TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
Automated 2024-25 Game Preview
G. Washington  11-2 (0.846)  |  Atlantic 10
-- AT --
Duquesne  5-8 (0.385)  |  Atlantic 10
Includes games through December 28, 2024.
Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
0.647 (129th)
   All-Play Percentage
  
0.573 (156th)
0.240 (362nd)
   Schedule Strength
  
0.494 (132nd)
0.205 (93rd)
   Record Quality
  
-0.141 (242nd)
132.48 (130th)
   Avg. Season Rank
  
183.11 (185th)
0.42 (147th)
   Momentum
  
4.78 (11th)
-5.84 (5th)
   Consistency
  
-8.28 (114th)
-2.74 (301st)
   Away/Home Court   
0.91 (142nd)
68.25 (131st)
Pace
  
64.16 (340th)
IN POSSESSION
GWU
DUQ
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 106.65 177 104.79 131
FTAR 34.03 17 31.82 329
FT% 73.15 146 -- --
FGAR 80.81 347 84.81 113
FG% 43.61 204 41.85 78
3P% 31.43 285 36.96 293
MR% 44.34 99 41.02 164
NP% 57.47 183 48.03 10
PPSt 17.51 24 13.70 260
SCC% 5.18 228 3.86 31
Prox 2.06 213 2.03 195
IN POSSESSION
DUQ
GWU
Cat Rtg Rk Rtg Rk
Eff 104.61 207 103.39 113
FTAR 26.83 173 24.46 118
FT% 61.79 358 -- --
FGAR 88.89 72 87.41 231
FG% 41.58 290 43.80 147
3P% 35.59 118 29.64 29
MR% 42.30 149 39.53 122
NP% 51.12 331 61.81 297
PPSt 12.77 170 17.62 351
SCC% 3.99 314 5.52 170
Prox 2.19 353 2.01 230
G. WASHINGTON IN POSSESSION:
According to the numbers, the Duquesne D should have a modest advantage on G. Washington at this particular end of the floor. This site rates Duquesne to be 131st in the nation in defensive efficiency, while G. Washington is currently our #177 squad in offensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: The shot preferences of these two teams are somewhat similar on this end of the floor. The G. Washington offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Duquesne defense similarly surrenders more opportunities from the outside. Against the Duquesne defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the G. Washington offense will be 40.0% three-pointers (1.0% above the D1 average), 25.0% mid-range jumpers (1.0% below the D1 average), and 35.0% near-proximity twos (a shade above the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: G. Washington rates in the middle of the Division I pack when it comes to floor shooting and is currently ranked #204 in overall field goal conversion rate. The Duquesne defense, meanwhile, has performed a bit better than average in defensive field goal percentage (rated our #78 team nationally in that category). On this end of the court, the G. Washington offense has the ratings advantage in mid-range shooting, the Duquesne defense has the edge in near-proximity shooting, while the two units rate fairly evenly in three-point shooting. This site expects G. Washington to shoot 33.2% from three (1.0% below the D1 average), 42.4% from the mid-range (0.9% above the D1 average), 47.0% from near-proximity locations (10.7% below the D1 average), and 40.3% overall (4.0% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Duquesne would appear to have a comfortable rebounding advantage on this end. G. Washington is really nothing special on the offensive glass. When it comes to converting second-chance opportunities, they're similarly unremarkable, coming in at #228 nationally in our ratings there. The opposition here, Duquesne, rates as a relatively solid unit on the defensive boards, and they've similarly done great work curbing points via offensive putbacks (nationally ranked 31st in defensive second-chance conversion rate).
TURNOVERS: The Duquesne defense will likely force a fair share of turnovers against this G. Washington offense. When in possession, G. Washington is very irresponsible with the basketball and will give it away often. Their ratings for field goal attempt rate (ranked 347th in the country) and potential quick points allowed off of steals (351st) are both unquestionably shameful. As for the opposition, the Duquesne defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and shouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive.
FREE THROWS: You can expect plenty of chances at the free throw line for the G. Washington offense here. They're usually a team that heavily relies on obtaining chances from the charity stripe (nationally ranked #17 in free throw attempt rate), though they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (73.2%, ranked #146 in Division I). As for the opposition, the Duquesne D appears to commit far too many fouls by NCAA standards and nationally ranks 329th in defensive free throw attempt rate.

DUQUESNE IN POSSESSION:
When analytically matched up against the G. Washington defense, this Duquesne offense stands to be at somewhat of a disadvantage. The G. Washington defense is ranked #113 in Division I, while Duquesne comes in nationally at #207 on offense.
SHOT SELECTION: The Duquesne offense leans strongly in favor of a perimeter attack, while the G. Washington defense is more balanced, allowing a combination of shots from both the perimeter and the paint. Against the G. Washington defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Duquesne offense will be 42.4% three-pointers (3.3% above the D1 average), 31.3% mid-range jumpers (5.2% above the D1 average), and 26.4% near-proximity twos (8.5% below the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Duquesne has struggled to consistently convert field goals this year, ranking 290th nationally in overall field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the G. Washington defense rates as somewhat average in defensive field goal conversion rate (ranked #147 nationally in that category). The G. Washington defense appears to have a noteworthy advantage at all three levels on this end. We expect Duquesne to shoot 32.2% from behind the arc (2.0% below the D1 average), 40.9% from mid-range locations (0.5% below the D1 average), 57.8% from near-proximity (0.1% above the D1 average), and 41.7% overall (2.6% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: G. Washington may very well have a slight rebounding advantage at this end of the floor. Duquesne lies somewhere in the middle of the D1 pack in the category of offensive rebounding. However, they're quite incapable of scoring quickly off of their second-chance opportunities (rated 314th in the country in second-chance conversion percentage). Their opponent in this matchup, G. Washington, is relatively mediocre when it comes to eliminating second-chance opportunities, and they're similarly only fair in defensive putback conversion percentage (ranked 170th in the country there).
TURNOVERS: Duquesne may struggle with turnovers against this G. Washington defense. Offensively, Duquesne isn't the sloppiest team in the world, but they've definitely got some ball-security issues. Their rating for potential quick points allowed off steals needs improvement, as the team places 260th in the nation in that category. Meanwhile, the G. Washington D is fairly aggressive and is certainly capable of coming away with their fair share of steals. They are masters at converting turnovers into quick points on the scoreboard (nationally ranked 24th in that category).
FREE THROWS: This looks to be somewhat of a stalemate. The Duquesne offense obtains a fairly average number of chances from the charity stripe (173rd in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're absolutely pitiful marksmen from the line (61.8%, seventh from the bottom in the country). Meanwhile, the aggressive G. Washington defense surprisingly won't commit that many personal fouls and ranks 118th in the country in defensive free throw attempt rate.

THE X-FACTORS:
PACE: We'd forecast a fairly average tempo by Division I standards here. G. Washington (131st nationally in game pace) likes a fairly average tempo, but Duquesne (340th) would rather maintain a slower pace.
AWAY/HOME COURT: G. Washington may perform worse than expected here, as their efforts away from home, on average, have been more inferior than their performances at home.
MOMENTUM: Duquesne has the momentum edge here. They've been playing some better basketball recently and are presently ranked 11th in the country in positive momentum.
CONSISTENCY: Both of these squads are pretty consistent from an efficiency perspective. G. Washington ranks fifth in the country in consistency, while Duquesne is presently 114th in that category.

THE VERDICT:
Expect this to be extremely competitive. We're not sure this contest can be resolved within regulation time. Some overtime might be in the forecast. Duquesne 67.31, G. Washington 66.52.