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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through November 23, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.959 (16th)
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0.785 (79th)
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0.066 (361st)
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0.311 (305th)
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0.284 (65th)
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0.217 (92nd)
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10.33 (10th)
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76.71 (76th)
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N/A (N/A)
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N/A (N/A)
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N/A (N/A)
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-8.12 (148th)
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N/A (N/A)
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-2.95 (331st)
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69.81 (142nd)
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Pace
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68.31 (255th)
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IN POSSESSION
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ISU
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KSU
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
114.96 |
35 |
102.68 |
114 |
FTAR |
27.17 |
168 |
25.50 |
94 |
FT% |
70.80 |
191 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
89.27 |
11 |
87.03 |
290 |
FG% |
47.32 |
34 |
41.34 |
55 |
3P% |
36.30 |
53 |
35.94 |
306 |
MR% |
40.89 |
96 |
37.25 |
87 |
NP% |
63.81 |
28 |
50.29 |
7 |
PPSt |
16.64 |
7 |
10.12 |
36 |
SCC% |
6.94 |
42 |
5.11 |
119 |
Prox |
2.00 |
120 |
2.02 |
180 |
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IN POSSESSION
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KSU
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ISU
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
111.01 |
72 |
92.38 |
6 |
FTAR |
29.79 |
57 |
23.29 |
23 |
FT% |
68.27 |
247 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
87.93 |
47 |
79.49 |
2 |
FG% |
45.03 |
102 |
40.72 |
41 |
3P% |
33.88 |
170 |
30.89 |
26 |
MR% |
39.82 |
150 |
35.36 |
39 |
NP% |
59.41 |
110 |
59.95 |
266 |
PPSt |
14.05 |
64 |
10.21 |
45 |
SCC% |
7.68 |
15 |
4.69 |
63 |
Prox |
2.00 |
131 |
2.12 |
7 |
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IOWA STATE IN POSSESSION: Analytically speaking, Iowa State should come out ahead by a modest margin on this end of the court. This site rates Iowa State to be 35th in the nation in offensive efficiency, while Kansas State is currently our #114 squad in defensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. Both schemes are relatively balanced, and neither the outside shot nor the inside shot will be consistently employed/allowed by either ball-club. Against the Kansas State defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Iowa State offense will be 34.2% three-pointers (3.6% below the D1 average), 31.4% mid-range jumpers (4.7% above the D1 average), and 34.5% near-proximity twos (1.1% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Iowa State does a pretty good job to convert shots each possession, ranking 34th in the country in overall field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the Kansas State defense has done well to keep their opponents' shooting percentages down (rated our #55 team in defensive field goal percentage this year). On this end of the court, the Iowa State offense has an analytical edge in three-point shooting, while the two opposing units are rated fairly evenly in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects Iowa State to shoot 38.0% from three (4.2% above the D1 average), 38.8% from the mid-range (0.5% below the D1 average), 55.7% from near-proximity locations (2.0% below the D1 average), and 44.4% overall (0.6% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Iowa State may have a modest rebounding edge on this end of the floor. Iowa State appears to do a pretty decent job on the offensive boards. Additionally, they are extremely solid at scoring quickly off of second-chance opportunities (nationally rated 42nd in that category). Meanwhile, Kansas State appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, and they've similarly been fairly efficient in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked 119th in the nation in that category). | | TURNOVERS: The Iowa State offense should keep the ball fairly secure here against the Kansas State defense. Offensively, Iowa State protects the basketball pretty well and won't cough up the rock too many times. Their field goal attempt rate is top-notch (rated 11th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is very solid (45th in the country). As for the opposition, the Kansas State D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They are accomplished to a degree at converting turnovers into quick points on the scoreboard (nationally ranked 64th in that category). | | FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. The Iowa State offense obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #168 in free throw attempt rate), and they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (70.8%, ranked #191 in Division I). Meanwhile, the contentious Kansas State defense won't foul as much as you'd expect, ranking 94th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
KANSAS STATE IN POSSESSION: When analytically matched up against the Iowa State defense, this Kansas State offense stands to be at somewhat of a disadvantage. The Iowa State defense is ranked #6 in Division I, while Kansas State comes in nationally at #72 on offense. | SHOT SELECTION: The Kansas State offense demonstrates a balance of outside and inside attempts, while the Iowa State defense typically allows several more chances from the perimeter than from the paint. Against the Iowa State defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Kansas State offense will be 42.2% three-pointers (4.4% above the D1 average), 25.4% mid-range jumpers (1.3% below the D1 average), and 32.4% near-proximity twos (3.2% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Kansas State is fairly decent at draining shots from the floor, ranking 102nd nationally in overall field goal conversion rate. The Iowa State defense, meanwhile, sports one of college basketball's better defensive field goal percentages, ranking 41st in the country in that category. On this end of the court, the Kansas State offense has a notable advantage in near-proximity shooting, while the Iowa State defense has the edge in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting. We expect Kansas State to shoot 31.5% from behind the arc (2.3% below the D1 average), 35.9% from mid-range locations (3.4% below the D1 average), 62.9% from near-proximity (5.2% above the D1 average), and 42.8% overall (1.0% below the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: There's no major advantage for either ball-club here. Kansas State rates as a fairly good team on the offensive glass. To boot, they are first-class at converting their second chance opportunities, ranking 15th nationally in that category. Iowa State, meanwhile, will rarely surrender second chances, and they've likewise been proficient preventing foes from scoring via putbacks (ranked #63 in the NCAA in defensive second-chance conversion rate). | | TURNOVERS: The Iowa State defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. On offense, Kansas State exhibits better ball-control skills than the average D1 squad. Their field goal attempt rate is well above-average (rated 47th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is very solid (36th in the country). Meanwhile, the intrusive Iowa State D will typically be up in your grill and can force several turnovers. They're elite in both potential quick points scored off steals (ranked seventh in the country) and defensive field goal attempt rate (second in the country). | | FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. Kansas State is a team that has a nose for getting to the charity stripe (57th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're a below-average unit at converting their foul shots (68.3%, 247th in the country). As for the opposition, the aggressive Iowa State defense surprisingly won't commit that many personal fouls and ranks 23rd in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. Iowa State (142nd nationally in game pace) likes a fairly average tempo, but Kansas State (255th) would rather maintain a slower pace. |
THE VERDICT: We like Iowa State here, but don't count Kansas State out entirely. They'll have a fighting chance. Iowa State 75.64, Kansas State 68.38. |
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