 57.8% from near-proximity (1.0% below the D1 average), and 43.2% overall (0.8% below the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: There's no major advantage for either ball-club here. Duquesne is really nothing special on the offensive glass. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #252 in that department). Their opponent in this matchup, St. Peter's, is relatively mediocre when it comes to eliminating second-chance opportunities, and they're similarly so-so in defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #212 in the country in that department).
	TURNOVERS: There shouldn't be much of an advantage for either team in this department. Offensively, Duquesne is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the St. Peter's D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective. Furthermore, they'll rarely convert takeaways into quick points, evidenced by their #252 ranking in that category.
	FREE THROWS: We expect an above-average number of free throw opportunities for the Duquesne offense here. They're typically a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #182 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (63.5%, ranked #357 in Division I). As for the opposition, the St. Peter's D appears to commit far too many fouls by NCAA standards and nationally ranks 319th in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:

	PACE: There will be no hurry to push the ball up the floor here. Both squads have a preference for slow-down basketball. St. Peter's is 349th in the country in game pace, while Duquesne presently ranks 298th.
	AWAY/HOME COURT: St. Peter's may fare better than expected here, as their performances away from home, on average, have been superior to their performances at home.
	MOMENTUM: Duquesne has the momentum edge here. They've been playing some better basketball recently and are presently ranked 58th in the country in positive momentum.
	CONSISTENCY: St. Peter's is one of the NCAA's more consistent teams (58th nationally in consistency), while Duquesne (282nd in consistency) is definitely more on the erratic side.

THE VERDICT:
St. Peter's has a shot to win, but Duquesne is definitely the better team on paper. Duquesne 68.10, St. Peter's 56.43.