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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through April 3, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.970 (12th)
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0.846 (57th)
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0.737 (27th)
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0.733 (29th)
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0.422 (20th)
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0.172 (90th)
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8.21 (5th)
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68.11 (65th)
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-0.86 (219th)
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-1.26 (237th)
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-9.38 (178th)
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-8.27 (36th)
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-1.47 (277th)
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0.85 (130th)
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67.76 (105th)
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Pace
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65.96 (226th)
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 IN POSSESSION
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ISU
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KSU
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| Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
| Eff |
120.62 |
25 |
97.86 |
34 |
| FTAR |
30.69 |
60 |
23.59 |
54 |
| FT% |
75.15 |
80 |
-- |
-- |
| FGAR |
85.92 |
240 |
87.27 |
193 |
| FG% |
49.94 |
7 |
40.50 |
43 |
| 3P% |
37.88 |
26 |
30.08 |
22 |
| MR% |
38.83 |
124 |
31.30 |
16 |
| NP% |
67.42 |
9 |
57.82 |
137 |
| PPSt |
18.27 |
4 |
8.61 |
5 |
| SCC% |
8.09 |
24 |
5.39 |
103 |
| Prox |
1.96 |
73 |
2.01 |
193 |
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 IN POSSESSION
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KSU
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ISU
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| Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
| Eff |
112.55 |
90 |
92.55 |
9 |
| FTAR |
25.84 |
232 |
23.61 |
56 |
| FT% |
70.06 |
256 |
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-- |
| FGAR |
90.37 |
40 |
80.70 |
7 |
| FG% |
45.99 |
84 |
39.25 |
19 |
| 3P% |
33.33 |
218 |
32.79 |
105 |
| MR% |
37.06 |
190 |
30.50 |
10 |
| NP% |
62.58 |
66 |
55.90 |
77 |
| PPSt |
14.14 |
77 |
12.05 |
173 |
| SCC% |
7.05 |
76 |
4.93 |
61 |
| Prox |
1.97 |
92 |
2.11 |
27 |
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IOWA STATE IN POSSESSION:
The Iowa State offense and the Kansas State defense are very evenly matched on this end of the floor. Iowa State is currently 25th in the country in offensive efficiency, while Kansas State nationally comes in at #34 in defensive efficiency.  | SHOT SELECTION: The Iowa State offense exhibits a slight preference for inside shots over those from longer-distance, while the Kansas State defense is more balanced, allowing a mixture of shots from both the paint and the perimeter. Against the Kansas State defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Iowa State offense will be 34.8% three-pointers (3.9% below the D1 average), 25.4% mid-range jumpers (0.7% above the D1 average), and 39.8% near-proximity twos (3.2% above the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Iowa State has been absolutely outstanding converting shots from the floor this season (#7 in overall field goal percentage). Meanwhile, the Kansas State defense sports one of college basketball's better defensive field goal percentages, ranking 43rd in the country in that category. On this end of the court, the Iowa State offense has the ratings advantage in near-proximity shooting, the Kansas State defense has the edge in mid-range shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in three-point shooting. This site expects Iowa State to shoot 33.1% from three (1.0% below the D1 average), 31.9% from the mid-range (5.5% below the D1 average), 65.7% from near-proximity locations (6.9% above the D1 average), and 45.8% overall (1.8% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Iowa State may have a slight rebounding advantage on this end. Iowa State rates as a fairly good team on the offensive glass. To boot, they are first-class at converting their second chance opportunities, ranking 24th nationally in that category. Kansas State, meanwhile, has the look of a team that is pretty mediocre on the defensive boards, but they have been a wee bit better containing foes' conversion rates off of second chances (nationally ranking #103 in that department). | | TURNOVERS: The Kansas State defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. When in possession, Iowa State is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the Kansas State defense leans more on the aggressive side when it comes to pressure. They are accomplished to a degree at converting turnovers into quick points on the scoreboard (nationally ranked 77th in that category). | | FREE THROWS: These two squads are matched fairly evenly in this department. Iowa State has a nose for getting to the charity stripe (60th in the country in free throw attempt rate), and they're above-average shooters from there (75.2%, 80th in the country). As for the opposition, the contentious Kansas State defense surprisingly won't commit that many personal fouls and ranks 54th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
KANSAS STATE IN POSSESSION:
According to the numbers, the Iowa State D should have a modest advantage on Kansas State at this particular end of the floor. This site rates Iowa State to be ninth in the nation in defensive efficiency, while Kansas State is currently our #90 squad in offensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: There are conflicting shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The Kansas State offense has a slight preference for inside shots over those from longer-distance, while the Iowa State defense conversely tends to allow marginally more opportunities from the outside. Against the Iowa State defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Kansas State offense will be 40.8% three-pointers (2.1% above the D1 average), 24.0% mid-range jumpers (0.7% below the D1 average), and 35.2% near-proximity twos (1.4% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Kansas State has been a bit above the D1 average in floor shooting this year and is rated our #84 team in overall field goal percentage. The Iowa State defense, meanwhile, has been one of the best in the country when it comes to defensive field goal percentage, nationally rated 19th in that category. On this end of the court, the Iowa State defense gets the analytical nod in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in near-proximity shooting. We expect Kansas State to shoot 32.4% from behind the arc (1.7% below the D1 average), 29.9% from mid-range locations (7.6% below the D1 average), 61.9% from near-proximity (3.1% above the D1 average), and 42.2% overall (1.8% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Iowa State may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. Kansas State has the fingerprint of a team that's above-average, yet not outstanding, on the offensive glass. They are also somewhat above-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 76th nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). The opposition here, Iowa State, is extremely stout on the defensive glass, and they've similarly been solid squashing opponents' putback conversion rates (nationally ranked 61st in that category). | | TURNOVERS: Neither team has much of an advantage in this category. Offensively, Kansas State does a really solid job to protect the basketball and minimize silly turnovers. Their field goal attempt rate is well above-average (rated 40th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is almost spotless (fifth in the country). As for the opposition, the Iowa State defense is very aggressive and has the potential to come away with a plethora of steals. They're elite in both potential quick points scored off steals (ranked fourth in the country) and defensive field goal attempt rate (seventh in the country). | | FREE THROWS: Kansas State will probably acquire fewer free throw attempts than normal in this encounter. They're typically a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #232 in free throw attempt rate), though they're a below-average unit at converting their foul shots (70.1%, ranked #256 in Division I). Meanwhile, the aggressive Iowa State defense won't foul as much as you'd expect, ranking 56th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: The projected tempo for this contest is fairly average by D1 standards. Iowa State (105th nationally in game pace) prefers a faster tempo, while Kansas State (226th) likes more of an in-between game speed. | | AWAY/HOME COURT: Iowa State may perform worse than expected here, as their efforts away from home, on average, have been more inferior than their performances at home. | | MOMENTUM: Iowa State wins the battle for positive momentum here, but the analytical edge shouldn't really be classified as a significantly impactful one. | | CONSISTENCY: Kansas State is one of college basketball's more consistent teams, ranking 36th in the country in consistency. Iowa State rates more in the middle. |
THE VERDICT:
This contest has the potential to be very competitive, but Iowa State is the better team on this day. Iowa State 72.48, Kansas State 65.96. |
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