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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through April 3, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.634 (133rd)
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0.791 (76th)
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0.536 (111th)
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0.516 (128th)
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-0.061 (212th)
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0.174 (89th)
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157.35 (153rd)
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90.41 (90th)
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2.90 (59th)
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-2.46 (288th)
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-10.28 (281st)
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-8.84 (87th)
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-0.35 (191st)
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-0.56 (283rd)
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64.81 (298th)
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Pace
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67.33 (129th)
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 IN POSSESSION
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DUQ
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STJS
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| Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
| Eff |
108.01 |
170 |
100.85 |
62 |
| FTAR |
27.18 |
180 |
22.27 |
28 |
| FT% |
63.55 |
357 |
-- |
-- |
| FGAR |
88.55 |
106 |
89.78 |
297 |
| FG% |
43.76 |
179 |
41.54 |
74 |
| 3P% |
34.14 |
168 |
33.85 |
161 |
| MR% |
39.36 |
104 |
34.18 |
64 |
| NP% |
60.83 |
109 |
56.06 |
80 |
| PPSt |
13.57 |
106 |
11.91 |
158 |
| SCC% |
5.28 |
253 |
5.80 |
147 |
| Prox |
2.13 |
338 |
1.97 |
297 |
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 IN POSSESSION
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STJS
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DUQ
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| Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
| Eff |
111.24 |
108 |
105.62 |
118 |
| FTAR |
27.98 |
145 |
30.81 |
310 |
| FT% |
73.61 |
129 |
-- |
-- |
| FGAR |
88.37 |
118 |
83.22 |
32 |
| FG% |
43.65 |
185 |
43.74 |
153 |
| 3P% |
33.38 |
215 |
37.08 |
326 |
| MR% |
37.90 |
156 |
36.32 |
127 |
| NP% |
59.82 |
135 |
55.95 |
78 |
| PPSt |
12.22 |
176 |
12.71 |
220 |
| SCC% |
5.40 |
241 |
5.71 |
141 |
| Prox |
2.10 |
315 |
1.97 |
289 |
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DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
From an analytical perspective, it appears that Duquesne will have a fair share of offensive issues against a defense of this caliber. Saint Joe's is currently 62nd in the country in defensive efficiency, while Duquesne nationally comes in at #170 in offensive efficiency.  | SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams contrast somewhat on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense leans solidly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Saint Joe's defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Saint Joe's defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Duquesne offense will be 35.9% three-pointers (2.8% below the D1 average), 35.3% mid-range jumpers (10.7% above the D1 average), and 28.8% near-proximity twos (7.8% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #179 in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Saint Joe's defense has done well to keep their opponents' shooting percentages down (rated our #74 team in defensive field goal percentage this year). On this end of the court, the Saint Joe's defense gets the analytical nod in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in three-point shooting. This site expects Duquesne to shoot 33.5% from three (0.6% below the D1 average), 35.3% from the mid-range (2.2% below the D1 average), 56.7% from near-proximity locations (2.1% below the D1 average), and 40.8% overall (3.2% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Saint Joe's may have a small rebounding edge on this end of the court. Duquesne lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #253 in that department). Meanwhile, Saint Joe's has the look of a team that is pretty mediocre on the defensive boards, and they're similarly only fair in defensive putback conversion percentage (ranked 147th in the country there). | | TURNOVERS: The Saint Joe's defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. Offensively, Duquesne rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Meanwhile, the Saint Joe's D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective. | | FREE THROWS: We expect a below-average number of foul line opportunities for the Duquesne offense here. They're usually a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #180 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (63.5%, eighth from the bottom in the country). As for the opposition, the Saint Joe's D has been excellent at minimizing opponents' free throw opportunities, ranking 28th in the NCAA in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
SAINT JOE'S IN POSSESSION:
There isn't much of an advantage either way here when Saint Joe's is in possession of the basketball. The Saint Joe's offense is ranked #108 in Division I, while Duquesne comes in nationally at #118 on defense. | SHOT SELECTION: These two teams exhibit contrasting shot preferences on this end of the court. The Saint Joe's offense leans solidly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Duquesne defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Saint Joe's offense will be 41.5% three-pointers (2.8% above the D1 average), 22.8% mid-range jumpers (1.9% below the D1 average), and 35.6% near-proximity twos (0.9% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Saint Joe's has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 185th nationally in that category this year. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, has been unexceptional in defensive field goal percentage, rated 153rd nationally in that category. On this end of the court, the Saint Joe's offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. We expect Saint Joe's to shoot 36.1% from behind the arc (2.0% above the D1 average), 36.8% from mid-range locations (0.6% below the D1 average), 57.9% from near-proximity (1.0% below the D1 average), and 44.0% overall (a touch above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. Saint Joe's appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 241st nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). Duquesne, meanwhile, has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, but they perform slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked #141 in that category). | | TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense has a small advantage over the Saint Joe's offense in the turnover battle on this end. On offense, Saint Joe's is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. As for the opposition, the Duquesne defense leans more on the aggressive side when it comes to pressure. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #106 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #32 in defensive field goal attempt rate. | | FREE THROWS: Saint Joe's will probably acquire more foul line chances than normal in this contest. They're typically a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (145th in the country in free throw attempt rate), and they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (73.6%, ranked #129 in Division I). Meanwhile, the contentious Duquesne defense predictably commits a significant number of fouls, ranking 310th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. Saint Joe's (129th in the NCAA in game pace) adopts an intermediate tempo, but Duquesne (298th) is more likely to pump the brakes. | | AWAY/HOME COURT: Saint Joe's may fail to meet expectations here, as their efforts at home have been, on average, inferior to their performances away from home. | | MOMENTUM: Duquesne has a sizeable momentum edge here. They come into this contest playing above their norm (59th in the country in positive momentum), while Saint Joe's (288th) has performed a bit below their own standards recently. | | CONSISTENCY: Saint Joe's appears to be one of college basketball's more consistent units (87th in the nation in consistency), while Duquesne (281st in consistency) has been much more erratic. |
THE VERDICT:
This contest has the potential to be very competitive, but Saint Joe's is the better team on this day. Saint Joe's 72.52, Duquesne 64.81. |
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