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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through November 25, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.964 (14th)
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0.948 (20th)
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0.609 (54th)
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0.323 (303rd)
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0.434 (27th)
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0.259 (72nd)
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12.43 (12th)
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25.74 (23rd)
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N/A (N/A)
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N/A (N/A)
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-9.16 (223rd)
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-12.85 (326th)
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-11.28 (345th)
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13.31 (16th)
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67.89 (271st)
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Pace
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68.29 (246th)
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IN POSSESSION
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PUR
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UMD
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
118.37 |
14 |
94.87 |
22 |
FTAR |
32.12 |
11 |
25.08 |
85 |
FT% |
70.69 |
203 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
84.50 |
242 |
82.61 |
38 |
FG% |
49.33 |
10 |
40.60 |
42 |
3P% |
40.14 |
5 |
31.80 |
52 |
MR% |
42.37 |
50 |
34.41 |
22 |
NP% |
64.65 |
23 |
54.45 |
48 |
PPSt |
11.02 |
244 |
9.61 |
25 |
SCC% |
7.55 |
23 |
4.87 |
84 |
Prox |
2.01 |
160 |
2.00 |
247 |
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IN POSSESSION
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UMD
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PUR
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
116.70 |
23 |
94.38 |
18 |
FTAR |
30.75 |
38 |
18.62 |
2 |
FT% |
72.94 |
138 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
89.30 |
12 |
89.17 |
346 |
FG% |
46.79 |
50 |
39.86 |
26 |
3P% |
33.14 |
225 |
29.28 |
7 |
MR% |
40.12 |
143 |
33.67 |
13 |
NP% |
63.59 |
32 |
58.69 |
210 |
PPSt |
15.56 |
19 |
9.68 |
27 |
SCC% |
7.92 |
11 |
4.60 |
49 |
Prox |
1.97 |
55 |
2.07 |
55 |
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PURDUE IN POSSESSION: These two squads are very evenly matched when Purdue is on offense. The Purdue offense is ranked #14 in Division I, while Maryland comes in nationally at #22 on defense. | SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. Both schemes are relatively balanced, and neither the outside shot nor the inside shot will be consistently employed/allowed by either ball-club. Against the Maryland defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Purdue offense will be 33.8% three-pointers (4.0% below the D1 average), 31.5% mid-range jumpers (4.8% above the D1 average), and 34.7% near-proximity twos (0.8% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Purdue is a superbly efficient team when it comes to shooting, as the unit is ranked tenth in the country in overall field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the Maryland defense sports one of college basketball's better defensive field goal percentages, ranking 42nd in the country in that category. On this end of the court, the Purdue offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the Maryland defense has the edge in mid-range shooting. This site expects Purdue to shoot 38.2% from three (4.4% above the D1 average), 37.2% from the mid-range (2.2% below the D1 average), 60.6% from near-proximity locations (2.9% above the D1 average), and 45.7% overall (1.9% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: The rebounding edge doesn't significantly go to either team in this contest. Purdue has the fingerprint of a team that's above-average, yet not outstanding, on the offensive glass. To boot, they are first-class at converting their second chance opportunities, ranking 23rd nationally in that category. Meanwhile, Maryland rates as a relatively solid unit on the defensive boards, and they've similarly been fairly efficient in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked 84th in the nation in that category). | | TURNOVERS: Neither team has much of an advantage in this category. When in possession, Purdue exemplifies ball-security to a degree slightly superior to the average NCAA team. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is particularly solid, as the squad places 27th in the country in that category. As for the opposition, the Maryland D is fairly aggressive and is certainly capable of coming away with their fair share of steals. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #19 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #38 in defensive field goal attempt rate. | | FREE THROWS: These two squads are matched fairly evenly in this department. The Purdue offense heavily relies on obtaining chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #11 in free throw attempt rate), though they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (70.7%, ranked #203 in Division I). As for the opposition, the aggressive Maryland defense surprisingly won't commit that many personal fouls and ranks 85th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
MARYLAND IN POSSESSION: The Maryland offense and the Purdue defense are very evenly matched on this end of the floor. This site rates Purdue to be 18th in the nation in defensive efficiency, while Maryland is currently our #23 squad in offensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: There are conflicting shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The Maryland offense has a slight preference for inside shots over those from longer-distance, while the Purdue defense conversely tends to allow marginally more opportunities from the outside. Against the Purdue defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Maryland offense will be 37.4% three-pointers (0.4% below the D1 average), 27.3% mid-range jumpers (0.7% above the D1 average), and 35.3% near-proximity twos (0.3% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Maryland does a pretty good job to convert shots each possession, ranking 50th in the country in overall field goal percentage. The Purdue defense, meanwhile, has done well to keep their opponents' shooting percentages down (rated our #26 team in defensive field goal percentage this year). On this end of the court, the Maryland offense has a notable advantage in near-proximity shooting, while the Purdue defense has the edge in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting. We expect Maryland to shoot 29.1% from behind the arc (4.6% below the D1 average), 34.4% from mid-range locations (5.0% below the D1 average), 65.7% from near-proximity (7.9% above the D1 average), and 43.5% overall (0.3% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Maryland may have a modest rebounding edge on this end of the floor. Maryland rates as a fairly good team on the offensive glass. To boot, they are sensational at scoring quickly off of any second-chance opportunities they obtain (nationally rated #11 in that department). Purdue, meanwhile, has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, and they've likewise effectively prevented opponents from scoring via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked #49 in defensive second-chance conversion percentage). | | TURNOVERS: Maryland will likely keep the basketball very secure against this Purdue defense. Offensively, Maryland exhibits fairly good ball-control and limits turnovers. Their ratings for field goal attempt rate (ranked 12th in the country) and potential quick points allowed off of steals (25th) can both be considered exquisite. Meanwhile, the Purdue defense appears to be more on the conservative side when you look at turnovers forced. Our analytics rate them as deficient in both potential quick points scored off steals (ranked #244 in the nation) and defensive field goal attempt rate (#346 in the nation). | | FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. Maryland is a team that likes to get to the charity stripe frequently (38th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (72.9%, 138th in the country). Meanwhile, the more reserved Purdue defense, as expected, really keeps opposing offenses off the free throw line, ranking second in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: Expect a slightly slower tempo here when these two ball-clubs meet. Both squads have a preference for slow-down basketball. Purdue is 271st in the country in game pace, while Maryland presently ranks 246th. | | AWAY/HOME COURT: We would expect a potential performance bump for the home team here. Maryland has performed far better at home than they have away from home this season. To boot, they are facing Purdue, a team that has played their very worst basketball this year away from their home court. | | CONSISTENCY: Maryland is one of Division I's more erratic squads, ranking 326th in the country in consistency. Purdue places closer to the middle of the pack in this category. |
THE VERDICT: These teams are projected to be separated by less than two points. This one should be a nailbiter. Maryland 72.21, Purdue 70.95. |
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