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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through January 12, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.262 (268th)
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0.595 (148th)
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0.318 (341st)
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0.502 (130th)
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-0.173 (258th)
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-0.071 (209th)
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216.13 (215th)
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175.41 (174th)
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-2.76 (316th)
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7.17 (1st)
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-9.30 (193rd)
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-10.23 (282nd)
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1.43 (40th)
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1.56 (104th)
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62.98 (354th)
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63.75 (345th)
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IN POSSESSION
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SPC
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DUQ
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
96.96 |
325 |
105.75 |
147 |
FTAR |
27.63 |
165 |
32.72 |
330 |
FT% |
70.74 |
222 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
85.75 |
201 |
84.41 |
88 |
FG% |
38.40 |
352 |
42.39 |
113 |
3P% |
33.88 |
164 |
36.79 |
313 |
MR% |
35.98 |
331 |
40.88 |
171 |
NP% |
45.73 |
361 |
50.53 |
28 |
PPSt |
11.12 |
243 |
12.20 |
176 |
SCC% |
5.78 |
177 |
4.35 |
49 |
Prox |
2.06 |
230 |
2.05 |
158 |
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IN POSSESSION
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DUQ
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SPC
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
106.86 |
174 |
106.77 |
167 |
FTAR |
26.53 |
208 |
36.76 |
364 |
FT% |
61.26 |
356 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
90.70 |
32 |
84.26 |
81 |
FG% |
42.46 |
236 |
42.30 |
107 |
3P% |
34.83 |
116 |
30.46 |
50 |
MR% |
42.70 |
119 |
42.22 |
217 |
NP% |
54.78 |
245 |
54.03 |
91 |
PPSt |
11.95 |
198 |
13.34 |
251 |
SCC% |
4.84 |
268 |
6.93 |
303 |
Prox |
2.17 |
347 |
1.99 |
268 |
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ST. PETER'S IN POSSESSION: From an analytical perspective, it appears that St. Peter's will have a fair share of offensive issues against a defense of this caliber. This site rates Duquesne to be 147th in the nation in defensive efficiency, while St. Peter's is currently our #325 squad in offensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams are somewhat similar on this end of the floor. The St. Peter's offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Duquesne defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the St. Peter's offense will be 36.2% three-pointers (2.4% below the D1 average), 34.9% mid-range jumpers (8.4% above the D1 average), and 28.9% near-proximity twos (6.0% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: St. Peter's is one of the worst teams in college hoops when it comes to shooting (rated 352nd in overall field goal conversion rate). Meanwhile, the Duquesne defense has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #113 team nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the St. Peter's offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects St. Peter's to shoot 36.6% from three (3.1% above the D1 average), 36.5% from the mid-range (4.5% below the D1 average), 35.3% from near-proximity locations (22.0% below the D1 average), and 36.2% overall (7.6% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne would appear to have a comfortable rebounding advantage on this end. St. Peter's has the fingerprint of a team whose offensive rebounding abilities are a bit worse than the D1 norm. As far as turning offensive rebounds into fast points, they're a relatively average unit, rated 177th in the country in second-chance conversion rate. Duquesne, meanwhile, appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, and they've similarly done great work curbing points via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked 49th in defensive second-chance conversion rate). | | TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. When in possession, St. Peter's isn't the sloppiest team in the world, but they've definitely got some ball-security issues. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals needs improvement, as the team places 251st in the nation in that category. Meanwhile, the Duquesne D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective. | | FREE THROWS: We expect an above-average number of free throw opportunities for the St. Peter's offense here. They're usually a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #165 in free throw attempt rate), and they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (70.7%, ranked #222 in Division I). As for the opposition, the Duquesne D appears to commit far too many fouls by NCAA standards and nationally ranks 330th in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION: There isn't much of an advantage either way here when Duquesne is in possession of the basketball. The St. Peter's defense is ranked #167 in Division I, while Duquesne comes in nationally at #174 on offense. | SHOT SELECTION: The Duquesne offense leans strongly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the St. Peter's defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the St. Peter's defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 41.5% three-pointers (2.9% above the D1 average), 30.4% mid-range jumpers (3.9% above the D1 average), and 28.1% near-proximity twos (6.8% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 236th nationally in that category this year. The St. Peter's defense, meanwhile, has been doing a fairly decent job to defend opposing shooters, ranking 107th in the NCAA in defensive field goal conversion rate. On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in mid-range shooting, while the St. Peter's defense has the edge in both three-point shooting and near-proximity shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 32.7% from behind the arc (0.9% below the D1 average), 44.1% from mid-range locations (3.1% above the D1 average), 51.8% from near-proximity (5.5% below the D1 average), and 41.5% overall (2.3% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a slight rebounding advantage on this end. Duquesne is really nothing special on the offensive glass. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 268th nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). The opposition here, St. Peter's, is relatively mediocre when it comes to eliminating second-chance opportunities, but they've been worse in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked at #303 in said category). | | TURNOVERS: Neither team has much of an advantage in this category. Offensively, Duquesne rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. As for the opposition, the St. Peter's defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive. Furthermore, they'll rarely convert takeaways into quick points, evidenced by their #243 ranking in that category. | | FREE THROWS: Duquesne will probably acquire more foul line chances than normal in this contest. They're typically a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (208th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (61.3%, ninth from the bottom in the country). Meanwhile, the St. Peter's D sends opposing offenses to the foul line non-stop and ranks last nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: Expect a grind-it-out, ultra-slow tempo in this one. Both squads have a preference for slow-down basketball. St. Peter's is 354th in the country in game pace, while Duquesne presently ranks 345th. | | AWAY/HOME COURT: St. Peter's has performed far better away from home this year than they have at home. Unfortunately for them, they face Duquesne, who has played their best basketball this season in front of their home crowd. | | MOMENTUM: Duquesne appears to have a noteworthy momentum advantage. They come into this game playing above their norm (first in the country in positive momentum), while St. Peter's (316th) has been more inefficient than normal in recent contests. | | CONSISTENCY: Duquesne is one of Division I's more erratic squads, ranking 282nd in the country in consistency. St. Peter's places closer to the middle of the pack in this category. |
THE VERDICT: We like Duquesne here, but don't count St. Peter's out entirely. They'll have a fighting chance. Duquesne 64.82, St. Peter's 56.12. |
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