TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
Georgia Tech  2-3 (0.400)  |  ACC
-- AT --
NC State  5-0 (1.000)  |  ACC
Includes games through November 24, 2024.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
0.700 (110th)
   All-Play Percentage
  
0.873 (47th)
0.451 (194th)
   Schedule Strength
  
0.170 (356th)
-0.136 (235th)
   Record Quality
  
0.305 (53rd)
100.73 (101st)
   Avg. Season Rank
  
45.27 (45th)
N/A (N/A)
   Momentum
  
N/A (N/A)
-7.85 (144th)
   Consistency
  
-11.25 (284th)
0.00 (97th)
   Away/Home Court   
0.00 (268th)
70.12 (112th)
Pace
69.90 (135th)
IN POSSESSION
GT
NCSU
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 107.56 120 99.64 69
FTAR 26.99 172 25.10 81
FT% 69.14 230 -- --
FGAR 87.61 64 83.64 71
FG% 44.18 140 41.88 75
3P% 33.59 191 29.66 10
MR% 37.45 272 34.54 21
NP% 62.10 54 59.07 230
PPSt 11.24 230 10.18 48
SCC% 5.99 98 4.43 38
Prox 2.06 275 1.99 269
IN POSSESSION
NCSU
GT
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 111.52 64 100.90 89
FTAR 29.15 77 28.39 249
FT% 73.15 138 -- --
FGAR 86.74 97 85.67 197
FG% 46.67 53 41.97 78
3P% 32.40 261 31.49 44
MR% 40.00 142 40.34 213
NP% 62.08 55 55.34 84
PPSt 17.55 4 11.62 145
SCC% 6.41 68 5.70 234
Prox 1.91 8 2.04 115
GEORGIA TECH IN POSSESSION:
According to the numbers, the NC State D should have a modest advantage on Georgia Tech at this particular end of the floor. This site rates NC State to be 69th in the nation in defensive efficiency, while Georgia Tech is currently our #120 squad in offensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: The Georgia Tech offense leans slightly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the NC State defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the NC State defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Georgia Tech offense will be 37.6% three-pointers (0.2% below the D1 average), 27.6% mid-range jumpers (1.0% above the D1 average), and 34.8% near-proximity twos (0.8% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Georgia Tech has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 140th nationally in that category this year. Meanwhile, the NC State defense sports one of college basketball's better defensive field goal percentages, ranking 75th in the country in that category. On this end of the court, the Georgia Tech offense has a notable advantage in near-proximity shooting, while the NC State defense has the edge in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting. This site expects Georgia Tech to shoot 29.3% from three (4.5% below the D1 average), 32.5% from the mid-range (6.8% below the D1 average), 62.5% from near-proximity locations (4.9% above the D1 average), and 41.8% overall (2.0% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: NC State may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. Georgia Tech is really nothing special on the offensive glass. They are somewhat above-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 98th nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). Meanwhile, NC State appears to be one of the better defensive rebounding units in Division I, and they've likewise effectively prevented opponents from scoring via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked #38 in defensive second-chance conversion percentage).
TURNOVERS: The NC State defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. When in possession, Georgia Tech is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. As for the opposition, the NC State defense is very aggressive and has the potential to come away with a plethora of steals. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #4 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #71 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
FREE THROWS: These two squads are matched fairly evenly in this department. Georgia Tech is a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #172 in free throw attempt rate), and they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (69.1%, ranked #230 in Division I). As for the opposition, the aggressive NC State defense surprisingly won't commit that many personal fouls and ranks 81st in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

NC STATE IN POSSESSION:
When pitted against the Georgia Tech defense, the NC State offense appears to have somewhat of an advantage. The NC State offense is ranked #64 in Division I, while Georgia Tech comes in nationally at #89 on defense.
SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams contrast somewhat on this end of the floor. The NC State offense is largely in favor of inside shots over those from longer-distance, while the Georgia Tech defense conversely tends to allow marginally more opportunities from the outside. Against the Georgia Tech defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the NC State offense will be 32.2% three-pointers (5.6% below the D1 average), 29.1% mid-range jumpers (2.5% above the D1 average), and 38.7% near-proximity twos (3.1% above the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: NC State does a pretty good job to convert shots each possession, ranking 53rd in the country in overall field goal percentage. The Georgia Tech defense, meanwhile, has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #78 team nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the NC State offense has a notable advantage in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the Georgia Tech defense has the edge in three-point shooting. We expect NC State to shoot 30.3% from behind the arc (3.4% below the D1 average), 41.3% from mid-range locations (2.0% above the D1 average), 61.2% from near-proximity (3.6% above the D1 average), and 45.5% overall (1.7% above the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: NC State appears to hold a significant rebounding edge on this end of the court. NC State appears to do a pretty decent job on the offensive boards. They're also one of the better NCAA teams at converting second-chance opportunities into points, ranking #68 in the country in that category. Georgia Tech, meanwhile, is relatively mediocre when it comes to eliminating second-chance opportunities, and they're similarly so-so in defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #234 in the country in that department).
TURNOVERS: NC State will likely keep the basketball very secure against this Georgia Tech defense. Offensively, NC State exemplifies ball-security to a degree slightly superior to the average NCAA team. Their field goal attempt rate is very respectable (rated 97th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is very solid (48th in the country). Meanwhile, the Georgia Tech D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective.
FREE THROWS: We expect an above-average number of free throw opportunities for the NC State offense here. They're typically a team that is fairly decent at booking trips to the charity stripe (77th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (73.1%, 138th in the country). Meanwhile, the Georgia Tech D appears to commit a bit too many fouls by NCAA standards and nationally ranks 249th in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:
PACE: The tempo in a game between these two teams should be a bit faster than normal. Georgia Tech (112th nationally in game pace) prefers a faster tempo, while NC State (135th) likes more of an in-between game speed.
AWAY/HOME COURT: We expect a potential performance bump for visiting Georgia Tech here. They have performed better away from home this year than they have at home. To boot, they are facing NC State, a team that has played their worst basketball this season while in front of their home crowd.
CONSISTENCY: NC State is one of Division I's more erratic squads, ranking 284th in the country in consistency. Georgia Tech places closer to the middle of the pack in this category.

THE VERDICT:
Georgia Tech could potentially put a scare into NC State, but the latter is the smart choice if all goes as planned. NC State 78.74, Georgia Tech 68.75.