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Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
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Includes games through March 28, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
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0.570 (157th)
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0.634 (134th)
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0.520 (124th)
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0.541 (111th)
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-0.056 (205th)
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-0.058 (208th)
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179.96 (174th)
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158.32 (154th)
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2.20 (88th)
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2.89 (59th)
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-7.38 (3rd)
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-10.31 (283rd)
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-0.67 (220th)
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0.32 (174th)
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70.93 (6th)
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64.79 (296th)
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 IN POSSESSION
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INST
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DUQ
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| Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
| Eff |
111.91 |
99 |
105.54 |
117 |
| FTAR |
28.57 |
128 |
31.02 |
312 |
| FT% |
76.27 |
57 |
-- |
-- |
| FGAR |
82.55 |
350 |
82.97 |
26 |
| FG% |
45.64 |
97 |
43.75 |
156 |
| 3P% |
36.30 |
70 |
37.06 |
326 |
| MR% |
33.06 |
323 |
36.22 |
125 |
| NP% |
59.38 |
152 |
56.09 |
81 |
| PPSt |
10.84 |
259 |
12.62 |
213 |
| SCC% |
5.15 |
261 |
5.69 |
140 |
| Prox |
2.08 |
281 |
1.97 |
284 |
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 IN POSSESSION
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DUQ
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INST
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| Cat |
Rtg |
Rk |
Rtg |
Rk |
| Eff |
108.06 |
165 |
111.27 |
243 |
| FTAR |
27.25 |
178 |
29.71 |
277 |
| FT% |
63.55 |
357 |
-- |
-- |
| FGAR |
88.64 |
96 |
85.60 |
104 |
| FG% |
43.75 |
181 |
46.36 |
293 |
| 3P% |
34.09 |
169 |
34.17 |
184 |
| MR% |
39.23 |
106 |
42.83 |
343 |
| NP% |
60.82 |
111 |
59.70 |
212 |
| PPSt |
13.69 |
101 |
13.80 |
294 |
| SCC% |
5.32 |
247 |
6.46 |
237 |
| Prox |
2.12 |
338 |
1.97 |
291 |
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INDIANA STATE IN POSSESSION:
The Indiana State offense and the Duquesne defense are very evenly matched on this end of the floor. Indiana State is currently 99th in the country in offensive efficiency, while Duquesne nationally comes in at #117 in defensive efficiency.  | SHOT SELECTION: These two teams exhibit contrasting shot preferences on this end of the court. The Indiana State offense leans slightly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Duquesne defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Indiana State offense will be 44.6% three-pointers (5.9% above the D1 average), 13.8% mid-range jumpers (10.9% below the D1 average), and 41.7% near-proximity twos (5.0% above the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Indiana State has been a bit above the D1 average in floor shooting this year and is rated our #97 team in overall field goal percentage. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #156 nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the Indiana State offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. This site expects Indiana State to shoot 38.6% from three (4.5% above the D1 average), 30.9% from the mid-range (6.5% below the D1 average), 56.1% from near-proximity locations (2.7% below the D1 average), and 44.8% overall (0.9% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne will very likely win the rebound battle on this end of the court. Indiana State is really nothing special on the offensive glass. They are somewhat below-average at turning second-chance opportunities into points (rated 261st nationally in second-chance conversion percentage). The opposition here, Duquesne, has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, but they perform slightly worse in defensive second-chance conversion percentage (ranked #140 in that category). | | TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense will likely force a fair share of turnovers against this Indiana State offense. Offensively, Indiana State has plenty of room for improvement when it comes to securing the basketball. Their field goal attempt rate is egregiously bad (rated 350th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is very shoddy (294th in the country). Meanwhile, the Duquesne D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #101 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #26 in defensive field goal attempt rate. | | FREE THROWS: Indiana State will probably acquire more foul line chances than normal in this contest. They're usually a team that obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (128th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're pretty good at converting their foul shots (76.3%, 57th in the country). As for the opposition, the contentious Duquesne defense predictably commits a significant number of fouls, ranking 312th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
When pitted against the Indiana State defense, the Duquesne offense appears to have somewhat of an advantage. This site rates Duquesne to be 165th in the nation in offensive efficiency, while Indiana State is currently our #243 squad in defensive efficiency. | SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams contrast somewhat on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense leans solidly toward putting up more outside shots, while the Indiana State defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the Indiana State defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 42.5% three-pointers (3.9% above the D1 average), 22.9% mid-range jumpers (1.8% below the D1 average), and 34.6% near-proximity twos (2.1% below the D1 average). | | SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #181 in overall field goal conversion rate. Meanwhile, the Indiana State defense usually fails to disrupt opposing shooters, ranking 293rd in the nation in defensive field goal percentage. On this end of the court, the Duquesne offense has an analytical edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting, while the two opposing units are rated fairly evenly in three-point shooting. We expect Duquesne to shoot 34.5% from behind the arc (0.4% above the D1 average), 45.2% from mid-range locations (7.8% above the D1 average), 62.6% from near-proximity (3.8% above the D1 average), and 46.7% overall (2.7% above the D1 average). | | REBOUNDING: Duquesne may have a modest rebounding edge on this end of the floor. Duquesne lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #247 in that department). Their opponent in this matchup, Indiana State, should be considered slightly inferior in the category of defensive rebounding, but they're slightly better in defensive second-chance conversion rate (ranked #237 in the country in that department). | | TURNOVERS: There shouldn't be much of an advantage for either team in this department. On offense, Duquesne is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. As for the opposition, the Indiana State D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective. Furthermore, they'll rarely convert takeaways into quick points, evidenced by their #259 ranking in that category. | | FREE THROWS: These two squads are matched fairly evenly in this department. The Duquesne offense obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #178 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (63.5%, ranked #357 in Division I). Meanwhile, the Indiana State D appears to commit a bit too many fouls by NCAA standards and nationally ranks 277th in defensive free throw attempt rate. |
THE X-FACTORS:
| PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. There are contrasting tastes between these two units. Indiana State (sixth in the country in game pace) prefers more of an up-and-down game, while Duquesne (296th) is happy to put the brakes on if need be. | | AWAY/HOME COURT: The analytics fail to reveal a significant advantage for either team in this category. | | MOMENTUM: Both teams come into this contest playing some of their best basketball this year. Duquesne is 59th nationally in positive momentum, while Indiana State presently ranks 88th. | | CONSISTENCY: Indiana State is one of the NCAA's more consistent teams (third nationally in consistency), while Duquesne (283rd in consistency) is definitely more on the erratic side. |
THE VERDICT:
There isn't a large gap separating the abilities of these two squads. Indiana State will put up a fight, but Duquesne gets the win. Duquesne 78.82, Indiana State 74.09. |
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