Haslametrics.com

Automated 2024-25 Game Preview

La Salle 14-19 (0.424) | Atlantic 10
-- AT --
Duquesne 13-19 (0.406) | Atlantic 10

Includes games through April 7, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.

0.347 (238^th)

All-Play Percentage

0.631 (134^th)

0.524 (120^th)

Schedule Strength

0.535 (111^th)

-0.043 (200^th)

Record Quality

-0.061 (212^th)

196.24 (193^rd)

Avg. Season Rank

156.74 (154^th)

2.06 (89^th)

Momentum

2.89 (58^th)

-9.04 (118^th)

Consistency

-10.28 (282^nd)

-1.64 (292^nd)

Away/Home Court

0.35 (174^th)

67.16 (141^st)

Pace

64.81 (298^th)

IN POSSESSION

	LAS		DUQ
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	103.81	238	105.64	117
FTAR	29.24	98	30.82	310
FT%	72.77	164	--	--
FGAR	88.88	96	83.24	33
FG%	40.63	328	43.73	153
3P%	32.60	260	37.12	326
MR%	37.26	183	36.26	127
NP%	54.92	299	55.94	81
PPSt	12.85	140	12.69	221
SCC%	5.87	188	5.71	140
Prox	2.07	268	1.97	288

IN POSSESSION

	DUQ		LAS
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	108.01	170	109.34	198
FTAR	27.21	182	25.05	93
FT%	63.55	357	--	--
FGAR	88.59	106	89.12	269
FG%	43.73	181	45.01	230
3P%	34.13	170	34.28	191
MR%	39.31	102	41.11	310
NP%	60.81	109	61.38	272
PPSt	13.56	106	10.79	80
SCC%	5.29	252	6.43	231
Prox	2.13	338	2.07	82

LA SALLE IN POSSESSION:
The La Salle offense appears to be at an analytical disadvantage when matched up against the Duquesne defense. This site rates Duquesne to be 117th in the nation in defensive efficiency, while La Salle is currently our #238 squad in offensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams contrast somewhat on this end of the floor. The La Salle offense leans slightly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Duquesne defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the La Salle offense will be 30.5% three-pointers (8.2% below the D1 average), 41.5% mid-range jumpers (16.8% above the D1 average), and 28.0% near-proximity twos (8.6% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: La Salle has certainly not converted field goals at a solid clip this season (rated our #328 team in overall field goal percentage). The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, has been unexceptional in defensive field goal percentage, rated 153rd nationally in that category. On this end of the court, the La Salle offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects La Salle to shoot 35.0% from three (0.9% above the D1 average), 36.2% from the mid-range (1.2% below the D1 average), 49.9% from near-proximity locations (8.9% below the D1 average), and 39.7% overall (4.3% below the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Duquesne may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. La Salle is really nothing special on the offensive glass. As far as turning offensive rebounds into fast points, they're similarly a relatively average unit, rated 188th in the country in second-chance conversion rate. Meanwhile, Duquesne appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, but they perform slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked #140 in that category).
	TURNOVERS: There shouldn't be much of an advantage for either team in this department. On offense, La Salle exemplifies ball-security to a degree slightly superior to the average NCAA team. Their field goal attempt rate is very respectable (rated 96th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is more than satisfactory (80th in the country). As for the opposition, the Duquesne D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #106 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #33 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
	FREE THROWS: We expect an above-average number of free throw opportunities for the La Salle offense here. They're usually a team that is fairly decent at booking trips to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #98 in free throw attempt rate), though they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (72.8%, ranked #164 in Division I). As for the opposition, the contentious Duquesne defense, as expected, will be more likely to foul than most other D1 squads, ranking 310th in the nation in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
The Duquesne offense appears to have a bit of an edge on the La Salle defense at this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense is ranked #170 in Division I, while La Salle comes in nationally at #198 on defense.

	SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense exhibits a solid preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the La Salle defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the La Salle defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 44.0% three-pointers (5.3% above the D1 average), 28.9% mid-range jumpers (4.1% above the D1 average), and 27.1% near-proximity twos (9.4% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 181st nationally in that category this year. Meanwhile, the La Salle defense rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #230 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has an analytical edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the two opposing units are rated fairly evenly in three-point shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 34.6% from behind the arc (0.5% above the D1 average), 43.0% from mid-range locations (5.6% above the D1 average), 65.2% from near-proximity (6.4% above the D1 average), and 45.3% overall (1.4% above the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a modest rebounding edge on this end of the floor. Duquesne lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 252nd nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). La Salle, meanwhile, has the look of a team that is pretty mediocre on the defensive boards, and they're similarly so-so in defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #231 in the country in that department).
	TURNOVERS: The La Salle defense has a small advantage over the Duquesne offense in the turnover battle on this end. When in possession, Duquesne is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the La Salle D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective.
	FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. Duquesne obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (182nd in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (63.5%, eighth from the bottom in the country). Meanwhile, the La Salle D does a solid job keeping foes off the foul line and ranks 93rd in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:

	PACE: The projected tempo for this contest is fairly average by D1 standards. La Salle (141st nationally in game pace) likes a fairly average tempo, but Duquesne (298th) would rather maintain a slower pace.
	AWAY/HOME COURT: La Salle may perform worse than expected here, as their efforts away from home, on average, have been more inferior than their performances at home.
	MOMENTUM: Both teams come into this contest playing some of their best basketball this year. Duquesne is 58th nationally in positive momentum, while La Salle presently ranks 89th.
	CONSISTENCY: La Salle is one of the NCAA's more consistent teams (118th nationally in consistency), while Duquesne (282nd in consistency) is definitely more on the erratic side.

THE VERDICT:
La Salle has a shot to win, but Duquesne is definitely the better team on paper. Duquesne 73.85, La Salle 64.58.