TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
Georgetown  6-1 (0.857)  |  Big East
-- AT --
DePaul  7-0 (1.000)  |  Big East
Includes games through December 1, 2024.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
0.656 (126th)
   All-Play Percentage
  
0.815 (68th)
0.190 (359th)
   Schedule Strength
  
0.174 (361st)
0.185 (100th)
   Record Quality
  
0.311 (53rd)
154.52 (149th)
   Avg. Season Rank
  
108.76 (106th)
N/A (N/A)
   Momentum
  
N/A (N/A)
-10.30 (289th)
   Consistency
  
-15.61 (364th)
0.00 (128th)
   Away/Home Court   
0.00 (237th)
68.79 (163rd)
Pace
68.10 (209th)
IN POSSESSION
GU
DEP
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 106.37 151 98.84 64
FTAR 24.42 278 23.64 58
FT% 79.12 27 -- --
FGAR 90.34 13 86.71 241
FG% 42.16 249 41.90 84
3P% 31.98 263 33.26 147
MR% 33.31 355 33.55 16
NP% 58.76 142 56.47 119
PPSt 15.42 23 12.39 212
SCC% 6.34 88 5.22 155
Prox 2.01 134 2.00 253
IN POSSESSION
DEP
GU
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 112.60 63 104.08 141
FTAR 24.30 283 24.32 75
FT% 74.73 104 -- --
FGAR 86.36 130 83.74 72
FG% 46.23 74 43.81 175
3P% 38.29 14 35.67 285
MR% 39.75 180 35.77 55
NP% 60.07 95 59.18 226
PPSt 11.99 182 12.98 254
SCC% 5.47 184 7.27 343
Prox 2.09 307 2.05 136
GEORGETOWN IN POSSESSION:
The DePaul defense appears to have a small advantage on the Georgetown offense at this end of the court. DePaul is currently 64th in the country in defensive efficiency, while Georgetown nationally comes in at #151 in offensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams are somewhat similar on this end of the floor. Both schemes are relatively balanced, and neither the outside shot nor the inside shot will be consistently employed/allowed by either ball-club. Against the DePaul defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Georgetown offense will be 36.1% three-pointers (2.0% below the D1 average), 25.6% mid-range jumpers (1.1% below the D1 average), and 38.3% near-proximity twos (3.2% above the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Georgetown hasn't been one of the better shooting D1 teams this season, ranking 249th nationally in overall field goal percentage. The DePaul defense, meanwhile, has been doing a fairly decent job to defend opposing shooters, ranking 84th in the NCAA in defensive field goal conversion rate. On this end of the court, the DePaul defense gets the analytical nod in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in near-proximity shooting. This site expects Georgetown to shoot 31.1% from three (2.6% below the D1 average), 26.9% from the mid-range (12.8% below the D1 average), 56.8% from near-proximity locations (0.9% below the D1 average), and 39.9% overall (3.9% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Georgetown may have a modest rebounding edge on this end of the floor. Georgetown appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. They are considered to be somewhat above-average when gauging second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #88 in that department). Meanwhile, DePaul is fairly average when it comes to preventing second-chance opportunities, and they likewise rate right around the average in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked #155 in that category).
TURNOVERS: The DePaul defense is likely to force a few takeaways on this end of the floor. On offense, Georgetown is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals needs improvement, as the team places 254th in the nation in that category. As for the opposition, the DePaul D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective.
FREE THROWS: The Georgetown offense won't see the free throw line very often in this contest. They're usually a team that isn't all that great at getting to the charity stripe (278th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're very impressive converting from there (79.1%, 27th in the country). As for the opposition, the DePaul D does a solid job keeping foes off the foul line and ranks 58th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DEPAUL IN POSSESSION:
Analytically speaking, DePaul should come out ahead by a modest margin on this end of the court. This site rates DePaul to be 63rd in the nation in offensive efficiency, while Georgetown is currently our #141 squad in defensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The DePaul offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Georgetown defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Georgetown defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the DePaul offense will be 45.4% three-pointers (7.3% above the D1 average), 20.0% mid-range jumpers (6.7% below the D1 average), and 34.5% near-proximity twos (0.6% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: DePaul does a pretty good job to convert shots each possession, ranking 74th in the country in overall field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the Georgetown defense rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #175 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the DePaul offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the Georgetown defense has the edge in mid-range shooting. We expect DePaul to shoot 40.3% from behind the arc (6.6% above the D1 average), 35.2% from mid-range locations (4.5% below the D1 average), 62.5% from near-proximity (4.8% above the D1 average), and 47.0% overall (3.2% above the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: DePaul should comfortably win the rebounding battle on this end. DePaul is really nothing special on the offensive glass. As for converting their second-chance opportunities, they're similarly run-of-the-mill by D1 standards (nationally rated 184th in that category). Georgetown, meanwhile, has the appearance of a team whose defensive rebounding abilities are a bit subpar, and they're similarly pathetic in defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #343 in that category).
TURNOVERS: The Georgetown defense will likely force a fair share of turnovers against this DePaul offense. When in possession, DePaul rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Meanwhile, the Georgetown defense is very aggressive and has the potential to come away with a plethora of steals. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #23 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #72 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
FREE THROWS: DePaul will probably acquire fewer free throw attempts than normal in this encounter. They're typically a team that isn't all that great at getting to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #283 in free throw attempt rate), though they're above-average shooters from there (74.7%, ranked #104 in Division I). Meanwhile, the aggressive Georgetown defense won't foul as much as you'd expect, ranking 75th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:
PACE: The projected tempo for this contest is fairly average by D1 standards. Georgetown is 163rd in the country in game pace, while DePaul nationally ranks 209th in the same category.
AWAY/HOME COURT: The analytics fail to reveal a significant advantage for either team in this category.
CONSISTENCY: This contest features two of the NCAA's more erratic teams. DePaul ranks last nationally in consistency, while Georgetown is presently 289th in that category.

THE VERDICT:
This contest has the potential to be very competitive, but DePaul is the better team on this day. DePaul 76.58, Georgetown 67.59.