Haslametrics.com

Automated 2024-25 Game Preview

Clemson 27-7 (0.794) | ACC
-- AT --
Miami 7-24 (0.226) | ACC

Includes games through April 3, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.

0.937 (24^th)

All-Play Percentage

0.477 (191^st)

0.666 (62^nd)

Schedule Strength

0.642 (68^th)

0.475 (11^th)

Record Quality

-0.178 (272^nd)

25.44 (23^rd)

Avg. Season Rank

139.78 (139^th)

-2.36 (286^th)

Momentum

-4.93 (343^rd)

-9.16 (138^th)

Consistency

-10.53 (306^th)

-0.44 (200^th)

Away/Home Court

-0.21 (244^th)

64.07 (329^th)

Pace

66.64 (182^nd)

IN POSSESSION

	CLEM		MIA
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	120.77	22	115.96	318
FTAR	27.18	181	21.69	18
FT%	77.35	34	--	--
FGAR	92.38	16	90.58	322
FG%	47.09	54	47.18	317
3P%	36.83	53	38.99	358
MR%	42.71	26	35.82	111
NP%	60.48	115	62.87	316
PPSt	12.47	164	10.54	62
SCC%	7.25	67	7.28	324
Prox	2.00	143	2.03	155

IN POSSESSION

	MIA		CLEM
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	111.73	101	95.25	17
FTAR	24.34	298	21.74	19
FT%	75.30	73	--	--
FGAR	89.21	89	86.93	173
FG%	46.11	80	40.26	37
3P%	32.49	263	30.72	28
MR%	41.94	38	35.98	118
NP%	65.02	27	53.38	32
PPSt	13.72	95	10.75	72
SCC%	6.19	152	5.68	136
Prox	2.05	234	2.02	183

CLEMSON IN POSSESSION:
Clemson has quite the significant statistical advantage over Miami on this end of the floor. This site rates Clemson to be 22nd in the nation in offensive efficiency, while Miami is currently our #318 squad in defensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: The Clemson offense demonstrates a balance of outside and inside attempts, while the Miami defense typically allows a few more chances from the perimeter than from the paint. Against the Miami defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Clemson offense will be 38.5% three-pointers (0.2% below the D1 average), 23.9% mid-range jumpers (0.8% below the D1 average), and 37.6% near-proximity twos (1.0% above the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Clemson does a pretty good job to convert shots each possession, ranking 54th in the country in overall field goal percentage. The Miami defense, meanwhile, has not done a great job to shut down opposing shooters, rated our #317 team in defensive field goal conversion rate. The Clemson offense has a noticeable advantage at all three levels on this end of the floor. This site expects Clemson to shoot 41.1% from three (7.0% above the D1 average), 41.0% from the mid-range (3.5% above the D1 average), 63.4% from near-proximity locations (4.6% above the D1 average), and 49.5% overall (5.5% above the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Clemson has a massive rebounding advantage on this end of the floor. Clemson appears to do a pretty decent job on the offensive boards. They're also quite proficient at scoring quickly off of their second-chance opportunities (rated 67th in the country in second-chance conversion percentage). Miami, meanwhile, is relatively mediocre when it comes to eliminating second-chance opportunities, but they've been very ineffective stopping opponents from scoring on offensive putbacks (ranked #324 in defensive second-chance conversion rate).
	TURNOVERS: The Clemson offense should keep the ball fairly secure here against the Miami defense. Offensively, Clemson exhibits better ball-control skills than the average D1 squad. Their field goal attempt rate is top-notch (rated 16th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is very solid (72nd in the country). As for the opposition, the Miami D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective. They are accomplished to a degree at converting turnovers into quick points on the scoreboard (nationally ranked 95th in that category).
	FREE THROWS: Clemson will probably acquire fewer free throw attempts than normal in this encounter. They're usually a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #181 in free throw attempt rate), though they're very impressive converting from there (77.3%, 34th in the country). As for the opposition, the Miami D does an exceptional job keeping foes off the foul line and ranks 18th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

MIAMI IN POSSESSION:
When analytically matched up against the Clemson defense, this Miami offense stands to be at somewhat of a disadvantage. Clemson is currently 17th in the country in defensive efficiency, while Miami nationally comes in at #101 in offensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: The Miami offense leans slightly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the Clemson defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the Clemson defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Miami offense will be 37.5% three-pointers (1.2% below the D1 average), 29.3% mid-range jumpers (4.6% above the D1 average), and 33.2% near-proximity twos (3.3% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Miami has been a bit above the D1 average in floor shooting this year and is rated our #80 team in overall field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the Clemson defense has done well to keep their opponents' shooting percentages down (rated our #37 team in defensive field goal percentage this year). On this end of the court, the Miami offense has the ratings advantage in mid-range shooting, the Clemson defense has the edge in three-point shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in near-proximity shooting. We expect Miami to shoot 29.5% from behind the arc (4.6% below the D1 average), 40.8% from mid-range locations (3.3% above the D1 average), 60.3% from near-proximity (1.5% above the D1 average), and 43.1% overall (0.9% below the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Clemson may have a small rebounding edge on this end of the court. Miami lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. As for converting their second-chance opportunities, they're similarly run-of-the-mill by D1 standards (nationally rated 152nd in that category). The opposition here, Clemson, appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, but they perform slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked #136 in that category).
	TURNOVERS: The Miami offense has a small advantage over the Clemson defense in the turnover game on this end. On offense, Miami exemplifies ball-security to a degree slightly superior to the average NCAA team. Their field goal attempt rate is very respectable (rated 89th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is very solid (62nd in the country). Meanwhile, the Clemson defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive.
	FREE THROWS: There almost certainly won't be many chances at the foul line for the Miami offense here. They're typically a team that won't get to the charity stripe very often (298th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're pretty good at converting their foul shots (75.3%, ranked #73 in Division I). Meanwhile, the Clemson D has been excellent at minimizing opponents' free throw opportunities, ranking 19th in the NCAA in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:

	PACE: The tempo in this particular contest should be more on the slow side of things. Miami (182nd in the NCAA in game pace) adopts an intermediate tempo, but Clemson (329th) is more likely to pump the brakes.
	AWAY/HOME COURT: Miami may fail to meet expectations here, as their efforts at home have been, on average, inferior to their performances away from home.
	MOMENTUM: Neither one of these teams has played its best basketball as of late. Miami is 343rd nationally in positive momentum, while Clemson currently ranks 286th.
	CONSISTENCY: Miami is one of Division I's more erratic squads, ranking 306th in the country in consistency. Clemson places closer to the middle of the pack in this category.

THE VERDICT:
Miami might stick around for a while, but Clemson should ultimately pull away down the stretch. Clemson 80.33, Miami 65.17.