TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
Duquesne  7-9 (0.438)  |  Atlantic 10
-- AT --
G. Washington  13-3 (0.813)  |  Atlantic 10
Includes games through January 11, 2025.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
0.595 (148th)
   All-Play Percentage
  
0.713 (105th)
0.503 (129th)
   Schedule Strength
  
0.297 (354th)
-0.071 (210th)
   Record Quality
  
0.217 (78th)
175.80 (174th)
   Avg. Season Rank
  
130.51 (127th)
7.20 (1st)
   Momentum
  
2.34 (73rd)
-10.24 (282nd)
   Consistency
  
-6.86 (11th)
-1.55 (258th)
   Away/Home Court   
2.71 (56th)
63.81 (345th)
   Pace
67.99 (128th)
IN POSSESSION
DUQ
GWU
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 106.84 173 101.71 90
FTAR 26.49 210 24.98 97
FT% 61.26 356 -- --
FGAR 90.67 32 89.52 321
FG% 42.49 238 41.67 84
3P% 34.76 113 28.50 12
MR% 42.79 116 37.74 79
NP% 54.91 242 56.53 146
PPSt 12.05 192 15.87 339
SCC% 4.86 266 5.78 182
Prox 2.17 348 1.97 312
IN POSSESSION
GWU
DUQ
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 107.94 153 105.62 144
FTAR 32.76 30 32.74 328
FT% 73.79 127 -- --
FGAR 83.74 300 84.21 82
FG% 42.89 218 42.41 113
3P% 32.08 244 36.84 318
MR% 43.85 87 40.83 171
NP% 54.64 253 50.56 29
PPSt 15.42 53 12.22 175
SCC% 5.20 225 4.39 52
Prox 2.05 199 2.05 158
DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
According to the numbers, the G. Washington D should have a modest advantage on Duquesne at this particular end of the floor. This site rates G. Washington to be 90th in the nation in defensive efficiency, while Duquesne is currently our #173 squad in offensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: There are conflicting shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. The Duquesne offense leans strongly toward putting up more outside shots, while the G. Washington defense conversely tends to give up a few more chances from the paint. Against the G. Washington defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Duquesne offense will be 39.4% three-pointers (0.9% above the D1 average), 31.2% mid-range jumpers (4.7% above the D1 average), and 29.4% near-proximity twos (5.5% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #238 in overall field goal conversion rate. The G. Washington defense, meanwhile, has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #84 team nationally in that category). The G. Washington defense appears to have a noteworthy advantage at all three levels on this end. This site expects Duquesne to shoot 30.2% from three (3.3% below the D1 average), 39.7% from the mid-range (1.4% below the D1 average), 53.2% from near-proximity locations (4.2% below the D1 average), and 39.9% overall (3.9% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: There's no major advantage for either ball-club here. Duquesne lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #266 in that department). The opposition here, G. Washington, has the look of a team that is pretty mediocre on the defensive boards, and they're similarly only fair in defensive putback conversion percentage (ranked 182nd in the country there).
TURNOVERS: The G. Washington defense has a small advantage over the Duquesne offense in the turnover battle on this end. Offensively, Duquesne rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Meanwhile, the G. Washington D is probably a bit more aggressive than average in Division I basketball. They are accomplished to a degree at converting turnovers into quick points on the scoreboard (nationally ranked 53rd in that category).
FREE THROWS: There's a bit of a push here in this category. The Duquesne offense obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #210 in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (61.3%, ranked #356 in Division I). Meanwhile, the contentious G. Washington defense won't foul as much as you'd expect, ranking 97th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate.

G. WASHINGTON IN POSSESSION:
The G. Washington offense and the Duquesne defense are very evenly matched on this end of the floor. The Duquesne defense is ranked #144 in Division I, while G. Washington comes in nationally at #153 on offense.
SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. The G. Washington offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Duquesne defense similarly tends to allow more opportunities from the outside. Against the Duquesne defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the G. Washington offense will be 41.3% three-pointers (2.7% above the D1 average), 23.3% mid-range jumpers (3.1% below the D1 average), and 35.4% near-proximity twos (0.4% above the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: G. Washington has been rather mediocre (by NCAA standards) in field goal percentage, rated 218th nationally in that category this year. Meanwhile, the Duquesne defense has been doing a fairly decent job to defend opposing shooters, ranking 113th in the NCAA in defensive field goal conversion rate. On this end of the court, the G. Washington offense has a notable advantage in both three-point shooting and mid-range shooting, while the Duquesne defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting. We expect G. Washington to shoot 35.3% from behind the arc (1.8% above the D1 average), 43.3% from mid-range locations (2.2% above the D1 average), 49.0% from near-proximity (8.4% below the D1 average), and 42.0% overall (1.8% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Duquesne will very likely win the rebound battle on this end of the court. G. Washington appears to be a fairly mediocre NCAA team on the offensive boards. As for converting their second-chance opportunities, they're similarly run-of-the-mill by D1 standards (nationally rated 225th in that category). Their opponent in this matchup, Duquesne, has the markings of a team that's above-average on the defensive glass, and they've similarly been solid squashing opponents' putback conversion rates (nationally ranked 52nd in that category).
TURNOVERS: G. Washington may struggle with turnovers against this Duquesne defense. On offense, G. Washington will typically have well more than an average amount of ball-control issues. Their field goal attempt rate is well below-average (rated 300th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is very shoddy (339th in the country). As for the opposition, the Duquesne D is neither aggressive nor conservative from a turnovers perspective.
FREE THROWS: G. Washington should be able to get to the foul line early and often in this contest. They're typically a team that likes to get to the charity stripe frequently (30th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (73.8%, 127th in the country). As for the opposition, the Duquesne D sends opposing offenses to the foul line non-stop and ranks 328th nationally in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:
PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. G. Washington (128th in the NCAA in game pace) adopts an intermediate tempo, but Duquesne (345th) is more likely to pump the brakes.
AWAY/HOME COURT: We would expect a potential performance bump for the home team here. G. Washington has performed better at home than they have away from home this season. To boot, they are facing Duquesne, a team that has played their worst basketball this year away from their home court.
MOMENTUM: Both teams come into this contest playing some of their best basketball this year. Duquesne is first in the country in positive momentum, while G. Washington currently ranks 73rd.
CONSISTENCY: G. Washington appears to be one of college basketball's more consistent units (11th in the nation in consistency), while Duquesne (282nd in consistency) has been much more erratic.

THE VERDICT:
These teams appear to be quite evenly matched. We're taking G. Washington in a fairly close contest. G. Washington 70.78, Duquesne 64.84.