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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
Duquesne 7-9 (0.438) | Atlantic 10
-- AT --
DePaul 9-8 (0.529) | Big East
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Includes games through January 12, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.595 (148th)
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0.658 (125th)
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0.502 (130th)
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0.464 (179th)
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-0.071 (209th)
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0.023 (168th)
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175.41 (174th)
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89.55 (90th)
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7.17 (1st)
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-9.13 (364th)
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-10.23 (282nd)
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-12.92 (357th)
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-1.56 (261st)
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8.94 (2nd)
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63.75 (345th)
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66.59 (218th)
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IN POSSESSION
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DUQ
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DEP
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
106.86 |
174 |
104.75 |
127 |
FTAR |
26.53 |
208 |
21.61 |
19 |
FT% |
61.26 |
356 |
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-- |
FGAR |
90.70 |
32 |
86.58 |
182 |
FG% |
42.46 |
236 |
45.68 |
258 |
3P% |
34.83 |
116 |
38.25 |
347 |
MR% |
42.70 |
119 |
40.80 |
165 |
NP% |
54.78 |
245 |
56.54 |
147 |
PPSt |
11.95 |
198 |
15.63 |
335 |
SCC% |
4.84 |
268 |
4.88 |
101 |
Prox |
2.17 |
347 |
1.98 |
288 |
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IN POSSESSION
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DEP
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DUQ
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
110.69 |
109 |
105.75 |
147 |
FTAR |
24.50 |
277 |
32.72 |
330 |
FT% |
75.21 |
84 |
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FGAR |
88.98 |
67 |
84.41 |
88 |
FG% |
43.41 |
198 |
42.39 |
113 |
3P% |
35.36 |
95 |
36.79 |
313 |
MR% |
37.51 |
302 |
40.88 |
171 |
NP% |
58.25 |
153 |
50.53 |
28 |
PPSt |
11.24 |
234 |
12.20 |
176 |
SCC% |
5.33 |
213 |
4.35 |
49 |
Prox |
2.14 |
336 |
2.05 |
158 |
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DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION: When analytically matched up against the DePaul defense, this Duquesne offense stands to be at somewhat of a disadvantage. The DePaul defense is ranked #127 in Division I, while Duquesne comes in nationally at #174 on offense.  | SHOT SELECTION: The Duquesne offense leans strongly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the DePaul defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the DePaul defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Duquesne offense will be 39.4% three-pointers (0.8% above the D1 average), 32.9% mid-range jumpers (6.4% above the D1 average), and 27.6% near-proximity twos (7.3% below the D1 average). |  | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 236th nationally in that category this year. The DePaul defense, meanwhile, has not done particularly well to shut down opponents' shooters, ranking 258th in the NCAA in defensive field goal percentage. On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the DePaul defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting. This site expects Duquesne to shoot 38.5% from three (5.0% above the D1 average), 42.0% from the mid-range (1.0% above the D1 average), 52.9% from near-proximity locations (4.5% below the D1 average), and 43.6% overall (0.2% below the D1 average). |  | REBOUNDING: DePaul may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. Duquesne lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 268th nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). Meanwhile, DePaul has the look of a team that is pretty mediocre on the defensive boards, but they have been a bit better in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked 101st in the nation in that category). |  | TURNOVERS: The Duquesne offense should keep the ball fairly secure here against the DePaul defense. Offensively, Duquesne is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. As for the opposition, the DePaul D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective. |  | FREE THROWS: Duquesne will probably acquire fewer free throw attempts than normal in this encounter. They're usually a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (208th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (61.3%, ninth from the bottom in the country). As for the opposition, the DePaul D does an exceptional job keeping foes off the foul line and ranks 19th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
DEPAUL IN POSSESSION: The DePaul offense appears to have a bit of an edge on the Duquesne defense at this end of the floor. DePaul is currently 109th in the country in offensive efficiency, while Duquesne nationally comes in at #147 in defensive efficiency.  | SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. The DePaul offense exhibits a solid preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Duquesne defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Duquesne defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the DePaul offense will be 44.8% three-pointers (6.2% above the D1 average), 25.9% mid-range jumpers (0.6% below the D1 average), and 29.3% near-proximity twos (5.6% below the D1 average). |  | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: DePaul rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #198 in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Duquesne defense has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #113 team nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the DePaul offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. We expect DePaul to shoot 38.4% from behind the arc (4.8% above the D1 average), 38.6% from mid-range locations (2.4% below the D1 average), 52.5% from near-proximity (4.8% below the D1 average), and 42.6% overall (1.3% below the D1 average). |  | REBOUNDING: Duquesne would appear to have a comfortable rebounding advantage on this end. DePaul appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. As for converting their second-chance opportunities, they're similarly run-of-the-mill by D1 standards (nationally rated 213th in that category). Duquesne, meanwhile, appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, and they've likewise effectively prevented opponents from scoring via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked #49 in defensive second-chance conversion percentage). |  | TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense has a small advantage over the DePaul offense in the turnover battle on this end. On offense, DePaul has plenty of room for improvement when it comes to securing the basketball. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is particularly inadequate, as the team places 335th in the nation in that category. Meanwhile, the Duquesne defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive. |  | FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. DePaul isn't all that great at getting to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #277 in free throw attempt rate), though they're above-average shooters from there (75.2%, ranked #84 in Division I). Meanwhile, the Duquesne D appears to commit far too many fouls by NCAA standards and nationally ranks 330th in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
 | PACE: The tempo in this particular contest should be more on the slow side of things. DePaul (218th in the NCAA in game pace) adopts an intermediate tempo, but Duquesne (345th) is more likely to pump the brakes. |  | AWAY/HOME COURT: We would expect a potential performance bump for the home team here. DePaul has performed far better at home than they have away from home this season. To boot, they are facing Duquesne, a team that has played their worst basketball this year away from their home court. |  | MOMENTUM: Duquesne has a sizeable momentum edge here. They come into this contest playing above their norm (first in the country in positive momentum), while DePaul (last) has performed a bit below their own standards recently. |  | CONSISTENCY: This contest features two of the NCAA's more erratic teams. DePaul ranks eighth from the bottom nationally in consistency, while Duquesne is presently 282nd in that category. |
THE VERDICT: We foresee DePaul getting the win here, but the margin of victory should not be excessive. DePaul 70.75, Duquesne 66.94. |
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