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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through January 11, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.468 (194th)
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0.595 (148th)
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0.343 (323rd)
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0.503 (129th)
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-0.126 (238th)
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-0.071 (210th)
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208.63 (205th)
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175.80 (174th)
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1.57 (95th)
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7.20 (1st)
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-7.38 (30th)
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-10.24 (282nd)
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-0.49 (179th)
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1.55 (107th)
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69.34 (59th)
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63.81 (345th)
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IN POSSESSION
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DEL
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DUQ
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
110.94 |
105 |
105.62 |
144 |
FTAR |
24.85 |
269 |
32.74 |
328 |
FT% |
78.30 |
24 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
84.95 |
240 |
84.21 |
82 |
FG% |
46.65 |
71 |
42.41 |
113 |
3P% |
38.05 |
25 |
36.84 |
318 |
MR% |
41.09 |
175 |
40.83 |
171 |
NP% |
58.37 |
151 |
50.56 |
29 |
PPSt |
10.19 |
293 |
12.22 |
175 |
SCC% |
2.73 |
357 |
4.39 |
52 |
Prox |
1.99 |
99 |
2.05 |
158 |
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IN POSSESSION
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DUQ
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DEL
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Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
Eff |
106.84 |
173 |
113.67 |
303 |
FTAR |
26.49 |
210 |
31.13 |
296 |
FT% |
61.26 |
356 |
-- |
-- |
FGAR |
90.67 |
32 |
89.13 |
307 |
FG% |
42.49 |
238 |
45.33 |
237 |
3P% |
34.76 |
113 |
35.31 |
257 |
MR% |
42.79 |
116 |
41.43 |
193 |
NP% |
54.91 |
242 |
56.32 |
140 |
PPSt |
12.05 |
192 |
9.84 |
43 |
SCC% |
4.86 |
266 |
5.98 |
205 |
Prox |
2.17 |
348 |
1.94 |
343 |
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DELAWARE IN POSSESSION: Analytically speaking, Delaware should come out ahead by a modest margin on this end of the court. The Delaware offense is ranked #105 in Division I, while Duquesne comes in nationally at #144 on defense. | SHOT SELECTION: The Delaware offense demonstrates a balance of outside and inside attempts, while the Duquesne defense typically allows a few more chances from the perimeter than from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Delaware offense will be 34.1% three-pointers (4.4% below the D1 average), 31.4% mid-range jumpers (4.9% above the D1 average), and 34.5% near-proximity twos (0.4% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Delaware has been converting field goals at a solid rate and is rated our #71 team in overall field goal percentage this season. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #113 team nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Delaware offense has the ratings advantage in three-point shooting, the Duquesne defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in mid-range shooting. This site expects Delaware to shoot 41.7% from three (8.2% above the D1 average), 40.4% from the mid-range (0.6% below the D1 average), 51.4% from near-proximity locations (6.0% below the D1 average), and 44.7% overall (0.8% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne should easily control the boards on this end of the floor. Delaware appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. That being said, they're actually horrible when it comes to converting their second chance opportunities, ranking eighth from the bottom nationally in that category. The opposition here, Duquesne, appears a bit superior to the D1 average in the category of defensive rebounding, and they've similarly been solid squashing opponents' putback conversion rates (nationally ranked 52nd in that category). | | TURNOVERS: Delaware will likely keep the basketball very secure against this Duquesne defense. Offensively, Delaware protects the basketball pretty well and won't cough up the rock too many times. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals is particularly solid, as the squad places 43rd in the country in that category. As for the opposition, the Duquesne defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive. | | FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. The Delaware offense isn't all that great at getting to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #269 in free throw attempt rate), though they're capable of inflicting loads of damage from there (78.3%, ranked #24 in Division I). As for the opposition, the Duquesne D appears to commit far too many fouls by NCAA standards and nationally ranks 328th in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION: The Duquesne offense most definitely should have the upper hand on the Delaware defense in this matchup. Duquesne is currently 173rd in the country in offensive efficiency, while Delaware nationally comes in at #303 in defensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: These two teams exhibit contrasting shot preferences on this end of the court. The Duquesne offense leans strongly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Delaware defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Delaware defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 38.9% three-pointers (0.3% above the D1 average), 29.6% mid-range jumpers (3.1% above the D1 average), and 31.5% near-proximity twos (3.5% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 238th nationally in that category this year. Meanwhile, the Delaware defense rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #237 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the Delaware defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 36.8% from behind the arc (3.3% above the D1 average), 43.5% from mid-range locations (2.5% above the D1 average), 55.0% from near-proximity (2.4% below the D1 average), and 44.5% overall (0.7% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a slight rebounding advantage on this end. Duquesne is really nothing special on the offensive glass. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 266th nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). Their opponent in this matchup, Delaware, should be considered slightly inferior in the category of defensive rebounding, but they perform slightly better in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked #205 in that category). | | TURNOVERS: The Duquesne offense should keep the ball fairly secure here against the Delaware defense. On offense, Duquesne is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the Delaware defense appears to be more on the conservative side when you look at turnovers forced. Our analytics rate them as deficient in both potential quick points scored off steals (ranked #293 in the nation) and defensive field goal attempt rate (#307 in the nation). | | FREE THROWS: These two squads are matched fairly evenly in this department. Duquesne is a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (210th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (61.3%, ninth from the bottom in the country). Meanwhile, the more reserved Delaware defense surprisingly commits more fouls than you'd expect and places 296th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. There are contrasting tastes between these two units. Delaware (59th in the country in game pace) prefers more of an up-and-down game, while Duquesne (345th) is happy to put the brakes on if need be. | | AWAY/HOME COURT: Duquesne may exceed expectations here, as their performances at home have been, on average, superior to their performances away from home. | | MOMENTUM: Both teams come into this contest playing some of their best basketball this year. Duquesne is first nationally in positive momentum, while Delaware presently ranks 95th. | | CONSISTENCY: Delaware is one of the NCAA's more consistent teams (30th nationally in consistency), while Duquesne (282nd in consistency) is definitely more on the erratic side. |
THE VERDICT: There isn't a large gap separating the abilities of these two squads. Delaware will put up a fight, but Duquesne gets the win. Duquesne 76.76, Delaware 71.35. |
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