Haslametrics.com

Automated 2024-25 Game Preview

Nebraska 21-14 (0.600) | Big Ten
-- AT --
Iowa 17-16 (0.515) | Big Ten

Includes games through April 7, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.

0.857 (53^rd)

All-Play Percentage

0.821 (66^th)

0.717 (37^th)

Schedule Strength

0.694 (52^nd)

0.276 (57^th)

Record Quality

0.155 (95^th)

56.31 (55^th)

Avg. Season Rank

55.60 (52^nd)

1.80 (105^th)

Momentum

0.63 (150^th)

-10.08 (259^th)

Consistency

-10.02 (248^th)

0.96 (44^th)

Away/Home Court

2.76 (26^th)

67.09 (149^th)

Pace

68.41 (65^th)

IN POSSESSION

	NEB		IOWA
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	115.75	63	107.31	157
FTAR	30.70	59	23.60	51
FT%	75.56	67	--	--
FGAR	85.52	257	88.88	259
FG%	47.01	56	44.07	175
3P%	36.06	75	33.78	153
MR%	38.79	123	38.23	216
NP%	62.71	64	58.92	183
PPSt	12.02	188	10.13	45
SCC%	7.73	40	7.21	320
Prox	2.00	148	2.03	146

IN POSSESSION

	IOWA		NEB
Cat	Rtg	Rk	Rtg	Rk
Eff	120.59	26	98.43	40
FTAR	24.88	276	20.19	4
FT%	70.47	248	--	--
FGAR	89.21	89	88.67	248
FG%	49.96	8	40.20	36
3P%	39.26	8	32.86	110
MR%	42.53	29	34.63	74
NP%	66.19	12	55.82	77
PPSt	12.72	145	12.16	181
SCC%	5.88	186	5.43	110
Prox	2.03	191	2.14	12

NEBRASKA IN POSSESSION:
When pitted against the Iowa defense, the Nebraska offense appears to have somewhat of an advantage. The Nebraska offense is ranked #63 in Division I, while Iowa comes in nationally at #157 on defense.

	SHOT SELECTION: The Nebraska offense demonstrates a balance of outside and inside attempts, while the Iowa defense typically allows a few more chances from the perimeter than from the paint. Against the Iowa defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Nebraska offense will be 40.3% three-pointers (1.6% above the D1 average), 20.7% mid-range jumpers (4.0% below the D1 average), and 39.0% near-proximity twos (2.4% above the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Nebraska has been converting field goals at a solid rate and is rated our #56 team in overall field goal percentage this season. The Iowa defense, meanwhile, rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #175 nationally in that category). The Nebraska offense has a noticeable advantage at all three levels on this end of the floor. This site expects Nebraska to shoot 35.2% from three (1.1% above the D1 average), 39.3% from the mid-range (1.8% above the D1 average), 61.9% from near-proximity locations (3.1% above the D1 average), and 46.5% overall (2.5% above the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Nebraska has a massive rebounding advantage on this end of the floor. Nebraska seems to be a bit better than the D1 norm when it comes to offensive rebounding. Additionally, they are extremely solid at scoring quickly off of second-chance opportunities (nationally rated 40th in that category). The opposition here, Iowa, is fairly average when it comes to preventing second-chance opportunities, but they've been very ineffective stopping opponents from scoring on offensive putbacks (ranked #320 in defensive second-chance conversion rate).
	TURNOVERS: The Iowa defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. Offensively, Nebraska is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the Iowa D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective.
	FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. The Nebraska offense has a nose for getting to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #59 in free throw attempt rate), and they're pretty good at converting their foul shots (75.6%, 67th in the country). Meanwhile, the Iowa D has been solid at minimizing opponents' free throw opportunities, ranking 51st in the NCAA in defensive free throw attempt rate.

IOWA IN POSSESSION:
The Iowa offense and the Nebraska defense are very evenly matched on this end of the floor. This site rates Iowa to be 26th in the nation in offensive efficiency, while Nebraska is currently our #40 squad in defensive efficiency.

	SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams are somewhat similar on this end of the floor. The Iowa offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Nebraska defense similarly tends to allow several more opportunities from the outside. Against the Nebraska defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Iowa offense will be 44.8% three-pointers (6.1% above the D1 average), 24.7% mid-range jumpers (a shade below the D1 average), and 30.5% near-proximity twos (6.1% below the D1 average).
	SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Iowa has been absolutely outstanding converting shots from the floor this season (#8 in overall field goal percentage). Meanwhile, the Nebraska defense has done well to keep their opponents' shooting percentages down (rated our #36 team in defensive field goal percentage this year). The Iowa offense has a noticeable advantage at all three levels on this end of the floor. We expect Iowa to shoot 37.8% from behind the arc (3.7% above the D1 average), 39.7% from mid-range locations (2.3% above the D1 average), 65.7% from near-proximity (6.9% above the D1 average), and 46.8% overall (2.8% above the D1 average).
	REBOUNDING: Nebraska may have a small rebounding edge on this end of the court. Iowa is really nothing special on the offensive glass. As far as turning offensive rebounds into fast points, they're similarly a relatively average unit, rated 186th in the country in second-chance conversion rate. Their opponent in this matchup, Nebraska, appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, and they've similarly been fairly efficient in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked 110th in the nation in that category).
	TURNOVERS: The Nebraska defense likely won't force many turnovers against the Iowa offense. On offense, Iowa protects the basketball pretty well and won't cough up the rock too many times. Their field goal attempt rate is very respectable (rated 89th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is very solid (45th in the country). As for the opposition, the Nebraska defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive.
	FREE THROWS: There almost certainly won't be many chances at the foul line for the Iowa offense here. They're typically a team that isn't all that great at getting to the charity stripe (276th in the country in free throw attempt rate), and they're a below-average unit at converting their foul shots (70.5%, ranked #248 in Division I). As for the opposition, the Nebraska D does an exceptional job keeping foes off the foul line and ranks fourth in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:

	PACE: Expect a slightly faster tempo than normal when these two ball-clubs meet. Iowa (65th in the NCAA in game pace) favors a brisk tempo, while Nebraska (149th) likes things at more of an average clip.
	AWAY/HOME COURT: Nebraska has performed far better away from home this year than they have at home. Unfortunately for them, they face Iowa, who has played their very best basketball this season in front of their home crowd.
	MOMENTUM: Nebraska has the advantage in this department. They've been playing better ball as of late and are currently ranked 105th in the country in positive momentum.
	CONSISTENCY: This contest features two of the NCAA's more erratic teams. Nebraska ranks 259th in the country in consistency, while Iowa is currently 248th in that category.

THE VERDICT:
Expect this to be extremely competitive. We're not sure this contest can be resolved within regulation time. Some overtime might be in the forecast. Iowa 78.06, Nebraska 77.84.